Urban and Regional Carbon Management (URCM)

1
Urban and Regional Carbon Management (URCM)

• Penelope Canan
• Global Carbon Project
• Tsukuba International Project Office

2
Linking the Global, Regional, Local
Urban and Regional Carbon Management (URCM)
research on place-based carbon budgets using
a comparative and historical approach to
urban, regional, and global carbon
footprints, their determinants,
trajectories, management opportunities.
3
Cities-in-Regions
4
Historical
Windows of Opportunity for Now for the
Future for De- Carbonized Development
5
(No Transcript)
6
(No Transcript)
7
LAND USES
ENERGY
8
Place-Based Variations in the Carbon-Climate-Human
Cycle
POETICs
9
Specifying the Variables that are Key to
Understanding Place-Based Variations in the
Carbon-Climate-Human Cycle

• Composition, Distribution
• Groups, Organizations (Structure
  Stratification)
• Ecosystem/Climate/Land
• Cover/Land Use
• Energy, Transportation
• Economy, Polity, Health, Education, Religion
• Beliefs, Values, Customs, Ethics

• Population
• Organization
• Eco-Environment
• Technology
• Institutions
• Culture

10
Integrating Perspectives For Sustainability Scienc
e and URCM
11
A Portfolio of Research Approaches

• Case studies
• Cross-sectional statistical approaches
• Narratives, surveys, interviews
• Secondary data analysis
• Remote sensing
• Qualitative Comparative Analysis
• Social Network Analysis
• Models Scenarios, GIS, Simulations
• Quantitative Indicators of Trends
• Meta-Analyses

12
Building Network of Carbon Cycle Research
Training
SIGN UP SHEET !!!!!
13
Integrating Information on Carbon Footprints and
Social Change at Multiple Scales in Space and Time
URCM Framework
Human Dimensions
Databases
Regions
Literature Reviews, Bibliography Qualitative
Comparative Analysis
Population
Interpretive Synthesis Hub
Spatial Comparative
Cities
Organization
Places
Culture
Socio-cultural
Land Use Emissions Data Development
Pathways Quality of Life Indicators Ecosystem
Services Data Ethno-Eco-Environmental Typologies
Environment
Climate
Biogeophysical
Carbon
Technology
Global Regional Models Comparison
Carbon-Climate-Human
Historical Trends Current Conditions Policy
Options
Institutions
Change
Carbon Budgets Climate, Weather
Culture
Impacts Scenarios
Consequences
Research Tools Training Collaboration Disseminatio
n
Collaborative Action Research Management
Networks
14
Literature Review
File Category POETIC Focus Title Source Author
A-12 Model pOEtIE Land Use, Emissions The IMAGE 2.2 Model web  
A-145 Climate POETIC Land Use, Emissions Global Change in Local Places How Scale Matters Climate Change Wilbanks, Thomas J. and Robert W. Kates
A-154 Climate POETIC Land Use The Role of Carbon Cycle Observations and Knowledge in Carbon Management Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour. Dilling, Lisa et al.
A-161 Climate POIE Land Use West Greenland's Cod-to-Shrimp Transition Local Dimensions of Climatic Change Arctic Hamilton, Lawrence C., Benjamin C. Brown, and Rasmus Ole Rasmussen
A-202 Environment Typology POE Land use Land Use Change and Carbon cycle in Arid and Semi-arid Lands of East and Central Asia Science in China Chuluun, Togtohyn and Dennis Ojima
Models Comparison
File POETIC DATE MODEL
A-212 PEIE 1991 World 3
A-212 PEIE 1995 MESSAGE Model for Energy Supply Strategy Alternatives and their General
A-212 PEIE 1997 TARGETS (Tool to Assess Regional and Global Environmental and Health Targets for Sustainability)
  PEI 1998-2002 GAIM PLAN
A-212 PETIE 1995 MARIA Multiregional Approach for Resource and Industry Allocation
A-212 PETIE 1999 IF International Futures
A-212 PETIE 2000 AIM Asia Pacific Integrated Model
A-12 pOEtIE 2000 IMAGE 2.2
Population Population Population Population
City Country 1990 2000
Climate Group Climate Group Climate Group Climate Group
Boulder U.S.A. 85,127 94,673
Yamagata Japan 249,487 255,369
IAI IAI IAI IAI
Buenos Aires Argentina 2,965,403 2,768,772
Mexico City Mexico 8,235,744 8,605,239
APN APN APN APN
Manilla Philippines 1,598,918 1,581,082
Jambi Indonesia 339,786 417,507
  CO2 Emissions(per capita) CO2 Emissions(per capita) Total Forest(hectares) Total Forest(hectares) Precipitation Change Precipitation Change Temperature Change Temperature Change
Country 1990 1998 1990 2000 1990 1998 1990 2000
U.S.A. 18.9 19.9 222,113 225,993        
Japan 8.7 9.0 24,047 24,081        
Thailand 1.7 3.2 15886 14762        
Argentina 3.4 3.8 37,499 34,648        
Mexico 3.7 3.9 61,511 55,205        
Philippines 0.7 1.0 6,676 5,789        
India 0.8 1.1 63,732 64,113        
Indonesia 0.9 1.1 118,110 104,986        
Canada 15.4 15.3 244,571 244,571        
World 4.2 4.1 3,963,429 3,869,455 -.02 .04 .2 .5
Indicators Measures
Retrieving Information From URCM Database
Carbon Budget, Climate Change
15
Two Opportunities
?
Asian Carbon Cycle Research Conference in March
2006, Beijing
16
Selected Literature

• Abler, R. 2003. Global Change and Local Places
  Estimating, Understanding, and Reducing
  Greenhouse Gases. Cambridge Cambridge
  University Press.
• Dhakal, Shobakar. 2004. Urban Energy Use and
  Greenhouse Gas Emission in Asian Mega-Cities
  Policies for a Sustainable Future. Kanagawa
  Institute for Global Environmental Strategies.
• Lankao, P. R. et al. (eds.) 2005. Can Cities
  Reduce Global Warming? Urban Development and the
  Carbon Cycle in Latin America. Mexico IAI,
  UAM-X, GCP.
• Lebel, L and D. Totrakool (eds.). 2005.
  Integrating Carbon Management into Development
  Strategies of Cities Establishing a Network of
  Case Studies of Urbanisation in the Asia-Pacific
  (final report for APN project 2004-07-CMY-Lasco).
  Kobe Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change
  Research.
• Rayner, Steve and Elizabeth Malone (eds.). 1998.
  Human Choice Climate Change (4 Volumes).
  Columbus Battelle Press.
• Svirejeva-Hopkins, A. 2004. Urbanised
  Territories as a Specific Components of the
  Global Carbon Cycle, Dissertation, University of
  Potsdam.

17
www.globalcarbonproject.org