Title: Reducing the Need for Oil in the Transportation Sector
1Reducing the Need for Oil in the Transportation
Sector
- Improving the Fuel Efficiency of Cars The New
Hybrid Cars
2Current Issues Regarding Fuel Consumption by
Transportation (1)
- Transportation Sector Consumes Over 2/3 of
Petroleum in the U.S. - Public Transportation is Not Widely Used by the
General Public - Its uncool
- Its unavailable
3Issues (2)
- Decrease in Oil Supplies will Increase Cost of
Gasoline. - Increase of Gasoline Costs Will Directly Affect
the Consumer - Passenger Cars do not Currently Meet Fuel
Efficiency Standards Set by Congress SUVs Have a
Lower Standard which Lowers Overall Fuel
Efficiency Even More
4Easier to Change the Car Than to Change the
Person!!
- Sport Utility Vehicles are a Status Symbol
- Only 10-30 of people who own SUVs actually use
them for off-road activities - 38 of the cars on the road are SUVs
- With Hybrid technology, people can keep their
big cars while using less fuel. - Ford Escape, 2004
- Dodge Durango SUV, uncertain release date
5Top 5 Contributors to Greenhouse Gases Around the
World
- United States
- China
- Russia
- Japan
- United States Automobiles
6Law Of Supply and Demand
- A decrease in oil supply will cause an increase
in gas prices - Gas Prices are currently (in Chicago) 1.72 /
gallon - Average U.S. price 1.67
- Imagine Fuel Costs if Gas Prices Continued to Rise
7Electric Cars Are Not the Answer
- While electric vehicles qualify as Zero Emission
Vehicles, they are impractical - Electric vehicles are ideal for short trips
around town, but not so good for cross-country
trips - This is where Hybrid technology becomes key.
8Improving the Fuel Efficiency of Cars Is the
Answer
- 43 of U.S. petroleum use and 11 of world
petroleum use is due to consumption of gasoline
9Improving Fuel Efficiency to 40 mpg would save 2
million barrels of oil per day
10CAFE Standards
- Currently set at 20.7 for light trucks
- 27.5 for cars
- Standards were set in 1978
- Current standards have not changed since 1990,
despite various attempts to change them
legislatively - Between 1997 and 2001, average fuel efficiency
dropped from 22.1 (peaking) to 20.4 (lowest in 20
years)
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12Factors Behind Setting CAFE
- When CAFE standards were designed, light trucks
were predominantly work and cargo vehicles - Comprised less than 20 of new car market
- Today, light trucks comprise nearly 50 of new
car market and are mostly used for personal
transport
13Limits on CAFE
- Vehicles that weigh over 8500 pounds are exempt
from CAFE requirements - This Includes
- Ford Excursion
- Hummer H2
- Chevrolet Suburban 2500
- Automakers can change the car to make it look
like a truck - i.e. PT Cruiser cant tow anything and can only
transport 4 passengers is a light truck because
it has a removable backseat
14Credits for Fuel Efficiency
- Credits for producing alternative fuel vehicles
- Credits for exceeding CAFE standards in a given
year - Credits may be carried backward or forward three
years
15CAFE Fines
- Producers must pay a penalty if the average fuel
efficiency of their individual fleets is below
CAFE standards - Domestic Car Fleet (at 75 of car manufactured in
U.S.) - Imported Car Fleet
- Light Trucks
- 5.50 for every 0.1 MPG that average falls below
relevant standard
16Concerns with Relying on CAFEto Reduce Oil
Consumption
- Possibly encourage more driving instead of
changing personal driving habits - Will automakers really respond?
- Agree to pay fines?
- Produce cars that fall into the light truck
category so as to avoid complying with the more
stringent car CAFE requirements - Reduction in Safety with Lighter Cars
17Will Hybrid Cars Fix These Problems?
- Hybrid Cars are One of the Best Short Term
Solutions to the Overuse of Petroleum by the
Transportation Sector - Without a widespread belief that public
transportation is the Cool thing to do, fuel
efficient cars will allow people to drive just as
much as they do now, while significantly
decreasing use of oil by autos.
18Will Hybrid Cars Actually Encourage More Driving?
- Hard to say
- The U.S. is already a mobile society
- Easy to determine that the car is clean and
therefore justify driving more - People who buy hybrid cars are those who are
interested in conservation, and likely, that
would stay the same for a large percentage of
hybrid buyers - Regardless, Hybrid cars are just a part of the
solutionmaybe the biggest part of the solution,
but nevertheless, just one part
19Will Automakers Respond Appropriately?
- Eliminating differences in CAFE between light
trucks and passenger cars will prevent automakers
from shifting production - Increasing the fine, or adding incentives for
improving fuel efficiency will help prevent the
willing paying of fines
20What about Safety Concerns?
