Title: Valuing the Longevity Insurance Acquired by Delayed Claiming of Social Security
1Valuing the Longevity Insurance Acquired by
Delayed Claiming of Social Security
- Wei Sun and Anthony Webb
- Center for Retirement Research at Boston College
- Fifth International Longevity Risk and Capital
Markets Solutions ConferenceSt. John's
University, New York September 25 - 26, 2009
2What is the optimal age to claim Social Security
benefits?
- How much do households lose by claiming at
sub-optimal ages? - How much does the optimal age vary with
socio-economic status?Calculate Social Security
Equivalent Income factor by which Social
Security benefits of a household claiming at
sub-optimal ages must be multiplied so that it is
indifferent between claiming at those ages and
the optimal combination of ages.
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3The United States Social Security Program
- Retired worker benefit
- Can be claimed at any age between 62 and 70.
- Full Retirement Age 66.
- 25 reduction if claimed at 62.
- 32 increase if claimed at 70.
- Reductions and increases approximately
actuarially fair. - 40 replacement rate if claimed at age 66.
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4The United States Social Security Program
- Spousal Benefit
- If claimed at age 66, equals 50 of spouses
retired worker if claimed at his/her Full
Retirement Age. - Payable to the extent it exceeds own retired
worker benefit. - Must be at least age 62.
- Spouse must have claimed his/her own retired
worker benefit. - 30 reduction if claimed at age 62.
- No increase if claimed after age 66.
- Most claimants are women.
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5The United States Social Security Program
- Survivor benefit
- 100 of husbands benefit if wife is aged 66 or
older when husband dies subject to a floor of
82.5 of husbands Primary Insurance Amount (PIA)
(benefit husband would get if he claimed at 66). - Reduction if wife is less than 66 when husband
dies minimum benefit payable at age 60 equals
71.5 of husbands Primary Insurance Amount.
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6The Social Security Program tradeoffs
- If husband delays claiming his retired worker
benefit gt increase in wifes survivor benefit. - But also delays wifes receipt of spousal benefit.
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7Option to delay is equivalent to purchase of an
annuity
- Example Single earner couple 1,000 benefits
payable at - age 66, both aged 62.
- Can claim at age 62
- get 750 retired worker benefit
- 350 spousal benefit
- 1,100 total benefit
- Can claim at age 63
- get 800 retired worker benefit
- 375 spousal benefit
- 1,175 total benefit
- Buys 75 a month inflation protected joint life
annuity (900 a year) for 13,200 - (1,100 x 12).
- Better terms than those available from insurance
companies.
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8Previous ResearchMunnell and Soto (2005)
Claim Ages at Which Expected Present Value of
Social Security Benefits is Maximized (Husband,
Wife)
Note Age difference equals number of years the
husband is older than the wife. Source Munnell
and Soto (2005).
Earnings
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9Previous research continued
- Costs of claiming at sub-optimal ages typically
small - Sass, Sun, and Webb (2007).
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10But above analyses ignore value of
additionallongevity insurance acquired by delay
- Follow existing annuitization literature
- Assume CRRA utility
-
- Endow households with an amount of financial
wealth equal to the expected present value of
Social Security income. - Each period husband and wife each choose whether
to claim benefits. - Household chooses how much to consume.
- Solved using numerical optimization.
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11Assumptions
- Base case single earner couple, same age, born
1946, CRRA utility, time preferencereal interest
rate3. - Alternatives wife one to six years younger
- -Impatient households.
- -Households in high/low mortality socio economic
groups.
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12Social Security Equivalent Income
Single Men and Women
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13Social Security Equivalent Income
Single Earner Couple Moneys Worths
Female Claim Age Male Claim Age
Note Both the same age.
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14Social Security Equivalent Income
Single Earner Couple CRRA 5
Female Claim Age Male Claim Age
62
65
70
63
66
67
68
64
69
Note Both the same age.
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15Results Single Earner Couples
Later claimers enjoy higher initial consumption
Monthly Consumption
Age
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16Social Security Equivalent Income
Wife Five Years Younger CRRA 5
Female Claim Age Male Claim Age
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17Social Security Equivalent Income
Two Earner Couple CRRA 5
Female Claim Age Male Claim Age
Note Both the same age, wifes PIA 50 of
husbands.
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18Social Security Equivalent Income
Five Percent Rate of Time Preference CRRA 5
Female Claim Age Male Claim Age
Note Both the same age.
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19Black Less than High School CRRA 5
Social Security Equivalent Income
Female Claim Age Male Claim Age
69
62
63
64
66
67
68
70
65
Note Both the same age.
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20Social Security Equivalent Income
White College Educated CRRA 5
Female Claim Age Male Claim Age
62
64
65
63
67
68
69
70
66
Note Both the same age.
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21Why do households claim benefits so early?
- Many households cant afford to delay.
- Desire for liquidity medical costs.
- Another manifestation of annuity puzzle.
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