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Title: Columbus reported to his king and queen that the world was round, and he went down in history as the


1
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  • Columbus reported to his king and queen that the
    world was round, and he went down in history as
    the man who first made this discovery. I returned
    home and shared my discovery only with my wife
    and only in whisper Honey, I confined, I think
    the world is flat Thomas L. Friedman, The
    World is Flat, Farrar Straus and Giroux, New
    York, 2005

2
  • Equally important, these different lenses make it
    possible to imagine a genuinely new set of
    possibilities for a future world order. The
    building blocks of this order would not be states
    but parts of states courts, regulatory agencies,
    ministries, legislatures. The government
    officials would participate in many different
    types of networks, creating links across national
    borders and between national and supranational
    institutions. The result could be a world that
    looks like the globe hoisted by Atlas at
    Rockefeller Center, crisscrossed by an
    increasingly dense web of networks. (Anne-Marie
    Slaughter)

3
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4
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    ????????? ???? ???? 1945. ?????? ???? ?? ??? 50
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    ?????????? ??????.

5
  • In diplomacy, international law, journalism, and
    academic analysis, it is widely assumed that
    international relations consists of the relations
    between coherent units called states.
  • Better understanding of political change is
    obtained by analyzing the relations between
    governments and many other actors from each
    country. Global politics also includes companies
    and non-governmental organizations

6
  • Terrorists, arms dealers, money launderers, drug
    dealers, traffickers in women and children, and
    the modern pirates of intellectual property all
    operate through global networks. So,
    increasingly, do governments. Networks of
    government officialspolice investigators,
    financial regulators, even judges and
    legislatorsincreasingly exchange information and
    coordinate activity to combat global crime and
    address common problems on a global scale. These
    government networks are a key feature of world
    order in the twenty-first century, but they are
    underappreciated, undersupported, and underused
    to address the central problems of global
    governance. (Anne-Marie Slaughter A New World
    Order, Princeton University Press, Princeton, New
    Jersey, 2003)

7
  • Turning to the global economy, networks of
    finance ministers and central bankers have been
    critical players in responding to national and
    regional financial crises. The G-8 is as much a
    network of finance ministers as of heads of
    state it is the finance ministers who make key
    decisions on how to respond to calls for debt
    relief for the most highly indebted countries.
    The finance ministers and central bankers hold
    separate news conferences to announce policy
    responses to crises such as the East Asian
    financial crisis in 1997 and the Russian crisis
    in 1998.5 The G-20, a network specifically
    created to help prevent future crises, is led by
    the Indian finance minister and is composed of
    the finance ministers of twenty developed and
    developing countries.
  • Beyond national security and the global economy,
    networks of national officials are working to
    improve environmental policy across borders.
    (Anne-Marie Slaughter)

8
  • Stop imagining the international system as a
    system of statesunitary entities like billiard
    balls or black boxessubject to rules created by
    international institutions that are apart from,
    above these states. Start thinking about a
    world of governments, with all the different
    institutions that perform the basic functions of
    governmentslegislation, adjudication,
    implementationinteracting both with each other
    domestically and also with their foreign and
    supranational counterparts. States still exist in
    this world indeed, they are crucial actors. But
    they are disaggregated. They relate to each
    other not only through the Foreign Office, but
    also through regulatory, judicial, and
    legislative channels.

9
  • The end of the Cold War has brought no mere
    adjustment among states but a novel
    redistribution of power among states, markets,
    and civil society. National governments are not
    simply losing autonomy in a globalizing economy.
    They are sharing powersincluding political,
    social, and security roles at the core of
    sovereignty with businesses, with international
    organizations, and with a multitude of citizens
    groups, known as nongovernmental organizations
    (NGOS). The steady concentration of power in the
    hands of states that began in 1648 with the Peace
    of Westphalia is over, at least for a while.
  • Nontraditional threats, however, are
    risingterrorism, organized crime, drug
    trafficking, ethnic conflict, and the combination
    of rapid population growth, environmental
    decline, and poverty that breeds economic
    stagnation, political instability, and,
    sometimes, state collapse. The nearly 100 armed
    conflicts since the end of the Cold War have
    virtually all been intrastate affairs.
  • (Jessica T. Mathews, Power Shift, Foreign
    Affairs, January/February 1997, pp. 50-66.)

10
  • Subsequent to the end of the Cold War, analysts
    groped for an understanding of the overall
    structures of world politics that marked the
    emergence of a new epoch. As a result, the
    concept of empire became a major preoccupation,
    with the economic and military power of the
    United States considered sufficient for regarding
    it as an empire. Due to the proliferation of new
    microelectronic technologies and for a variety of
    other specified reasons, however, the constraints
    inherent in the new epoch make it seem highly
    unlikely that the U.S. or any other country can
    ever achieve the status of an empire. In effect,
    the substantial shrinkage of time and distance in
    the current period has led to the replacement of
    the age of the nation-state that originated with
    the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648 with the. It is
    an age that has developed on a AGE OF THE
    NETWORKED INDIVIDUAL global scale and that has
    brought an end to the history of empires. (James
    N. Rosenau, Illusions of Power and Empire,
    History and Theory, Theme 44, December 2005, pp.
    73-87

11
  • Numerous sources contribute to the processes of
    fragmegration. Eight seem especially relevant and
    these are listed as the rows in Table 1, along
    with the four columns that refer to the levels of
    aggregation at which the dynamics are operative.
    THE MICRO COLUMN PERTAINS TO INDIVIDUALS, THE
    MACRO COLUMN TO COLLECTIVITIES, THE MICRO-MACRO
    COLUMN TO THE INTERACTION OF INDIVIDUALS AND
    COLLECTIVITIES, AND THE MACRO-MACRO COLUMN TO THE
    INTERACTION OF COLLECTIVITIES. The entries in the
    thirty-two cells are crude hypotheses estimating
    how each of the sources may shape what unfolds at
    each of the levels. None of the hypotheses have
    ever been systematically tested, but they are
    offered by way of suggesting how the newly
    emergent epoch is likely to evolve.

12
  • In so doing Table 1 highlights the messiness,
    nonlinearity, and complexity of our
    disaggregated, fragmegrative world. A measure of
    the complexity is further indicated by
    appreciating that each of the eight sources
    shapes and is shaped by each of the other seven,
    by two of the others, three of the others, and so
    on, an array of permutations and combinations
    that totals 85,344. What follows is confined only
    to the eight sources, leaving their singular and
    combined impact on the other seven for readers to
    ponder if they are so inclined.

13

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15
Thus the five main categories of political actors
in the global system are
  • Nearly 200 governments, including 192 members of
    the UN
  • 64 000 major transnational companies (TNCs), such
    as Shell, Microsoft, or Nestle, with these parent
    companies having just over 866 000 foreign
    affiliates
  • 9 000 single-country non-governmental
    organizations (NGOs) such as Population Concern
    (UK) or the Sierra Club (USA), which have
    significant international activities
  • 240 intergovernmental organizations (IGOs) such
    as the UN, NATO, the European Union, or the
    International Coffee Organization, and
  • 6 600 international non-governmental
    organizations (INGOs), cuch as Amnesty
    International, the Baptist World Alliance, or the
    International Chamber of Shipping, plus a similar
    number of less well-established international
    caucuses and networks of NGOs. (Steve Smith, John
    Baylis)

16
  • Za razliku od sistema hladnog rata, medunarodni
    sistem globalizacije ima sledeca obeleja Prvo,
    struktura moci u medunarodnom sistemu
    globalizacije je mnogo sloenija nego kod sistema
    hladnog rata - ravnotea hladnog rata koja se
    vrtela oko nacionalnih drava (SAD-a i SSSR-a)
    sada ima i dve dodatne ravnotee (izmedu
    medunarodnog sistema globalizacije i nacionalnog
    trita, te izmedu pojedinaca (recimo Osama Bin
    Laden) i nacionalne drave). Ove tri ravnotee
    medusobno se dodiruju, preklapaju i uticu jedna
    na drugu (Thomas L. Friedman, The Lexus and Olive
    Tree)