- The Honda Civic Hybrid actually weighs 100 pounds
more than the Honda Civic EX - Effectively, by using Hybrid technology, fuel
efficiency can be increased without sacrificing
the weight of the car - Other equipment has been added to cars to improve
safety such as air bags fatality rates have
declined significantly since enacting CAFE in 1978
21Saving Money at the Pump (Using Current Gas
Price of 1.67 and driving 12,000 miles / year)
- Average Car
- 27.5 mpg 436 gallons of gas per year
- T.C. 728 / year
- Average SUV
- 20.7 mpg 579 gallons of gas per year
- T.C. 967 / year
- Honda Civic Hybrid
- 48 mpg 250 gallons of gas per year
- T.C. 417 / year
- Ford Escape Hybrid
- 30 mpg 400 gallons of gas per year
- T.C. 668 / year
22Are the Differences Enough to Re-Coup the Cost of
the Car?
- At current gas prices, an owner would have to
keep a car for 8 years to recoup the difference
in price between a hybrid and a normal car. - But, if gas prices increase (as expected would
happen if current oil suppliers decreased oil
supply by 25), recoup in price would be noticed
earlier.
23Eight Years With One Car?
- Concern that the battery-operated engine would
not last 8 years and batteries cost 2000-3000
to replace - Honda Toyota both offer 10 year warranties on
the electric motor. - Additionally, tax incentive for buying a hybrid
vehicle. (Currently 2000 adjustment to gross
income)
24Hybrid Cars Are Cool
- Cameron Diaz Drove a Toyota Prius to the Oscars
- Ed Begley, Jr. drove a Prius across the country
- Leonardo DiCaprios family owns 4 Priuses
- Carole King, Billy Joel, David Duchovny, Bill
Maher also own a Prius
25Incentives
- CAFE not effective in that automakers have chosen
to pay fines in many cases - Loophole that allows SUVs to be treated
differently by CAFE, even though most of the
car-buying public buys them to use as passenger
cars - Congress should act to fix these problems
26Proposed Legislation 1
- Senators Diane Feinstein Olympia Snowe
27Components of the Feinstein Proposal
- Require SUVs to meet the same standards as
passenger cars by 2011 - Aimed at bringing SUVs to the same requirements
as currently required by CAFE for passenger cars
(27.5 mpg). - No Change for passenger cars
28Critique of Feinsteins Proposal
- Doesnt improve fuel efficiency of passenger cars
- While SUVs are gaining market share and its
important to close the loophole, we need to
continue to increase fuel efficiency standards
for our passenger cars, especially considering
the technology exists. - However, does prevent automakers from shifting
production to light trucks to avoid fuel
efficiency standards
29Proposed Legislation 2
- Senator Durbins Proposed New Efficiency
Legislation
30Components of Durbins Legislation
- Light Truck exception would only include true
trucks and vansnot SUVs or minivans - Raise the fuel economy of passenger automobiles
to 40 miles per gallon by 2015 with the first
increase required in model year 2006. - Update civil penalties for violating CAFE laws to
account for inflation
31Advantages of Durbins Leg.
- Increasing CAFE to 40 mpg would realize a
cumulative savings of 123 billion gallons of
gasoline by 2015 a number 10 times the amount
projected to be realized from drilling in the
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
32Durbins Other Legislation
- Fuel Efficient Vehicles Tax Incentives Act
- Would Create a tax break for purchasers of cars
that exceed CAFE standards by more than 5 mpg
33Advantages of Durbins Other Legislation
- Encourages the Customer to buy a fuel efficient
carbut it doesnt necessarily apply to hybrid
cars as there is already a tax deduction
available for hybrid car purchasers - Encourages Automakers to produce cars that
customers will buy
34Proposed Changes ala Patti
- Close Loophole for SUVs and Light Trucks that are
used as passenger vehicles - Encourage Automakers to produce more fuel
efficient cars beyond CAFE requirements - Improve CAFE requirements
- Encourage Consumers to purchase Fuel Efficient
Cars
35Closing the Loophole
- Single Standard for all Passenger Vehicles
requires defining passenger vehicle - Phasing the new standard in over time
36Light Truck
- Sold primarily to commercial entities (and not to
soccer moms) - Require dealers to keep track of sales
- Has the ability to tow other vehicles or trailers
beyond the smallest U-Haul-type trailers - Seats more than 4 people
- Other Requirements?
