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Title: Meteorological Case Studies of Lightning Strike Victims in Colorado


1
Meteorological Case Studies of Lightning Strike
Victims in Colorado
  • Stephen Hodanish
  • NOAA/NWS Pueblo, CO
  • This presentation is part of the Lightning
    Program at National Weather Service, Pueblo
    Colorado

2
Today we are going to talk about this
Hiker struck by lightning while climbing Mt
Lincoln (15 June 2004 ruptured ear drum, 2nd
and 3rd degree burns)
3
Introduction
This talk will discuss the meteorology associated
with 9 lightning strike cases which occurred in
the state of Colorado between 2000 and 2005
KFT
Arvada
X
X
Littleton
Red Cone Pass
X
X
Breckenridge
X
Lake George
Pikes Peak
X
X
Pueblo
X
X
Rocky Ford
Crestone
4
Questions I Wanted To Answer
  • How much CG lightning was occurring in the
    vicinity prior to the person being struck?
  • Few flashes or numerous flashes in the vicinity
    prior to the casualty occurring?
  • 1st flash from storm?
  • Bolt from the Blue?

5
Questions I Wanted To Answer
  • How much CG lightning was occurring in the
    vicinity prior to the person being struck?
  • Few flashes or numerous flashes in the vicinity
    prior to the casualty occurring?
  • 1st flash from storm?
  • Bolts from the blue?
  • Distance between flash which caused casualty and
    flashes prior
  • Did people have a chance to seek safe shelter, or
    were they in a location where no safe shelter
    could be found?
  • What was the intensity of the rain in the
    vicinity prior to the person being struck?
  • How fast was the storm moving?

6
Forensic Lightning Studies or, Which Flash
Caused the Casualty?
  • 2 important things I needed to know
  • LOCATION
  • Where was the victim struck?
  • Typically this was well known (GPS), News Media
  • TIME
  • What time the victim was struck?
  • Not so easy, narrowed down by
  • 911 call registry
  • News Media

7
Data Analysis
  • In this study, Cloud to Ground (CG) lightning
    from the Vaisala National Lightning Detection
    Network, and National Weather Service Composite
    Reflectivity (CR) radar data were analyzed
  • CR radar scan times - 5 or 6 minutes
  • Lightning data occurred during the time of the
    composite reflectivity image
  • Radar stamp denotes the time the volume scan
    began (red circle)
  • Note all times are in UTC (Zulu)
  • UTC Local Time 6 hours
  • Most radar plots in this presentation show
    precipitation/lightning over a 400 square mile
    area (20 x 20mi).

8
24 August 2003 Lake George
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

59 Year old male, riding motorcycle, fatally
wounded just east of Lake George, Colorado.
N
C Delorme
Motorcyclist was traveling eastbound on highway
24

Location of cyclist came to rest
9
24 August 2003 Lake George
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

59 Year old male, riding motorcycle, fatally
wounded just east of Lake George, Colorado.
N
Cyclist was heading towards photographer in image
above. From Colorado State Patrol accident
records, arrow points to location of where flash
likely occurred.
C Delorme
Motorcyclist was traveling eastbound on highway
24

Location of cyclist came to rest
10
24 August 2003 Lake George
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 911 call received at 2247 UTC
  • 2 flashes occurred within ½ mile of where cyclist
    came to rest prior to 2247 UTC

0.55 mi / 0.91 km
224624
224228
224314
11
24 August 2003 Lake George
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

Did cyclist know of lightning threat (how much CG
activity)?
11 km / 7 mi
0.55 mi / 0.91 km
224624
46
42
43
224228
45
224314
44
Highway 24
Park/Teller county line
2242-2247 UTC
12
24 August 2003 Lake George
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

Did cyclist know of lightning threat (how much CG
activity)?
11 km / 7 mi
46
42
43
45
44
Highway 24
Park/Teller county line
2232-2237 UTC
2237-2242 UTC
2242-2247 UTC
  • Three 5 minute lightning plot and composite radar
    imagery between 2232 2247 UTC
  • 7-10 flashes occurred just south and east of Lake
    George prior to the fatal flash
  • Eyewitness in car immediately behind motorcycle
    observed lightning flashes (also witnessed flash
    which caused fatality). Witness also noted heavy
    rain was falling at time of flash

