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Ciao am

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... of listed companies where companies defaulting in declarations incur in strong ... on non listed companies where defaulting companies are not under control. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Ciao am


1
Quality evaluation analysis of the Italian
Business Register on Enterprise Groups Session
Administrative data-Quality and quality assurance
in the use of administrative data Fulvia Cerroni,
Enrica Morganti
2
Quality evaluation analysis of the Italian
Business Register on Enterprise Groups (BR on
Egs) a summary
  • main characteristics of the BR on EGs
  • quality analysis of the administrative sources
  • quality analysis of the process
  • quality evaluation of the final output the BR on
    EGs and the quality criteria

3
Main characteristics of the BR on Egs
  • Due to the European Regulation N. 2186/93 and N.
    696/93 and in line with the harmonised
    methodology approved and published on
    Recommendation Manual on BR
  • Based on administrative sources
  • Stock Exchange (STEX)
  • Balance Sheet (BAL)
  • Chamber of Commerce (CHAMB)
  • use of direct and indirect concept of control
  • reconstruction of groups through the control
    chains

4
Administrative sources
  • Stock Exchange (STEX)
  • contains all relevant shareholders of listed
    shared companies
  • information structure bottom-up / top down
  • Balance Sheets (BAL)
  • contains list of consolidated enterprises by
    Italian Group Heads
  • information structure top down
  • Chamber of Commerce (CHAMB)
  • contains all shareholders of non listed shared
    companies
  • information structure bottom-up

5
Quality analysis of the administrative sources
  • the specific contribute of each source
  • preliminary evaluation of matching the sources
  • matching rate index and order of matching of
    sources

6
Administrative sources specific contribute
CHAMB
BAL
physical person as ultimate controlling unit
Non resident subsidiaries
Administrative ultimate controlling unit
STEX
7
Administrative sources specific contribute
142.221
6.665
8
Administrative sources matching rate index
Specific matching rate index between the two
sources i,j respect to source i
  • Order of matching of the sources

9
Quality analysis of the process
  • a view on the process of integration of the
    administrative sources
  • Reconstruction of EGs in each source
  • Overlapping units analysed by position group
    head/intermediate/terminal units
  • Integration of overlapping units
  • Integration of units belonging to groups with the
    same group head in both sources
  • Integration of units belonging to groups with
    different group head in the sources the case of
    units in different position (figure A)
  • quality evaluation of the process of integration
  • index of agreement on position
  • index of complexity of integration
  • results

10
Figure A -The integration of units in different
position
integration
2nd source
1th source
11
Quality evaluation of integration index of
agreement on position
aii
a..
a31
12
Quality evaluation of integration index of
complexity of integration
  • The frequency of group head units in one
    source that are in a terminal (a31) or
    intermediate (a32) position in the other source
    can give a measure of how complex the integration
    will be.
  • The lower this frequency is, less complex the
    integration would be because there is more
    probability that one source gives ultimate
    controls and the other source will nest in the
    first one.
  • Otherwise the higher this frequency is, more
    complex the integration would be because we need
    to go up the control chains in both sources in
    order to identify the ultimate control (figure
    A).
  • This confirm there is an order of matching of the
    sources and a priority between them the idea is
    that while STEX has to observe the world of
    listed companies where companies defaulting in
    declarations incur in strong penalty, the other
    sources, BAL and CHAMB, collect information on
    non listed companies where defaulting companies
    are not under control. Therefore knowledge on the
    legal base and empirical evidence give a priority
    order between sources that shows STEX as the most
    reliable of the three input sources, followed by
    BAL and the last one is CHAMB source.

13
The results of administrative source integration
  • direct controls
  • coverage controls
  • profiling activities
  • control survey FATS - the survey on foreign
    control enterprises