17
Podela vlasti u dvadeset prvom veku
18
  • Today's powerful nonstate actors are not without
    precedent. The British East India Company ran a
    subcontinent, and a few influential NGOS go back
    more than a century. But these are ?xceptions.
    Both in numbers and in impact, nonstate actors
    have never before approached their current
    strength. And a still larger role likely lies
    ahead. (Jessica T. Mathews)

19
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20
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21
  • First, knowledge is now the key driver of wealth
    creation, and, second, the radical fusion of
    production and consumption prosumingwill lead
    to the explosion of the non-money economy.
  • Conventional economics is about scarcity. But
    knowledge is essentially inexhaustible. If you
    grow rice in a paddy, I cant grow rice in the
    same paddy at the same time. If you use a machine
    tool, I cant use it at the same time. But we can
    both use the same knowledge at the same timeand
    not deplete it. No matter how many people use
    arithmetic, it doesnt get used up. In fact, the
    more people use knowledge together, the more new
    knowledge they tend to create.
  • Its more portable than any other product. It can
    be compressed into symbols and abstractions. It
    tends to leak and is hard to protect. Its
    non-linear, so that tiny insights can yield huge
    outputs. Above all, its intangible.

22
  • And the knowledge at our disposal will only
    continue to grow. Everything a person remembers
    in a 70-year lifespan can be stored digitally on
    a 6-gigabyte chip. And today we have 400
    gigabytes in a personal computer!
  • externalization of labor the third job. Your
    first job is the one you get paid for when you go
    to your office or factory and get a paycheck
    every week or month. Your second job is taking
    care of yourself, your kids, your parents or your
    home, cleaning up or doing the dishes.
  • The third job is the work being outsourced by
    the producer not to India or the Philippines, but
    to you, the consumer, from the friendly companies
    all around you.
  • A few years ago, if I wanted to find out what
    happened to a FedEx or DHL package, Id call some
    number in Memphis or Frankfurt or Tokyo to talk
    to a clerk. Now, Im my own clerk. I go to my
    computer, punch in the tracking number and trace
    the package myself. Im doing what the clerk used
    to do and was paid for. The same is true when we
    use an ATM machine. We do what the teller used to
    do.
  • So, in this new economy, our third job is the
    work we do for all these companies, but dont get
    paid for! Clearly, this adds to our daily stress
    and is yet another reason we always seem to have
    less and less disposable time. (Alvin and Heidi
    Toffler, Revolutionary Wealth How It Will Be
    Created and How It Will Change Our Lives.)

23
  • The most powerful engine of change in the
    relative decline of states and the rise of
    nonstate actors is the computer and
    telecommunications revolution, whose deep
    political and social consequences have been
    almost completely ignored. Widely accessible and
    affordable technology has broken governments'
    monopoly on the collection and management of
    large amounts of information and deprived
    governments of the deference they enjoyed because
    of it. In every sphere of activity, instantaneous
    access to information and the ability to put it
    to use multiplies the number of players who
    matter and reduces the number who command great
    authority. The effect on the loudest voicewhich
    has been government's has been the greatest.
    (Jessica T. Mathews)

24
The Ten Forces that Flattened the World Thomas
L. Friedman
  • Flattener 1 11/9/1989 When the Walls come
    down and the Windows Went up
  • Flattener 2 8/ 9 / 95 When Netscape Went
    Public
  • Flattener 3 Work flow software Lets do Lunch
    Have Your Application Talk to My Application
  • Flattener 4 Open sourcing self-organizing
    Collaborative Communities

25
  • Flattener 5 Outsourcing Y2K
  • Flattener 6 Offshoring Running with Gazelles,
    Eating with Lions
  • Flattener 7 Supply Chaining Eating Sushi in
    Arkansas
  • Flattener 8 Insourcing
  • Flattener 9 In-forming Google,Yahoo, MSN Web
    search
  • Flattener 10 The Steroids Digital, Mobile,
    Personal, and Virtual

