POSSLQ and inequality

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POSSLQ and inequality
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Casper Cohen Demography 2000 (372).
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Almost 1 million children
Casper Cohen Demography 2000 (372).
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But real partners only 62?
Martin, Demography 2006 (433).
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2.7 million
3.1 million
Martin, Demography 2006 (433).
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Martin, