Alan Dunster Associates Past Present and Future Insight

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Alan Dunster AssociatesPast Present and Future
Insight
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FRESA FSO3 Natural BalanceSupply and Demand
Activity Sub-Group The South West Skills
Market A review of Supply and Demand

• Understanding of skills market
• Joint planning and development
• Responding to skills shortages

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Activity 1 - SLIM Analysis of the Supply and
Demand for Skills in South West
EnglandActivity 2 - ADA Assessment of
Organisations Policies and Capacity to
Anticipate and Respond to Skills
ShortagesOverview of Methodology Activity 2
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Activity 2 - Broad Objectives

• Analyse policies of FRESA organisations against
  skills market
• Analyse steps and barriers to improving joint
  planning, including role of data/research
• Assess barriers to responding to skills shortage

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Key Research Questions Issues raised
inProject Spec, Regional Skills Partnership
Spec, and FRESA

• What are the key strategies, structures and
  processes in place to identify and respond to
  skills shortages?
• Strategies Policies, plans and actions
• Structures Roles, relationships and boundaries
• Processes Approaches and practices, including
  use of data/research
• Drivers and barriers to coherence
• Impacts/gaps in relation to the skills market
• What is the contextual relationship between
  data/research and the strategies, structures and
  processes?
• Drivers and barriers to coherence
• Impacts/gaps in relation to the skills market
• What steps need to be taken to improve coherence
  and joint planning to identify and respond to
  skills shortages?
• Gaps, barriers and actions required

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Managing Expectations

• Objective 2 of Master Project
• Examine impact of interventions on skills
  market
• not an evaluation exercise!
• Objective 3 of Master Project
• Analysis of relationship between research and
  action
• infinite web of influence above and below SW
  Regional context
• Focus more upon
• Research, data and intelligence role in policy,
  rather than all elements of skills policy
  interaction (been done before SW-RA)
• Regional relevancy rather than national or
  localised issues (reflecting strategic regional
  level of FRESA)

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Method

• Desk Research (50 documents so far)
• Telephone Interviews (x 40-50 Jan)
• Face to face interviews (x 10-15 Feb)
• Early finding reporting (March)
• Scenario workshops (x 3 April)
• Reporting (June)

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Development of Research Stages
KRQs
Desk Research
Further RQs
Telephone Interviews
Further RQs
Face to face Interviews
Refine RQs
Scenario Workshops
Early Findings
Reporting
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Development of Research Stages
Desk Research
Face to face Interviews
Telephone Interviews
Scenario Workshops
Identify Issues
Identify Solutions
Test Solutions
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Strategy/Policy Analysis Frameworks

• Magenta Book (Cab Office)
• Policy review
• The intervention
• The target population
• The expected outcomes
• Strategic Cohesion
• Impact of other strategies
• Impact upon other strategies
• Cross-referencing and gaps

• Decision Drivers
• Research/data
• Other intelligence
• Policy drivers
• Other drivers
• Joint Planning
• Partnerships
• Organisational roles
• Organisational culture

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Analysis Methods

• Policy Review Frameworks
• Matrices
• Indexed commentaries
• By organisation type, theme, etc
• Strategy and Organisational Interrelationships?
• Systems Dynamics Thinking (partnership with
  University of Plymouth)
• Causal feedback loop diagrams
• Principal-agent analysis

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Skills Shortages - Causal Feedback
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LMI and Principal-Agent Knowledge Flows
Employer Organisations Interpretation
Private Provision
RDA
Live LMI
Regional Strategic LMI
SSCs
Employers Needs
BL/SBS
LSC
Local LMI
LSC Funded Provider Plans
National Strategic LMI
National LSC Targets
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Analysis Methods

• Policy Review Frameworks
• Matrices
• Indexed commentaries
• By organisation type, theme, etc
• Strategy and Organisational Interrelationships?
• Systems Dynamics Thinking (partnership with
  University of Plymouth)
• Causal feedback loop diagrams
• Principal-agent analysis
• Qualitative Data
• Analysis Framework
• Key research questions, themes and issues
• Keeping strategic regional focus

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Organisations

• Non-Statutory Organisations
• Federation of Small Businesses
• CBI
• TUC SW
• HERDA SW
• SW AOC
• SWFET
• Key private providers
• Key VCS providers Learning
• South West Forum
• CVSs
• Local Learning Networks

• Statutory Organisations
• DfES
• DWP
• DTI
• GOSW
• SW RDA
• SW Regional Assembly
• Regional LGA/Local Authorities
• National LSC
• Local LSCs, Somerset WoE
• Local Learning Partnerships
• Job Centre Plus
• Connexions
• SBS/Business Link Business West B
• SSCs/SSDA
• Skills for Business Network
• Education Business Partnerships
• SW HE institutions University of Plymouth
• FE Colleges and 6th Forms - SW AOC?

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Thoughts?

• LSC Local Annual Plans?
• SSCs with regional plans NHS WDC?
• Private providers?
• Sub-regional partnerships with own plans on
  skills shortages?
• Voluntary sector?

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Alan Dunster AssociatesPast Present and Future
Insight
T 01752 222859M 07816 753351E
adunster_at_eurobell.co.uk