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Title: Lecture Presentation Software to accompany Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management Eighth Editi


1
Lecture Presentation Software to
accompanyInvestment Analysis and Portfolio
ManagementEighth Editionby Frank K. Reilly
Keith C. Brown
Chapter 19

2
Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
  • Questions to be answered
  • What are the four major bond portfolio management
    strategies?
  • What are the two passive portfolio management
    strategies available?

3
Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
  • What are the five active bond portfolio
    management strategies available?
  • What is meant by care-plus bond management and
    what are some plus strategies?
  • What is meant by matched-funding techniques, and
    what are the four specific strategies available
    in this category?

4
Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
  • What are the major contingent procedure
    strategies that are also referred to as
    structured active management strategies?
  • What are the implications of capital market
    theory for those involved in bond portfolio
    management?

5
Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
  • What is the evidence on the efficient market
    hypothesis as it relates to bond markets?
  • What are the implications of efficient market
    studies for bond portfolio managers?

6
Alternative Bond Portfolio Strategies
  • 1. Passive portfolio strategies
  • 2. Active management strategies
  • 3. Core-plus management strategy
  • 3. Matched-funding techniques
  • 4. Contingent procedure (structured active
    management)

7
Passive Portfolio Strategies
  • Buy and hold
  • A manager selects a portfolio of bonds based on
    the objectives and constraints of the client with
    the intent of holding these bonds to maturity
  • Indexing
  • The objective is to construct a portfolio of
    bonds that will equal the performance of a
    specified bond index

8
Active Management Strategies
  • Interest-rate anticipation
  • Risky strategy relying on uncertain forecasts
  • Ladder strategy staggers maturities
  • Barbell strategy splits funds between short
    duration and long duration securities
  • Valuation analysis
  • The portfolio manager attempts to select bonds
    based on their intrinsic value
  • Credit analysis
  • Involves detailed analysis of the bond issuer to
    determine expected changes in its default risk

9
Active Management Strategies
  • High-Yield Bond Research
  • Several investment houses such as Merrill Lynch,
    First Boston, Lehman Brothers, etc., have
    developed specialized high-yield groups that
    examine high-yield bond issues and monitor
    high-yield bond spreads
  • Yield spread analysis
  • Assumes normal relationships exist between the
    yields for bonds in alternative sectors
  • Bond swaps
  • Involve liquidating a current position and
    simultaneously buying a different issue in its
    place with similar attributes but having a chance
    for improved return

10
Bond Swaps
  • Pure Yield Pickup Swap
  • Substitution Swap
  • Tax Swap
  • Swap strategies and market-efficiency
  • Bond swaps by their nature suggest market
    inefficiency

11
A Global Fixed-Income Investment Strategy
  • Factors to consider
  • The local economy in each country including the
    effects of domestic and international demand
  • The impact of total demand and domestic monetary
    policy on inflation and interest rates
  • The effect of the economy, inflation, and
    interest rates on the exchange rates among
    countries

12
Core-Plus Bond Portfolio Management
  • This involves having a significant (core) part of
    the portfolio managed passively in a widely
    recognized sector such as the U.S. Aggregate
    Sector or the U.S. Government/Corporate sector.
  • The rest of the portfolio would be managed
    actively in one or several additional plus
    sectors, where it is felt that there is a higher
    probability of achieving positive abnormal rates
    of return because of potential inefficiencies

13
Matched-Funding Techniques
  • Dedicated Portfolios
  • Dedication refers to bond portfolio management
    techniques that are used to service a prescribed
    set of liabilities
  • Pure Cash-Matched Dedicated Portfolios
  • Most conservative strategy
  • Dedication With Reinvestment
  • Cash flows do not have to exactly match the
    liability stream

14
Matched-Funding Techniques
  • Immunization Strategies
  • A portfolio manager (after client consultation)
    may decide that the optimal strategy is to
    immunize the portfolio from interest rate changes
  • The immunization techniques attempt to derive a
    specified rate of return during a given
    investment horizon regardless of what happens to
    market interest rates

15
Immunization Strategies
  • The process intended to eliminate interest rate
    risk is referred to as interest rate risk
  • Components of Interest Rate Risk
  • Price Risk
  • Coupon Reinvestment Risk

16
Classical Immunization
  • Immunization is neither a simple nor a passive
    strategy
  • An immunized portfolio requires frequent
    rebalancing because the modified duration of the
    portfolio always should be equal to the remaining
    time horizon (except in the case of the
    zero-coupon bond)

17
Classical Immunization
  • Duration characteristics
  • Duration declines more slowly than term to
    maturity, assuming no change in market interest
    rates
  • Duration changes with a change in market interest
    rates
  • There is not always a parallel shift of the yield
    curve
  • Bonds with a specific duration may not be
    available at an acceptable price

18
Matched-Funding Techniques
  • Horizon matching
  • Combination of cash-matching dedication and
    immunization
  • Important decision is the length of the horizon
    period

19
Contingent Procedures
  • A form of structured active management
  • Constrains the manager if unsuccessful
  • Contingent immunization
  • duration of portfolio must be maintained at the
    horizon value
  • cushion spread is potential return below current
    market
  • safety margin
  • trigger point

20
Implications of Capital Market Theory and the EMH
on Bond Portfolio Management
  • Bonds and Total Portfolio Theory
  • Bonds and Capital Market Theory
  • Bond Price Behavior in a CAPM Framework
  • Bond-Market Efficiency

21
The InternetInvestments Online
  • http//www.ryanalm.com
  • http//www.cmsbondedge.com
  • http//smithbarney.com/research/fixed_income.html
  • http//www.smithbarney.com/products_services/fixed
    _income/
  • http//www.bergencapital.com/research/files/Ladder
    edPortfolio.html
  • http//www.askmerrill.ml.com/investments/
  • http//www.mlim.ml.com/usa/
  • http//www.finpipe.com

22
  • End of Chapter 19
  • Bond Portfolio Management Strategies

23
Future topicsChapter 20
  • An Introduction to Derivative Markets and
    Securities
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