13
24 August 2003 Lake George
Casualty/Location Time of Event
NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Based on lightning plots, radar imagery and
    eyewitness account, motorcyclist likely knew of
    lightning threat.
  • Sadly, cyclist drove past Lake George (1.5 miles
    back to his west). A couple of convenience stores
    are located in Lake George, and he could of
    stopped there and waited out the storm.
    (Eyewitness reported it was raining heavily at
    the time of the strike).
  • This case is an example of either
  • Lack of understanding the threat (Did the cyclist
    understand that he could be struck by lightning?)
  • Poor judgment

14
27 July 2003 - Crestone
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 25 year old female struck and killed while coming
    down Willow Creek Trail near Crestone, Colorado.
  • Husband was with her, but was not injured by
    flash.
  • According to rescue officials, the couple was
    located at mid slope in heavy timber when the
    flash occurred.

C Delorme
15
27 July 2003 - Crestone
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Time of incident estimated from husbands watch
  • Flash caused watch to stop at 2235 UTC

16
27 July 2003 - Crestone
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

30 minute NLDN/Radar loop (2211 - 2241
UTC) Fatal flash occurred 2236 UTC (small
yellow circle in center of radar image)
17
27 July 2003 - Crestone
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

Radar/Lightning data indicated these hikers
really did not have a chance to get to safety in
time. Numerous CG flashes were noted prior to the
fatal flash. Heavy rain was falling prior to
fatal flash
18
06 September 2005 Rocky Ford
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 36 Year old male fatally wounded on farmstead
  • Coroners report indicated victim just finished
    loading hay into pole barn and was returning to
    his vehicle.

Bob Fowler, Otero County Coroner and Author
standing at location where victim was found
19
06 September 2005 Rocky Ford
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Coroners report estimated death around 600 pm
    MDT 06 Sept (0000 Z 07 Sept).
  • Body was not found until 1130 pm (0530 UTC)
  • Time of fatality estimated from time on watch
    (557 PM ) and report of loud thunderclap on
    farmstead around 600 PM

20
06 September 2005 Rocky Ford
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

31 minute NLDN/Radar loop (2339 - 0010
UTC) Fatality likely occurred at 0006 UTC
(yellow circle)
21
06 September 2005 Rocky Ford
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Fatal flash likely occurred at 0006 UTC
  • Storm was producing infrequent CG activity
  • 5 flashes in 25 minutes
  • Heavier rain had just ended
  • Did he start to run for car after rain was
    letting up??

22
01 August 2004 - Breckenridge
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 28 year old female struck and killed while hiking
    along French Gulch Trail just east of
    Breckenridge, Colorado.
  • 2 others were walking by her side when she was
    hit, but they did not receive any known
    electrical injuries which required medical
    treatment (one female received a broken wrist
    when she was knocked to the ground by the flash.

x
C Delorme
Photo courtesy Joanne Richardson, Summit County
Coroner
23
01 August 2004 - Breckenridge
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Time of incident in this case is not exact.
  • All 3 victims where knocked to the ground. Two
    which survived were believed to be unconscious
    for a brief period of time (10 minutes?)
  • Once recovering consciousness, tried CPR on
    victim for 5-10 minutes
  • One victim eventually ran for help took 10
    minutes to find a house to dial 911
  • 911 call made at 2119 UTC

24
01 August 2004 - Breckenridge
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

41 minute NLDN/Radar loop (2011 - 2052
UTC) Fatality likely occurred at 2038 UTC (red
circle) 911 call made at 2119 UTC
25
01 August 2004 - Breckenridge
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Hikers heard thunder in the distance, turned
    around and attempted to return to their vehicle
  • Although they were heading back towards their
    vehicle, they didnt believe storm was a real
    threat
  • One of the members commented that she has been in
    worse storms then this

26
29 May 2004 - Littleton
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 43 Year old male fatally wounded by a flash while
    golfing at Meadows Golf course in Littleton, CO
  • Son also injured
  • 2 others knocked down by flash, but not injured

27
29 May 2004 - Littleton
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Fatal flash occurred at 184240 UTC