26
  • Tri glavne karakteristike "kompleksne
    meduzavisnosti" po Dozefu Naju i Robertu
    Kiohejnu su
  • 1. Postojanje viestranih kanala za kontakte
    izmedu drutava, koji ne moraju odvijati
    iskljucivo preko vlada. Naprotiv. Nevladine
    organizacije, ekonomske elite i drugi "nedravni
    akteri" ovde se pojavljuju kao sasvim
    ravnopravni ucesnici u svetu medunarodnih odnosa
  • 2. Odsustvo hijerarhije medu pitanjima, to
    znaci da se odnosi izmedu razlicitih aktera ne
    mogu klasifikovati po nekakvoj hijerarhiji. Kao
    posledica ovoga, bezbednost drava shvacena
    iskljucivo u vojnom smislu (military security)
    nije jedini predmet odnosa meduzavisnosti izmedu
    aktera. Tako se na agendi spoljnopolitickih
    odnosa mogu naci i takva pitanja kao to su
    ekonomija, ekologija, ljudska prava i drugo
  • 3. Manja uloga vojne sile u odnosima izmedu
    aktera. Oni tvrde da iako u nekim regionima sveta
    (Srednji Istok, Balkan, Afrika, ) vojna sila i
    dalje ostaje cinilac na koji se mora racunati u
    odnosima izmedu drava, u nekim podrucjima je ta
    mogucnost, ipak manje verovatna (Severna Amerika,
    Evropa, Japan, Australija).

27
  • Whatever utility the concept of empire may have
    in probing and explaining earlier epochs, its
    relevance to emergent and future epochs is
    negligible. To summarize the dynamics examined
    here that underlie and sustain the emergent
    epoch, a vast and relentless disaggregation of
    authority is underway throughout the world. It is
    a disaggregation that is likely to severely
    constrain states even as it empowers less
    encompassing sociopolitical entities. Among the
    factors are recent advances in information
    technologies that, in turn, have enabled and
    encouraged individuals to act more
    consequentially on the global stage, either by
    themselves or, equally important, by joining one
    or more of a crowd of organizations that have
    clambered onto the stage. (James N. Rosenau)

28
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  • Every morning in Africa a gazelle wakes up. It
    knows it must run faster than fastest lion or it
    will be killed. Every morning a lion wakes up. It
    knows it must outrun the slowest gazelle or it
    will starve to death. It doesnt matter whether
    you are lion or a gazelle. When the sun comes up,
    you better start running.

29
  • By drastically reducing the importance of
    proximity, the new technologies change people's
    perceptions of community. Fax machines, satellite
    hookups, and the Internet connect people across
    borders with exponentially growing ease while
    separating them from natural and historical
    associations within nations. In this sense a
    powerful globalizing force, they can also have
    the opposite effect, amplifying political and
    social fragmentation by enabling more and more
    identities and interests scattered around the
    globe to coalesce and thrive.

30
  • These technologies have the potential to divide
    society along new lines, separating ordinary
    people from elites with the wealth and education
    to command technology's power. Those elites are
    not only the rich but also citizens groups with
    transnational interests and identities that
    frequently have more in common with counterparts
    in other countries, whether industrialized or
    developing, than with countrymen.

31
  • More international decision-making will also
    exacerbate the socalled democratic deficit, as
    decisions that elected representatives once made
    shift to unelected international bodies this is
    already a sore point for EU members. It also
    arises when legislatures are forced to make a
    single take-it-or-leave-it judgment on huge
    international agreements, like the
    several-thousand-page Uruguay Round trade accord.
    With citizens already feeling that their national
    governments do not hear individual voices, the
    trend could well provoke deeper and more
    dangerous alienation, which in turn could trigger
    new ethnic and even religious separatism. The end
    result could be a proliferation of states too
    weak for either individual economic success or
    effective international cooperation. Finally,
    fearsome dislocations are bound to accompany the
    weakening of the central institution of modern
    society. The prophets of an internetted world in
    which national identities gradually fade,
    proclaim its revolutionary nature and yet believe
    the changes will be wholly benign. They won't be.
    The shift from national to some other political
    allegiance, if it comes, will be an emotional,
    cultural, and political earthquake. (Jessica T.
    Mathews)