37Passenger Car
- Seats 4 people or less
- Cant tow most trailers or other cars
- Bought primarily by families and private
individuals - Other requirements
38New Unified Standard
- Adopt portions of Senators Feinsteins and
Durbins proposals to eliminate the differences. - Give manufacturers 3-5 years to bring SUVs and
minivans to the current 27.5
39Also Apply to Passenger Cars that Exceed 8500
pounds
- Require large passenger cars (such as the Ford
Excursion) to meet fuel efficiency standards
otherwise, auto manufacturers may just switch to
making super large cars to avoid compliance
40Improving CAFE
- While bringing SUVs and minivans into compliance
with current CAFE standards, also gradually
increase CAFE standards - Gradually, over 7-9 years to 40 mpg
- Effectively, in 9 years, fleet averages for all
automobile makes used primarily for personal
transportation should meet 40 mpg standard
41Encourage Manufacturers to Produce
- Increase Fines for failure to meet standards to a
more harmful level - Currently, many fines are merely built into the
price of an SUV rather than the manufacturer
paying for them out of pocket - Make fines high enough such that if incorporated
into sales price, will discourage average joe
from buying or if not incorporated, will
significantly punish the manufacturer
42Remove Credit System
- Allowing manufacturers to incorporate credits
both forward and backward three years makes for
difficult enforcementcant enforce a fine until
3 years after the failure to meet the goal, by
which point, manufacturers may have made enough
money on the inefficient vehicle to more than
cover the fine
43Or Leave Credit System In With Modifications
- Allow manufacturers to trade credits amongst
selves in same yearin other words, Ford can sell
emissions credits to GM. If Fords average fuel
efficiency is 44, and GMs average fuel
efficiency is 38, then Ford can sell to GM (under
regulated conditions) 2 mpg.
44Encourage Consumers to Buy
- Continue Tax Break for Fuel Efficient Cars
- Dont phase out the HEV tax credit until Hybrid
cars are more established. - Incorporate tax credits for consumers who trade
in an older, less efficient car, for a more
efficient vehicle. - Encourages people who cant afford new cars to
buy a new car - Many less efficient cars stay on the road because
consumers cant afford a new, more efficient one
45How Should Manufacturers Comply?
- Hybrid Cars
- Eliminates risk of lighter cars
- Technology is already available
- Lighter, GEO Metro type cars
- Not popular with people who buy cars as a status
symbol - Safety Risk
46Hybrid Cars
- How do we get there from here?
47Project description
http//www.ta.doc.gov/PNGV-Archive/AboutPNGV/intro
.htm
- Hybrid Emission Vehicle (HEV) Program commenced
in 1993 - Partnership between the US DOE and Big Three
automakers (5 year plan)
48GOALS of Program
- Decrease emissions
- Improve mileage (twice the fuel economy)
- Comparable performance, costs, and safety
49PNGV and DOE
- Goals of program began to mesh with that of PNGV
(Partnership for a new generation of vehicles) - To develop technologies for a new generation of
vehicles
50FreedomCAR
- FY 2003 Re-focusing of PGNV into FreedomCAR
(Cooperative Automotive Research) Program within
DOE)
51Goals (1)
- transforming the transportation sector to run on
renewable resources - Main focus on hydrogen fuel cell cars
52(2)
- Freedom from/to
- petroleum
- pollutants
- choosing vehicle we want
- drive where we want, when we want
- obtain affordable fuel
- http//www.cartech.doe.gov/freedomcar/technical-go
als.html
53PNGV Success
- Decrease foreign oil dependence
- need to become less vulnerable
- Lower pollutants
- Autos major CO contributor
- 194 million autos (1993) gt 270 million (2010)
- Create jobs
- promotes global competitiveness
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55NREL
- National Renewable Energy Laboratory
- Projects technical manager
- Technical work of Big 3 ended in 1999
- NREL continuing to help auto industry with HEV
development by providing technical expertise
(battery management, load reduction, and vehicle
simulation)
56http//www.ctts.nrel.gov/analysis/hev_test/data.sh
tml
57How Hybrids Work
- Electric portion of the motor gets power from
nickel-metal hydride battery (next to fuel tank) - NO PLUGGING IN NEEDED! (battery maintained by
regenerative braking- kinetic energy captured by
forward momentum) - Gasoline engine made from plastic materials
58How It Works (2)
- Two or more sources of power combined
- Ex
- Mo-ped
- Trains
- Buses
- Mining trucks
- Submarines
59Components
- Gas engine
- Fuel tank
- Electric motor
- Generator
- Batteries
- Transmission
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61Electric Motor Components
- Armature or rotor
- Thin wire coiled around two or more poles
- Commutator
- Plate pair attached to axle
- Brushes
- Provides flipping action with the commutator
- Axle
- Field magnet
- DC power supply
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63Poles
- Car motors usually have 3 poles
- Better dynamics in the car (magnet cannot get
stuck b/w the poles) - Avoids wasting energy and wasting the battery
64Generator
- Similar to electric motor, but only produces
electrical power - Used in series hybrids
- Electric motor acts like a generator when it
slows car down to charge the batteries
65Batteries
- Higher voltages? serial
- Higher currents? parallel
- Energy storage device for electric motor
- Electric motor puts energy into batteries and
draws from them - Gives that extra help
66The upper arrangement is called a parallel
arrangement. If you assume that each cell
produces 1.5 volts, then four batteries in
parallel will also produce 1.5 volts, but the
current supplied will be four times that of a
single cell. The lower arrangement is called a
serial arrangement. The four voltages add
together to produce 6 volts.
