Title: Lecture Presentation Software to accompany Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management Eighth Editi
1Lecture Presentation Software to
accompanyInvestment Analysis and Portfolio
ManagementEighth Editionby Frank K. Reilly
Keith C. Brown
Chapter 19
2Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
- Questions to be answered
- What are the four major bond portfolio management
strategies? - What are the two passive portfolio management
strategies available?
3Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
- What are the five active bond portfolio
management strategies available? - What is meant by care-plus bond management and
what are some plus strategies? - What is meant by matched-funding techniques, and
what are the four specific strategies available
in this category?
4Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
- What are the major contingent procedure
strategies that are also referred to as
structured active management strategies? - What are the implications of capital market
theory for those involved in bond portfolio
management?
5Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
- What is the evidence on the efficient market
hypothesis as it relates to bond markets? - What are the implications of efficient market
studies for bond portfolio managers?
6Alternative Bond Portfolio Strategies
- 1. Passive portfolio strategies
- 2. Active management strategies
- 3. Core-plus management strategy
- 3. Matched-funding techniques
- 4. Contingent procedure (structured active
management)
7Passive Portfolio Strategies
- Buy and hold
- A manager selects a portfolio of bonds based on
the objectives and constraints of the client with
the intent of holding these bonds to maturity - Indexing
- The objective is to construct a portfolio of
bonds that will equal the performance of a
specified bond index
8Active Management Strategies
- Interest-rate anticipation
- Risky strategy relying on uncertain forecasts
- Ladder strategy staggers maturities
- Barbell strategy splits funds between short
duration and long duration securities - Valuation analysis
- The portfolio manager attempts to select bonds
based on their intrinsic value - Credit analysis
- Involves detailed analysis of the bond issuer to
determine expected changes in its default risk
9Active Management Strategies
- High-Yield Bond Research
- Several investment houses such as Merrill Lynch,
First Boston, Lehman Brothers, etc., have
developed specialized high-yield groups that
examine high-yield bond issues and monitor
high-yield bond spreads - Yield spread analysis
- Assumes normal relationships exist between the
yields for bonds in alternative sectors - Bond swaps
- Involve liquidating a current position and
simultaneously buying a different issue in its
place with similar attributes but having a chance
for improved return
10Bond Swaps
- Pure Yield Pickup Swap
- Substitution Swap
- Tax Swap
- Swap strategies and market-efficiency
- Bond swaps by their nature suggest market
inefficiency
11A Global Fixed-Income Investment Strategy
- Factors to consider
- The local economy in each country including the
effects of domestic and international demand - The impact of total demand and domestic monetary
policy on inflation and interest rates - The effect of the economy, inflation, and
interest rates on the exchange rates among
countries
12Core-Plus Bond Portfolio Management
- This involves having a significant (core) part of
the portfolio managed passively in a widely
recognized sector such as the U.S. Aggregate
Sector or the U.S. Government/Corporate sector. - The rest of the portfolio would be managed
actively in one or several additional plus
sectors, where it is felt that there is a higher
probability of achieving positive abnormal rates
of return because of potential inefficiencies
13Matched-Funding Techniques
- Dedicated Portfolios
- Dedication refers to bond portfolio management
techniques that are used to service a prescribed
set of liabilities - Pure Cash-Matched Dedicated Portfolios
- Most conservative strategy
- Dedication With Reinvestment
- Cash flows do not have to exactly match the
liability stream
14Matched-Funding Techniques
- Immunization Strategies
- A portfolio manager (after client consultation)
may decide that the optimal strategy is to
immunize the portfolio from interest rate changes - The immunization techniques attempt to derive a
specified rate of return during a given
investment horizon regardless of what happens to
market interest rates
15Immunization Strategies
- The process intended to eliminate interest rate
risk is referred to as interest rate risk - Components of Interest Rate Risk
- Price Risk
- Coupon Reinvestment Risk
16Classical Immunization
- Immunization is neither a simple nor a passive
strategy - An immunized portfolio requires frequent
rebalancing because the modified duration of the
portfolio always should be equal to the remaining
time horizon (except in the case of the
zero-coupon bond)
17Classical Immunization
- Duration characteristics
- Duration declines more slowly than term to
maturity, assuming no change in market interest
rates - Duration changes with a change in market interest
rates - There is not always a parallel shift of the yield
curve - Bonds with a specific duration may not be
available at an acceptable price
18Matched-Funding Techniques
- Horizon matching
- Combination of cash-matching dedication and
immunization - Important decision is the length of the horizon
period
19Contingent Procedures
- A form of structured active management
- Constrains the manager if unsuccessful
- Contingent immunization
- duration of portfolio must be maintained at the
horizon value - cushion spread is potential return below current
market - safety margin
- trigger point
20Implications of Capital Market Theory and the EMH
on Bond Portfolio Management
- Bonds and Total Portfolio Theory
- Bonds and Capital Market Theory
- Bond Price Behavior in a CAPM Framework
- Bond-Market Efficiency
21The InternetInvestments Online
- http//www.ryanalm.com
- http//www.cmsbondedge.com
- http//smithbarney.com/research/fixed_income.html
- http//www.smithbarney.com/products_services/fixed
_income/ - http//www.bergencapital.com/research/files/Ladder
edPortfolio.html - http//www.askmerrill.ml.com/investments/
- http//www.mlim.ml.com/usa/
- http//www.finpipe.com
22- End of Chapter 19
- Bond Portfolio Management Strategies
23Future topicsChapter 20
- An Introduction to Derivative Markets and
Securities