FRISBEE: Freight Transport Model in the Baltic Sea Area

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FRISBEE Freight Transport Model in the Baltic
Sea Area

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Parties

• The Client
• The Finnish Ministry of Communication and
  Transport
• Consultants
• The State Research Center
• LT-Consultants Ltd
• Matrex Ltd
• Interest Groups (Steering Board)
• Road Administration
• Railway Administration
• Customs
• Associations

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Background

• strategic level decision making must be enhanced
  taking into consideration the risks and
  possibilities involved in the process, using the
  best data and tools available
• good background information of the past, present
  and future development
• good analytical tools for consistent evaluation
  of possibilities and scenarios
• a will to use analytical information for the best
  of the country in the decision making process.
  Truthful information to the people

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Objectives and the scope

• knowledge management system for freight transport
  on strategic level
• an open system for
• decision makers
• experts and researchers, companies, public
  organizations, general public
• emphasis on the Baltic and Barents areas, also
  other European countries and continents included
• based mostly on the existing data
• STEMM
• STREAMS
• SCENES
• EUROSIL etc.

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Concept
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Contents

• Supply
• transport networks and terminals for all the
  modes
• transport services on all the networks and
  terminals
• Demand
• freight flows aggregated to 12 commodity groups
  between NUTS3 defined zones
• Costs
• unit cost for all the modes and commodities
• Data on general background variables
• population, employment, GNP etc.

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Cost components

• By mode and by commodity, for links and
  transfers
• Operation costs
• Risk of damage
• Reliability
• Value of goods
• Transport time
• Frequency

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Possibilities

• Scenario development, comparison and analysis
• Public presentation of certain plans and
  scenarios (through internet)
• Updatable data bank of freight transport system
  (once a year)
• Project development at marginal cost

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STAN software

• STAN Strategic Transportation ANalysis
• The objective of STAN is to assist the strategic
  planning of multiproduct multimode transportation
  systems. The aim is to correctly represent the
  elements of the system, to capture their
  interactions, and to obtain an overall estimation
  of the movements of most (all) products, by
  most (all) of the modes available, following
  various assignment criteria and scenario
  definitions.
• The modelling approach as well as the initial
  version of STAN, were developed in the late 80s
  at the Center for Research on Transportation
  (C.R.T.) of the University of Montréal. Since
  1988, technical support and development has been
  provided by INRO Consultants.

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The STAN model components
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STAN data bank
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Possible STAN applications in analysis

• combination of infrastructure projects
• cost/benefit analysis
• location of new facilities
• alternatives for various types of infrastructure
  projects
• environmental impact studies
• energy consumption
• shift in modal share
• withdraval of services on certain facilities
• sensitivity analysis regarding network and cost
  structure changes
• rationalizing of services
• toll roads and tunnels
• domestic and export/import freight flows
• hazardous goods
• empty vehicle movements
• combined transportarion
• intermodal transshipments
• traffic restrictions
• interperiod warehousing choice

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Case 1 Reducing shipping costs

• The fairway due, based on ship size and ice
  class, was reduced by 50 in the Finnish
  territorial waters in 2000/2001. Frisbee data
  bank was tested with the same inputs.
• Results
• Transito freight at the Russian border increased
  by 2.5 -4 million tons/year this is in
  accordance with the real data
• truck freight increased by 0.5 million tons/year
• Transport work increased inside Finland 400-600
  million tonkms

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Case 1 plots

• changes on the rail network

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Case 2 Road fees on TEN-network

• Road fees were increased on TEN-network 0.15/km
• Export and import considered
• Results
• foreign trade related road transports in Finland
  would decrease by 10
• the respective rail transports would increase by
  5
• In the Central Europe,foreign road transports
  would decrease 15-20 and rail transports would
  increase 20-30
• at the Russian/Finnish border, rail transport
  would increase 0.5 million tons and road
  transport would decrease 0.1 million tons/year.
• Finnish inland waterways transport (Saimaa canal)
  would increase 0.1-0.2 million tons/yearIn
• In the whole area, total transport work would
  increase ca. 4 billion tonkm (0.3) and ca. 100
  billion tonkms would use other routes

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Case 2 plot 1

• higher road fees

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Case 2 plot 2

• Changes on the road network

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Case 2 plot 3

• Changes on the rail network

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Case 3 New Baltic Rail Connection

• A quick mental test
• A new railway with European standard from Warsaw
  to Tallinn via Kaunas and Riga
• The Baltic states are members of the EU
• The new rail connection will be fast and reliable
• The sea connections between Finland and Estonia
  are respectively enhanced (II phase)

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Case 3 plot 1

• Changes on the rail network, I phase.
• (1000 tons/v).

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Case 3 plot 2

• Changes on the rail network, II phase compared
  to I-phase. (1000/v).

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Case 3 plot 3

• Changes on the road network in Finland, II phase
  compared to I-phase (1000t/v).

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SIKA, port study