14
Quality evaluation of the output The quality
criteria relevance
  • A statistical business register should be
    relevant to the needs of the users. Therefore
    information collected is relevant if it contains
    relevant units and relevant variables.
  • The enterprise group is a statistical unit
    defined in Council Regulation 696/93 on the
    statistical units for the observation and
    analysis of the production system in the
    Community. The increasing diversity of enterprise
    structures in the economy leads to consider the
    enterprise as part of a larger unit, namely the
    enterprise group, where long-term strategies are
    managed in a centralised way.
  • Some economic variables are more relevant at the
    group level than at the enterprise level
    particularly operating surplus, research and
    developments taxes, stock exchange
    capitalisation.
  • The demand for information on globalisation
    results leads the BR to record information on
    EGs
  • EGs can be used to calculate statistical
    indicators for measuring the real size of
    enterprises.
  • EGs serve other institutional users e.g.
    Antitrust Authorities, according to dissemination
    policies to calculate statistical indicators for
    market concentration
  • EGs provide supplementary information for
    statistical indicators on enterprise demography

15
Quality criteria accuracy
  • Accuracy indicates the potentiality of an
    instrument of correctly reflecting reality and is
    considered to be of great importance for the
    quality of statistical business registers. The
    easier way to measure this criteria is through a
    quality survey from this point of view the FATS
    survey, being a direct survey on foreign control
    enterprises, may be considered as a control
    survey on the quality of BR on EGs.
  • In the BR on EGs accuracy is achieved if the
    process identifies the population of units
    belonging to groups in a picture as near as
    possible to the real one in terms of
  • frequency of enterprises,
  • frequency of EGs,
  • employed engaged in EGs
  • split into the resident and not resident
    populations

16
Measuring accuracy during the main steps of the
process
17
Quality criteria completeness
  • A business register is complete if it includes
    all units in the target population.
  • To estimate the coverage of the BR on EGs the
    population of shared companies included in the
    Italian statistical BR of active enterprises has
    been taken as target population.
  • The estimation of under coverage error in terms
    of size and activity has been measured as the
    weight of estimated shared enterprises on
    theoretical shared enterprises, where the former
    are calculated under the hypothesis that the
    shared companies not included into the CHAMB
    input Archive have the same probability to belong
    to EGs as the included ones.

18
Measuring completeness through the estimation of
coverage error
19
Quality criteria completeness The big EGs as
a good picture of reality
(1) Section J has not been included in the
economic classification Ateco 2002.
20
Quality criteria timeliness and punctuality
  • Punctuality measures the speed at which
    statistical business registers are updated to
    reflect real world events. Sometimes it may be in
    conflict with the need for comparability because
    of different timeliness of the administrative
    input data.

21
Quality criteria clarity and accessibility
  • Clarity and accessibility concern how easily
    users can access the information held on the
    register.
  • This means to give users the possibility to
    access physically to the data and to be able
  • to view elementary records directly (for internal
    users only) this is now possible thanks to a the
    existence of a database holding the BR on EGs
  • or to access outputs such as summary analyses
    (for external users).
  • Accessibility means also to give users the
    instruments to understand information that means
    to release the statistical BR and the appropriate
    documentation necessary to allow users to
    interpret the information correctly (metadata).
    To that end a manual on the BR on EGs is now in
    rough.

22
Quality criteria comparability
  • Comparability through space
  • Data are collected according to the new version
    of the Regulation 2186/93 which includes and
    specifies which variable must be collected and
    how.
  • The Business Register Recommendation Manual in
    Ch.21 Enterprise Groups gives guidelines on
    concepts and definition on EGs, how to implement
    them in operational terms, even though sources
    are different in structure and treatment of
    information follows a common conceptual and
    logical framework.
  • Comparability through time

Demography on EGs
  • Difficulties are due to the complexity of the
    statistical units.
  • From a definition point of view there is yet no
    agreement on how is possible to define that the
    EGs has a continuity during years and if its
    structure is changing in terms of enterprises
    involved.
  • We have defined the following basic rule an EGs
    is still the same entity from a continuity point
    of view if and only if it is still having the
    same group head.
  • Defects
  • Its a restrictive rule,
  • problems with non resident group head they have
    no fiscal code so possible only a matching by
    firm name. Work in progress

23
Quality criteria coherence
a. internal coherence rules
  • Internal coherence refers to the consistent
    treatment of data within the register, that means
    the consistent application of rules.
  • Rule 1 One legal units may have one and just one
    legal unit identified as the first controlling
    unit.
  • Rule2 from a definition point of view certain
    units may have a specific position within the
    EGs, i.e. institutions or physical person must
    be the ultimate control unit.

b. external coherence linkage to 1. BR of
active enterprise 2. S13 3. Trade
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