The United Nations

1
Achieving the MDGs RBA Training Workshop Module
5 Education Needs Assessment 9-12 May 2005
2
Purpose

• To present the UN Millennium Project approach to
  an education needs assessment
• To illustrate the structure and design of the UN
  Millennium Project education needs assessment
  tool

3
Needs Assessment Methodology
1. Develop a list of interventions
2. Specify targets for each set of interventions
3. Estimate resource needs
4. Check results
4
Millennium Development Goal on Education

• To ensure that every child can complete a full
  course of primary education by 2015

5
Education Needs Assessment Approach (1)
Students reached by interventions

• Target coverage rates for
• Primary Education
• Secondary Education
• Adult Literacy
• Input-quantity ratios
• Pupil-teacher ratio
• Classroom-teacher ratio

TOTAL COSTS
Capital and recurrent costs per student
Unit cost components for key interventions
6
Education Needs Assessment Approach (2)
Estimate of teachers and other staff needed
Estimate of schools, classrooms and other
infrastructure needed
Capacity requirements
Direct and indirect financialcosts



Total Education Needs
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Key Assumptions for Education Needs Assessment

• Interventions Comprehensive set of
  interventions to achieve primary education,
  secondary education and literacy
• Targets Coverage targets should aim at meeting
  MDGs for entire population
• Calculations Scale-up path and unit costs
  should reflect costs for reaching hard-to-reach
  populations.
• Financing User fees should be eliminated for
  primary education, domestic resources estimated
  to finance entire MDG package ODA supplements to
  fill the MDG-financing gap

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Interventions Needed to Meet Universal Primary
Education (UPE) Goal

• Direct Primary Education interventions
  infrastructure, human resources, learning
  materials, demand side interventions, etc
• Secondary Education interventions because
• Secondary school graduates are needed to meet
  supply of all other MDGs human resource needs
• For marginalized groups, post-primary education
  is needed to realize sufficient returns on
  education
• Availability of secondary education increases
  parents incentive to send children to primary
  school
• Adult literacy programs
• MDG Target
• Non-education interventions Water and
  sanitation, health, transport infrastructure and
  services, plus energy services

9
Primary school interventions (1/2)
Not included in MP preliminary cost estimates
10
Primary school interventions (2/2)
Not included in preliminary cost estimates
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Primary education targets

• For primary education the net enrolment rate and
  primary completion rate to reach 100 percent,
  gross enrolment rate to reach 107 percent by 2015
• The gender parity target in primary education to
  be achieved in 2005

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Post-Primary Interventions and Targets
13
Key Costing Assumptions

• Average unit costs used instead of marginal costs
• Inclusion of capital and operating costs
• Total costs instead of incremental costs
• Financial cost analysis (as opposed to economic
  costs)
• Linear scale-up of interventions from 2005-15

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Rules of Thumb

• Costing results show
• Average per capita costs of 10-12
• Spending per student of 40 - 80
• Teachers salary is 35-40 of total costs
• Annual teaching salary is 3x GDP per capita
• Total costs composed of 40 capital costs
  and 60 recurrent cost

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Investment Model Schematic