Large and Advanced Battery Technology & Markets

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Large and Advanced Battery Technology Markets

• Bharat Book Bureau

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Summary

• REPORT HIGHLIGHTSThis report provides
• An overview of the market for large and advanced
  battery technology, with discussion of
  first-generation, next-generation, specialty, and
  developmental systems.
• Analyses of market trends, with data from 2001
  through 2012, and projections of compound annual
  growth rates (CAGRs) through 2017.
• Definitions of the various systems, such as
  first-generation (lead-acid, nickel-cadmium),
  next-generation (nickel-metal hydride,
  lithium-ion, lithium-polymer), specialty
  (silver-zinc secondary, silver-cadmium,
  nickel-hydrogen, nickel-zinc, metal-air), and
  developmental (sodium-sulfur, high-temperature
  lithium, redox and flow, nickel-iron,
  calcium-metal sulfide, sodium-metal chloride,
  lithium-sulfur).
• Identification of established markets, such as
  motive power, portable product power, stationary
  power and hybrid electric vehicles.

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• STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVESUntil the 1980s, the
  global battery market was considered mature, with
  demand closely related to sales of either
  automobiles or various portable consumer
  products. Since then, advanced batteries have
  helped spark a dramatic change in this
  relationship.Large-and-advanced battery is an
  arbitrary designation developed by BCC Research
  to describe a market-driven battery
  classification. As defined in this report,
  large-and-advanced batteries must have three
  attributes They must be secondary (rechargeable)
  electrochemical energy storage devices
  (batteries), large in terms of size and energy
  capacity and technologically advanced.

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• This definition excludes all primary
  (non-rechargeable) batteries and all lead-acid
  automotive batteries, as well as all A, C and D
  cylindrical batteries and button cells. Most
  non-automotive lead-acid batteries are included.
  Many portable product batteries are included,
  including computer, smartphone, tablet and
  portable tools.Several entirely new classes of
  advanced batteries have been commercialized
  during the last 25 years, including lithium-ion,
  nickel metal hydride and zinc-air designs.
  Meanwhile, improved microelectronic battery
  charger controller technology has allowed
  smaller, higher energy density cells. This has
  often been at the expense of previously important
  battery systems (notably nickel-cadmium and
  portable product lead-acid). This, in turn, has
  allowed the commercialization of portable
  products that would have been impossible without
  these improvements, including laptop and tablet
  computers, smartphones and cordless hand tools.

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• As this synergy continues to develop, there
  are areas where the advanced battery industry
  could experience the explosive growth usually
  associated with emerging industries. Examples
  include hybrid electric vehicles (possibly
  including plug-in versions), as well as
  utility-load leveling systems and wind-power
  energy storage. Battery designers (mainly
  electrochemists) and battery charger designers
  (mainly electrical and electronics specialists)
  will continue to operate together, with better
  batteries and better battery chargers evolving
  together to produce even higher performance
  large-and-advanced batteries.

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• REASONS FOR DOING THE STUDYLarge-and-advanced
  battery technical advances, and a realignment of
  the battery industry players, must be matched by
  new marketing strategies. Battery designers and
  users now must cooperate to meet more demanding
  design requirements. At the same time, there must
  be an understanding of the competitive forces
  that help shape the market, along with up-to-date
  knowledge of competitor activities.Improved
  batteries provide power to an ever-growing suite
  of portable products, including items that were
  previously powered by primary cells or
  first-generation rechargeables (flashlights,
  radios, etc.). There are also products that would
  not really be practical or convenient without
  state-of-the-art batteries (cellular phones,
  smartphones, laptops and tablets). There remains
  the potential for new giant battery markets
  hybrid and plug-in vehicles are one example, as
  are new military battery applications. Extremely
  large batteries are also being evaluated for
  utility load leveling, wind farm power storage
  and remote power generation.

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• Just as lithium batteries replaced
  nickel-based and primary batteries for many
  applications, current lithium-ion battery designs
  are beginning to be replaced by advanced
  lithium-ion chemistries like lithium phosphate,
  lithium iron phosphate and lithium-polymer
  systems. Nickel metal hydride batteries have been
  used in consumer electronics for decades and in
  electric vehicles and especially hybrid vehicles
  for years, and are now being improved for large
  stationary applications. Giant sodium-sulfur
  batteries are being deployed by electric
  utilities. Even the venerable lead-acid battery
  is being improved using new materials.Meanwhile,
  several important trends need to be tracked and
  analyzed.

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• First, several of lithium batteries largest
  and highest growth markets are in transition. For
  instance, an entirely new portable productthe
  tabletis replacing portable computers.
  Stand-alone cellphones are being replaced by
  multi-functional smartphones. At the same time,
  battery-powered plug-in vehicles have been
  commercialized and are competing with both
  conventional internal combustion-powered vehicles
  and increasingly popular internal/combustion/batte
  ry hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs). After
  billions of dollars were earmarked for U.S.
  battery development, several high-profile battery
  and EV companies either failed outright or failed
  to achieve goals.