67Types of Hybrids
- Parallel hybrid
- Fuel tank provides gasoline to engine
- Batteries supply power to electric motor
- Engine and electric motor work together to turn
transmission simultaneously - Transmission turns the wheels
68Parallel Hybrid
- Fuel tank and gas engine connect to transmission
- Batteries and electric motor connect to
transmission independently - Thus, electric motor and gas engine propel auto
69 70- Series hybrid
- Gas engine turns the generator
- Generator charges batteries or powers electric
motor, which rives transmission - Gas engine does not directly power auto
71Series Hybrid
- Components are linear, connecting with
transmission - PICTURE
72Fuel Efficiency
- Regenerative Braking
- Engine shut-off
- Aerodynamics
- Low resistance tires
- Lightweight materials
73Why own a hybrid?
- Combination of technology of electric cars and
economical advantages of conventional cars - Low-emissions, fuel efficient
- Cost of batteries for electric vehicles still too
exorbitant for consumers
74The result
- Electric vehicle advantages that apply to
hybrids - Lower emissions
- Regenerative breaking
- Torque-on-demand
75Ford Escape SUV
- Goals
- Improve fuel efficiency 25 by 2008
76Advantages of Escape
- 40 mpg city/ 29 mpg highway
- 500 miles per tank of gasoline
- Powered by 300 volt battery, along with 2-liter
4-cylinder engine - Performs like V6 Escape (4x4 capability)
- 2001 Escape 18 mpg city/24 mpg highway
77Honda Insight
- 1st gas-electric car in North America
- 61 mpg city/70 mpg highway (Civic comparison)
- Parallel hybrid
- Lightweight body
- Small engine
- Advanced aerodynamics
- 2-Seater
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79Stats
- Runs by Integrated Motor Assist power train (IMA)
- Magnetic electric motor and 5-speed manual
transmission - 1 liter VTEC gasoline engine, 67 hps
- Unique torque features
80Honda Civic Hybrid
- 5-star frontal crash protection rating (NHTSA)
- Decreased gas mileage, lower emissions
- VTEC, i-DSI (Dual Point Sequential Ignition), and
friction-reducing materials excellent
performance - Available in both Manual Transmission and CVT
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82Civic Hybrid Stats
- 48 mpg city/47 mpg highway (ULEV)
- Actual 43 mpg city / 52 mpg highway
- City fuel efficiency decreases in winter when
temps are below freezing closer to 35 mpg in
city highway stays the same - 47 mpg city/48 mpg highway (SULEV)
- 1/03 SULEV marketed in California
- 650 miles per tank of gasoline
- IMA technology 1.3 L VTEC 4-cylinder engine
- 10 year battery life
83Honors/Awards
- 2002 Best fuel economy award
- 2002 Runner-up to Insight in Best Fuel Economy
Class - Best in Category 1-1.4 Liter
84Toyota Prius
- Parallel hybrid
- Electric motor starts the car
- Power Split Device
- Series hybrid
- Only Available in a Continuously Variable
Transmission (CVT)
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86Prius vs. Civic
- Prius
- SULEV rating (emissions 90 cleaner than current
average) - Operates in electric-only mode
- 44 hp/274 volt
- THS switches from all-electric to all-engine
(efficient mixes)
- Civic
- ULEV rating (SULEV available in California)
- Always driven by gas portion with assistance from
electric motor as necessary - gas engine turns off whenever temps are above
freezing and car is stopped or slowing to below
20 mph - 13 hp/144 volt
- Feels more like a normal car when accelerating
87Advantages Stats
- 2000 tax deduction starting July 2002
- In 2004, the deduction decreases to 1500
- 2005 to 1000
- 2006 to 500
- There are talks of Congress extending the
phase-out, but nothing concrete, yet. - Both Honda and Toyota offer extended warranties
(8-10 years) on the electric engine.
88Toyotas Future
- Late 2002 marketing began on 20 fuel cell hybrid
vehicles (FCHVs) - Highlander SUV
- Featuring nickel-metal hydride battery similar to
Prius
89How to make the most of your hybrid
- Dont speed
- Keep speed constant
- Dont stop abruptly
- Manual transmissions let the regenerative
braking work before putting in the clutch
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