32
  • This world would still include traditional
    international organizations, such as the United
    Nations and the World Trade Organization (WTO),
    although many of these organizations would be
    likely to become hosts for and sources of
    government networks. It would still feature
    states interacting as unitary states on important
    issues, particularly in security matters. And it
    would certainly still be a world in which
    military and economic power mattered government
    networks are not likely to substitute for either
    armies or treasuries.
  • At the same time, however, a world of government
    networks would be a more effective and
    potentially more just world order than either
    what we have today or a world government in which
    a set of global institutions perched above
    nation-states enforced global rules. In a
    networked world order, primary political
    authority would remain at the national level
    except in those cases in which national
    governments had explicitly delegated their
    authority to supranational institutions.
    (Anne-Marie Slaughter)

33
THE GLOBALIZATION PARADOX NEEDING MORE
GOVERNMENT AND FEARING IT ((Anne-Marie Slaughter)
34
  • Peoples and their governments around the world
    need global institutions to solve collective
    problems that can only be addressed on a global
    scale. They must be able to make and enforce
    global rules on a variety of subjects and through
    a variety of means... Yet world government is
    both infeasible and undesirable. The size and
    scope of such a government presents an
    unavoidable and dangerous threat to individual
    liberty. Further, the diversity of the peoples to
    be governed makes it almost impossible to
    conceive of a global demos. No form of democracy
    within the current global repertoire seems
    capable of overcoming these obstacles. This is
    the globalization paradox. We need more
    government on a global and a regional scale, but
    we dont want the centralization of
    decision-making power and coercive authority so
    far from the people actually to be governed.
  • Robert Keohane argues that globalization creates
    potential gains from cooperation if institutions
    can be created to harness those gains however,
    institutions themselves are potentially
    oppressive. The result is the Governance
    Dilemma although institutions are essential for
    human life, they are also dangerous.
  • The governance dilemma even becomes a tri-lemma
    we need global rules without centralized power
    but with government actors who can be held to
    account through a variety of political
    mechanisms.

35
  • The state is not the only actor in the
    international system, but it is still the most
    important actor.
  • The state is not disappearing, but it is
    disaggregating into its component institutions,
    which are increasingly interacting principally
    with their foreign counterparts across borders.
    These institutions still represent distinct
    national or state interests, even as they also
    recognize common professional identities and
    substantive experience as judges, regulators,
    ministers, and legislators.
  • Different states have evolved and will continue
    to evolve mechanisms for reaggregating the
    interests of their distinct institutions when
    necessary. In many circumstances, therefore,
    states will still interact with one another as
    unitary actors in more traditional ways.
  • Government networks exist alongside and
    sometimes within more traditional international
    organizations.

36
  • Horizontal Networks - The structural core of a
    disaggregated world order is a set of horizontal
    networks among national government officials in
    their respective issue areas, ranging from
    central banking through antitrust regulation and
    environmental protection to law enforcement and
    human rights protection. These networks operate
    both between high-level officials directly
    responsive to the national political processthe
    ministerial levelas well as between lower level
    national regulators.
  • Vertical Networks - In a disaggregated world
    order, horizontal government networks would be
    more numerous than vertical networks, but
    vertical networks would have a crucial role to
    play. Although a core principle of such an order
    is the importance of keeping global governance
    functions primarily in the hands of domestic
    government officials, in some circumstances
    states do come together the way citizens might
    and choose to delegate their individual governing
    authority to a higher organizationa
    supranational organization that does exist, at
    least conceptually, above the state.