28
29 May 2004 - Littleton
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

30 minute NLDN/Radar loop (1813 -1843
UTC) Fatality occurred at 1842 UTC (red circle)
29
29 May 2004 - Littleton
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Storm which produced flash was a small convective
    cell
  • No lightning 30 minutes prior to event
  • This is a case of a first flash of the storm
    producing a fatality
  • Event occurred relatively early in the day (1242
    local time)
  • Numerous small showers through time period

30
24 July 2003 Red Cone Pass
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Young male struck and injured in the vicinity of
    Red Cone Pass.
  • Located on Continental Divide southeast of
    Keystone, Colorado

C Delorme
31
24 July 2003 Red Cone Pass
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Report received of Lightning strike victim on top
    of Red Cone pass at 2130 UTC (330 MDT). Exact
    location unknown (no GPS)
  • Victim got out of a jeep once they reached the
    summit area and was struck shortly thereafter
  • Review of NLDN indicated 2 flashes occurred in
    the vicinity of Red Cone Pass
  • 211608 UTC 0.8 km (0.5 mi) of Red Cone Pass
  • 212620 UTC 3 km (2 mi) east of Red Cone Pass

32
24 July 2003 Red Cone Pass
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

58 minute NLDN/Radar loop (2037 - 2135 UTC) No
CG activity between 2037 UTC and 2116 UTC (gt35
min). 1st flash at 2116 UTC 2nd flash at 2121
UTC (too far away to NW West of Montezuma) 3rd
flash at 2126 UTC
33
24 July 2003 Red Cone Pass
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Report received of lightning flash victim at 2130
    UTC
  • If flash at 2116 UTC was flash which caused
    casualty, then this case was an example of the
    first flash of the storm producing a casualty
  • If flash at 2126 UTC caused the casualty, then
    this case was an example of infrequent lightning
    activity (only 2 other flashes occurred prior to
    this flash, one at 2116 and 2121 UTC

34
07 July 2004 Arvada
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 9 Year old struck at Youth Memorial Sports
    complex in Arvada, CO
  • Heart stopped from flash, revived by 2 nearby
    folks who knew CPR

35
07 July 2004 Arvada
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Time of flash was 0012 UTC 08 July 2004 (612 MDT
    07 July 2004)

36
07 July 2004 Arvada
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

42 minute NLDN/Radar loop (2334 -0016 UTC)
Flash which caused injury occurred at 0012 UTC
(yellow circle)
37
07 July 2004 Arvada
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Storm producing infrequent CG Lightning
  • 2 flashes occurred 30 minutes prior to the child
    being struck,
  • 1st flash 22 minutes prior
  • 2nd flash 5 minutes prior
  • Both were 5 miles away (thunder would not arrive
    until 25 seconds after flash)
  • Light rain likely occurring at time of flash
    (heavier rain just to south)

38
23 June 2005 - Pueblo
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 13 Year old female struck by lightning while
    scrimmaging for a softball game at Pueblo East
    High School

39
23 June 2005 - Pueblo
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 911 report received at 0001 UTC 24 June 2005 (601
    pm MDT 23 June)

40
23 June 2005 - Pueblo
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

40 minute NLDN/Radar loop (2326 -0006 UTC) Flash
which caused injury occurred at 0001 UTC (red
circle) Closer examination of radar in this
case
41
23 June 2005 - Pueblo
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary

0001
0355s
0145s
0532s
0104s - FATAL
Injury
0427s
0245s
0119s
42
23 June 2005 - Pueblo
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Only 10 flashes occurred within 30 minutes of the
    flash which caused the casualty
  • All flashes except one were gt5 miles away
  • The one flash which lt5 miles away occurred 3.5
    miles to the east-southeast 15 minutes prior.
  • Nearest flash prior to the casualty flash
    occurred 2 ½ minutes earlier to the southeast
  • Thunder was heard prior to girl being struck,
    lightning was observed in the distance
  • Radar indicated light to moderate rain, although
    press reports indicate no rain was occurring

43
25 August 2000 - Pikes Peak
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 18 year old male fatally wounded on top of Pikes
    Peak, Colorado
  • NOTE This case occurred prior to the WES
    computer system I was not able to overlay
    lightning data with radar data.

