Kyoto Protocol "go-live": data, policies, infrastructures 2

1
UNFCCC press conference, Bonn, 20 November 2007
Kyoto Protocol go-live data, policies,
infrastructures
by Sergey KONONOV (UNFCCC secretariat)
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change
2
Kyoto cornerstones data policies
infrastructures
Policies and measures to reduce emissions
Systems infrastructures to support GHG
emissions data and market-based mechanisms
Reports on GHG emissions
Emission reduction targets under Kyoto
Protocol for industrialized countries at least
5 by 2008-2012 compared to 1990
3
UNFCCC press conference, Bonn, 20 November 2007
GHG trends 1990-2005 latest UNFCCC data for
industrialized countries
by Sergey KONONOV (UNFCCC secretariat)
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change
4
Overview / introduction what data are available
now

• The data are
• For the period 1990 2005
• For Annex I Parties (industrialized
  countries)
• Come from official data submissions under
  UNFCCC in 2007
• Full data publication FCCC/SBI/2007/30 (for
  the Bali meetings)
• Two sets of data are presented
• For Annex I Parties to the Climate Change
  Convention 41 Parties
• For Annex I Parties to the Kyoto Protocol 38
  Parties
• Trends for the Convention group and the Kyoto
  group differ
• Caution 1 emission trends 19902005 are NOT
  compliance assessment
• Caution 2 trends for group are not equivalent to
  trend for each country

5
GHG trends 19902005 Part 1 Annex I CONVENTION
Parties (41)

• 19902005 trend Annex I emissions remain
  below the 1990 level
• without GHG sinks (excluding LULUCF) -3
  (more certain estimate)
• with GHG sinks (including LULUCF) -5 (more
  comprehensive estimate)
• by country, changes vary from 59 (Latvia) to
  74 (Turkey)

19901995 -7
19952000 2
20002005 3
from 6 in EITs, 2 in non-EITsfrom 200 Mt
in EITs, 260 Mt in non-EITs
20002005 trend without GHG sinks 3
20002005 trend with GHG sinks 1
(0.2 in EITs, 2 in non-EITs)
Note LULUCF Land use, land-use change and
forestry EIT economy in transition
6
GHG trends 19902005 Part 2 Annex I KYOTO
Parties (38)

• 19902005 trend Annex I emissions remain well
  below the 1990 level
• without GHG sinks (excluding LULUCF) -15
• decrease for Kyoto group (-15) deeper than
  for Convention group (-3)
• by country, changes vary from 59 (Latvia) to
  53 (Spain)

• 20002005 trend Annex I emissions slowly
  grow since 2000
• without GHG sinks (excluding LULUCF) 3
• for EIT Parties 6 (resumed economic growth
  in EITs)
• for non-EIT Parties 2 (continued growth in
  non-EITs)

Note Kyoto Parties (38) Convention Parties
(41) Australia, Turkey, US
7
Conclusions see also FCCC/SBI/2007/30,
unfccc.int

• In 2005, emissions were below the 1990 level
• for 41 Convention Parties (35)
• for 38 Kyoto Protocol Parties 15
• changes vary greatly from country to country

Slow growth after 2000 (3) is noticeable needs
attention
The data reported reliable basis for tracking
emissions in the upcoming Kyoto commitment period
20082012
8
Kyoto cornerstones data policies
infrastructures
Policies and measures to reduce emissions
Systems infrastructures to support GHG
emissions data and market-based mechanisms
Reports on GHG emissions
Emission reduction targets under Kyoto
Protocol at least 5 by 2008-2012