Agriculture Policy and HIVAIDS FAO

1
Agriculture Policyand HIV/AIDSFAO
2
Labour
3
(No Transcript)
4
Loss of agricultural labour force 2000-2020
Percentage loss of agriculture labour force
10 20
5
Population (medium variant) with and without
AIDS, 7 most affected countries, 2000
6
Population (medium variant) with and without
AIDS, 7 most affected countries, 2025
7
Working age population Countries gt 20
prevalence, 2025
8
(No Transcript)
9
Impoverishment
10
Zambia Average Land Size by Household Type
Hectares
11
Zambia Household Membership in Cooperatives
12
Zambia Food insufficiency by type of household
Number of months per year
13
Impacts greater on the poorest

• Impacts depend on sex, age and position in the
  household and previous wealth
• Kenya Death of male head of household resulted
  in 68 reduction in the value of net agricultural
  output

14
Uganda change in land cultivated, selected
cash and food crops (1996-2002)

Food Cash
(Source FAO, 2003)
15

• Increases inequality
• Decreases access
• Increases exclusion and marginalisation
• Reduces agricultural production and productivity

16
Macro economic impact

• Reduction of about 1 GDP growth per capita per
  annum

Source World Bank 2000
17
Most of the impact yet to come
18
HIV Prevalence Rate Evolution
19
Prevalence and death curves Window of Opportunity
Prevalence and Deaths
II
IV
III