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Title: Expected returns/interest rate on illiquid assets. ...


1
Chapter 14
  • Money, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates
  • November 2009

2
Preview
  • What is money?
  • The supply of money
  • The demand for money
  • Equilibrium in the money market

3
What Is Money?
  • Money is any asset that is widely used and
    accepted as a means of payment.
  • So, a countrys quantity of money (Ms) includes
  • All currency with the public and
  • The value of all checking accounts
  • bank deposits in a foreign currency are excluded
    from this definition.
  • M1 and M2 are two well-known periodically
    published measures of the quantity of money

4
What Is Money? (cont.)
  • Money is very liquid it can be easily and
    quickly used to pay for goods and services.
  • Money, however, pays little or no rate of
    return.
  • Suppose we group assets into money (liquid
    assets) and all other assets (illiquid assets).
    These other assets are less liquid but pay a
    higher return.

5
Money Supply
  • The quantity of money is also called the money
    supply
  • Who controls the money supply?
  • Central banks determine the money supply.
  • In the US, the central bank is the Federal
    Reserve System.
  • The Federal Reserve directly regulates the amount
    of currency in circulation.
  • It indirectly controls the amount of checking
    deposits issued by private banks.

6
Money Demand
  • Money demand is the amount of assets that people
    are willing to hold as money (instead of illiquid
    assets).
  • What influences our willingness to hold money?

7
What Influences Individual Demand for Money?
  • Expected returns/interest rate on illiquid
    assets.
  • Risk the risk of holding money principally comes
    from unexpected inflation, thereby unexpectedly
    reducing the purchasing power of money.
  • but many other assets have this risk too, so this
    risk is not very important in money demand
  • Liquidity A need for greater liquidity occurs
    when either the price of transactions increases
    or the quantity of goods bought in transactions
    increases.

8
What Influences Aggregate Demand for Money?
  • Interest rates money pays little or no interest.
    So, the interest rate on non-money assets (such
    as bonds) is the opportunity cost of holding
    money (instead of non-money assets).
  • A higher interest rate means a higher opportunity
    cost of holding money ? lower money demand.
  • Prices the prices of goods and services bought
    in transactions will influence the willingness to
    hold money to conduct those transactions.
  • A higher price level means a greater need for
    liquidity to buy the same amount of goods and
    services ? higher money demand.

9
What Influences Aggregate Demand for Money?
(cont.)
  • Income greater income implies more goods and
    services can be bought, so that more money is
    needed to conduct transactions.
  • A higher real national income (GNP) means more
    goods and services are being produced and bought
    in transactions, increasing the need for
    liquidity ? higher money demand.

10
A Model of Aggregate Money Demand
  • The aggregate demand for money can be expressed
    by
  • Md P x L(R,Y)
  • where
  • P is the price level
  • Y is real national income
  • R is the interest rate
  • L(R,Y) is the aggregate real money demand (Md/P)

11
Functional Notation
  • L is the real aggregate demand for money (Md/P)
  • L(R,Y) is a concise mathematical way of saying L
    depends on R and Y.
  • Some people say, L is a function of R and Y.
    This is why L(R,Y) is said to be an instance of
    functional notation.
  • If Y is constant, L and R are inversely related
    when one increases the other decreases
  • If R is constant, L and Y are directly related
    when one increases so does the other

12
A Model of Aggregate Money Demand
  • From Md P x L(R,Y)
  • we get Md/P L(R,Y)
  • This is the aggregate real money demand. It is
    directly related to GNP and inversely related to
    the interest rate.

13
Aggregate Real Money Demand (cont.)
For a given level of income, real money demand
decreases as the interest rate increases.
14
Aggregate Real Money Demand (cont.)

When income increases, real money demand
increases at every interest rate.
15
The Money Market
  • Equilibrium in the money market requires
  • Ms Md (14-3)
  • Alternatively, equilibrium requires the supply of
    real money be equal to the demand for real money
    (by dividing both sides by the price level)
  • Ms/P L(R,Y) (14-4)

16
Money Market Equilibrium
17
Two markets foreign exchange and money
  • So far, we have seen the equilibrium conditions
    for the two asset markets
  • The foreign exchange market, and
  • The money market

18
Whats next?
  • Next, we will look at the equilibrium equation
    for the goods market
  • Read chapter 16, up to the section How Output is
    Determined in the Short Run
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