37
  • The emergent structures of world politics are
    such that no countrynot the U.S., not China, not
    the European Unioncan ever exercise imperial
    rule to the extent that the concept of empire,
    however defined, calls for.
  • The processes of disaggregating authority are
    likely to prevent imperial reach from occurring.
    Long concentrated primarily in nation-states and
    their governments, in the present era authority
    has migrated upwards to international and
    transnational organizations, sideways to national
    organizations, and downwards to local governments
    and organizations. In more than a few cases,
    moreover, networked individuals other than public
    officials serve as nodes of authority. These
    migratory patterns have unfolded at different
    paces and moved in different directions in
    different parts of the world, but they are all
    accelerating inasmuch as they derive their energy
    from the same sources and thus serve to hasten
    what has been called the death of time and
    distance. As a consequence, processes of
    integration and fragmentation are unfolding
    simultaneously and endlessly interacting as the
    migration of authority moves helter-skelter and
    in contradictory directions. I have labeled these
    interactive dynamics as fragmegration,
    (odvijanje procesa fragmentacije i integracije u
    isto vreme) a seemingly awkward designation but
    one that fills a gaping whole in our vocabulary.

38
  • Other terms suggestive of the void in our
    vocabulary that highlight the contradictory
    tensions pulling systems toward both coherence
    and collapse are chaord, a label that
    juxtaposes the dynamics of chaos and order
    glocalization, which points to the simultaneity
    of globalizing and localizing dynamics and
    regcal, a term designed to focus attention on
    the links between regional and local phenomena.
    The chaord designation is proposed in Dee W.
    Hock, Birth of the Chaordic Age (San Francisco
    Berrett-Koehler Publishers, 1999) the
    glocalization concept is elaborately developed in
    Roland Robertson, Glocalization Time-Space and
    Homogeneity-Heterogeneity, in Global
    Modernities, ed. Mike Featherstone, Scott Lash,
    and Roland Robertson (Thousand Oaks, CA Sage
    Publications, 1995), 25-44 and the regcal
    formulation can be found in Susan H. C. Tai and
    Y. H. Wong, Advertising Decision Making in Asia
    Glocal versus Regcal Approach, Journal of
    Managerial Issues 10 (Fall 1998), 318-339

39
  • We live in a messy, disaggregating world of
    fragmegrative processes sustained by both
    globalizing and localizing forces. To be sure,
    authority was widely dispersed in earlier
    empires. Rome had its proconsuls and they ruled
    through decentralized arrangements. But I have in
    mind a disaggregation that reaches down to the
    small group and the individual as a consequence
    of technological innovations. If the Treaty of
    Westphalia ushered in the age of the state in
    1648, it can readily be asserted that the age of
    the networked individual took root with the end
    of the Cold War and the explosion of the internet
    as a means of person-to-person, person-to-many,
    and many-to-many communications. More accurately,
    the internet and the cell phone are only the most
    conspicuous of several explosive technologies
    that have enabled people and their organizations
    to mobilize, demand, agree, yield, inform,
    coalesce, fragment, or otherwise interact with
    one another on a global scale.

40
  • The most stubborn authority structure is the
    state. While some states have undergone severe
    authority crises and decline in their capacities
    to cope with challenges from home and abroad, a
    number of states have managed to absorb and adapt
    to the effects of the skill and organizational
    revolutions... Yet, in the nuanced age of the
    networked individual, states can no longer count
    on traditional means of control. Authority has
    been too widely disaggregated, too dispersed
    among a huge variety of mechanisms that
    effectively govern the behavior of people within
    particular spherescodes of conduct, auditing
    mechanisms, certification schemes, truth
    commissions, issue regimes, organizational
    regulations, by-laws, and so onfor states to
    exercise the degrees of authority they once
    possessed. Thus to maintain control they have to
    innovate and adapt, requirements that are likely
    to incrementally erode their controls even as
    they slow the pace of change. States are likely
    to be active on the global stage for a long, long
    time, but their structures and processes seem
    destined for transformation and diminution. It
    follows that, no, we are not looking toward a
    hierarchy-free world and, yes, the flux inherent
    in disaggregated processes may well involve
    occasional reversals to old forms of authority.
    Clearly, trajectories into the future will be
    nonlinear, characterized by zigs and zags that
    will be hard to follow and that will render world
    affairs ever more complex. (James N. Rosenau)

41
??????????
  • James N. Rosenau, Illusions of Power and
    Empire, History and Theory, Theme 44, December
    2005, pp. 73-87.
  • Dragan R. Simic, Nauka o bezbednosti- savremeni
    pristupi bezbednosti, Slubeni list SRJ, Fakultet
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