44
25 August 2000 - Pikes Peak
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Search and Rescue received report of lightning
    flash victim on top of Pikes Peak around 1900 UTC
    25 Aug 2000

45
25 August 2000 - Pikes Peak
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • 3 Flashes in Colorado between 1800 and 1900 UTC
    on this date
  • One of these flashes is located on the top of
    Pikes Peak Flash occurred at 185654 UTC
  • No lightning occurred in within 20 miles of Pikes
    Peak between 1900 and 1930 UTC (not shown)

1 Hour Lightning Plot between 18 and 19 UTC
Topo map
46
25 August 2000 - Pikes Peak
  • Casualty/Location Time of Event
    NLDN/Radar Summary
  • Based on this analysis, this case is an example
    of the first flash from the convective cell
    striking a victim
  • According to Search and Rescue, no thunder was
    heard prior to the fatal flash
  • 2 other flashes did occur in the region during
    the hour (1800 1900 UTC), but were too far away
    to be heard or seen
  • This case was formally published in Weather and
    Forecasting, June 2004

1856 UTC radar imagery, Zero minutes prior to
fatal flash
47
Concluding Summary
  • Hikers (Crestone and Breckenridge cases)
  • These people did not have time to get back to
    safety
  • They knew of threat, but did not get back to a
    safe shelter in time
  • They were in heavy timber at time of flash
  • Did they know to seek shelter away from taller
    trees?
  • Pictures from Breckenridge case clearly showed
    very tall trees at the location of the flash
  • Better education for hikers needed (especially if
    they get caught on the trail?)
  • Both hiking cases the hikers were in the
    immediate vicinity of large tall trees
  • Stay away from trees
  • Dont hike during afternoon in mountains when
    storms are possible

48
Concluding Summary
  • Remainder of cases (7)
  • Some interesting resultsNearly all of the
    remainder of the cases in this study showed they
    were either hit by the first flash from the
    storm, or the storm was producing infrequent
    lightning (lt 1 flash per minute averaged over a 5
    minute time period).
  • Pikes Peak 1st flash
  • Arvada Very infrequent CG activity
  • Littleton 1st flash
  • Red Cone (likely) 1st flash
  • Pueblo Infrequent CG activity
  • Rocky Ford Infrequent CG activity
  • Lake George (motorcycle case) Likely either
    poor judgment or did not understand the threat
    (Lightning activity was infrequent in this case)

49
Concluding Summary
  • All Cases - RAIN
  • Nearly all cases it appears from radar that rain
    was generally light or not raining (but rain very
    close by) during the time of the casualty.
    Exception was Lake George (motorcycle case) and
    Crestone (hiker) case.
  • Storm movement Storms did not appear to be
    moving uncharacteristically too fast
  • 5 to 15 mph

50
Concluding Summary
  • Only 9 cases were reviewed
  • We will look at more cases as time permits

51
Additional Comment
  • In some of these cases, the victims who were
    struck were revived with CPR.
  • Please take a CPR class.

52
Questions?
Acknowledgments Bill Fortune, MIC NWS PUB Paul
Wolyn, SOO NWS PUB Andy Lutz ITO NWS PUB Bob
Glancy WCM NWS BOU Tom Magnuson, WCM NWS PUB Dr
Michael Cherington, St Anthony's Medical
Center/LDC Denver, Ken Cummins, Vaisala Ron
Holle Irv Watson, SOO NWS TLH Steve Goodman,
NASA MSFC Bard Zajac Larry Dunn, El Paso County
Search and Rescue Michael Bratner John Weaver
CIRA/CSU Dan Lindsey, CIRA/CSU Dr Earle
Williams, LL/MIT Mike Norris, Saguache County
Sheriff Sergent Martin Petrik, Colorado State
Patrol Ben Black Danny Haynes Joanne
Richardson, Summit County Coroner Bob Fowler,
Otero County Coroner and Lisa M
Hodanish Special thanks go to those people (who
shall remain anonymous) who were either witnesses
to the lightning strike events, or who were
friends or family of the victims. This talk is
on the net (in text form) Weather.gov/pub/ltg.php

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