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• Some traditional markets have declined due
  to global recessionary forces, including
  unemployment, difficulty obtaining consumer
  credit and lower commercial demand. At the same
  time, U.S. gasoline prices peaked and fell from a
  high of more than 4 per gallon and then back to
  somewhat above 2 per gallon. In the Peoples
  Republic of China, the worlds largest fleet of
  EVs are lead-acid battery-powered scooters. The
  ultimate market for these EVs depends on two
  possible scenarios On one hand, Chinese
  legislation may reduce market growth or even
  outlaw the scooters in some significant markets.
  On the other hand, they could spread, starting
  with other continental Asian markets.

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• CONTRIBUTION OF THE STUDY AND INTENDED
  AUDIENCEThis report is intended to provide a
  unique analysis of the global large-and-advanced
  battery market, and will be of interest to
  manufacturers of batteries, battery chargers and
  battery-powered products, including stationary
  and portable products, and battery-powered
  vehicles. It also will be valuable to those
  involved in large-and-advanced battery
  development and marketing, as well as those
  offering competing non-rechargeable power
  sources. Existing or potential battery consumers,
  as well as the military and the medical
  profession, can determine existing or potential
  battery markets. End users (OEMs or consumers)
  will learn what designs battery systems will and
  will not allow.This report also can provide
  valuable information in terms of assessing
  investment in particular technologies and,
  therefore, should benefit investors directly or
  indirectly. Battery suppliers also may find
  market trends of interest in view of establishing
  growth strategies. BCC Research wishes to thank
  those companies, government agencies and
  university researchers who contributed
  information for this report.

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• SCOPE AND FORMATThis report begins with a
  discussion of general battery technology. The
  following kinds of large-and-advanced batteries
  are discussedFirst-generation
  large-and-advanced battery systems.Lead-acid
  batteries.Nickel-cadmium batteries.Next-generati
  on large-and-advanced battery systems.Nickel
  metal hydride batteries.Lithium-ion
  batteries.Lithium-polymer batteries.Specialty
  large-and-advanced battery systems.

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• Silver-zinc secondary batteries.Silver-cadm
  ium secondary batteries.Nickel-hydrogen
  secondary batteries.
• Nickel-zinc batteries.Metal-air
  batteries.Developmental large-and-advanced
  battery systems.Sodium-sulfur batteries.High-tem
  perature lithium batteries.Redox and flow
  batteries.Nickel-iron batteries.Calcium-metal
  sulfide batteries.Sodium-metal chloride
  batteries.Lithium-sulfur batteries.

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• Next, the following established markets are
  considered in this reportMotive power
  Traction, marine and aviation.Portable product
  power Laptops, tablets, smartphones, hand tools
  and lawn care products, military/aerospace.Statio
  nary power Uninterruptible power supplies,
  emergency lighting, remote power, small-scale
  alternative energy storage.Hybrid electric
  vehicles.Large-and-advanced batteries also will
  be used in the following developing
  marketsPlug-in vehicles.Utility load leveling
  and large-scale alternative energy
  storage.Developmental military/aerospace
  applications.These market sectors are defined,
  leading companies are identified and the markets
  analyzed (including a five-year market forecast).
  Finally, large-and advanced-battery companies are
  outlined in the Company
• Profiles chapter.

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• METHODOLOGYBoth primary and secondary research
  methodologies were used in preparing this report,
  which is based on interviews with commercial and
  government sources, literature reviews and patent
  examinations. Throughout the report, past market
  data is expressed in current dollars, and
  estimates and projections are in constant 2012
  dollars. Historic markets and the projected
  markets for 2012 and 2017 are provided. Most
  market summaries are based on a consensus
  scenario. Pessimistic, consensus and optimistic
  market scenarios characterize several
  developmental markets. Totals are rounded to the
  nearest million dollars. When appropriate,
  information from previously published sources is
  identified to allow a more detailed examination
  by clients.

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• INFORMATION SOURCESMarket assumptions used in
  this report include those based on updates of
  material from an earlier version of this
  analysis, as well as from BCC Research studies
  FCB023E Portable Battery Powered Products Global
  Markets and FCB028E Lithium Batteries Markets
  and Materials. This reports author prepared
  these studies as well. Spanning 20 years, he also
  edited the BCC Research newsletter, Hybrid and
  Electric Vehicle Progress and its predecessor
  Battery and Electric Vehicles News. Market
  assumptions used in this report include those
  based on updates of material from an earlier
  version of this analysis, as well as from the BCC
  Research study, Lithium Batteries Markets and
  Materials and Portable Battery-Powered Products
  Global Markets. This reports author prepared
  these studies as well.

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• Both primary and secondary research
  methodologies were used in preparing this report,
  which is based on interviews with commercial and
  government sources, literature reviews and patent
  examinations. An in-depth analysis of technical
  and business literature and published
  dissertations a review of the history of the
  technologies involved and interviews with
  industry experts, company representatives,
  federal government researchers and university
  scientists provides an assessment of the outlook
  for alternative electrical power storage. Other
  information sources include product literature
  from suppliers, scientific references,
  conferences and patent searches.Although many
  segments of the industry are well-documented,
  much of this information is based on estimates
  rather than hard facts. The distinction between
  these estimates and hard facts can be vital, and
  sources are identified wherever possible. When
  appropriate, information from previously
  published sources is identified to allow for a
  more detailed examination.

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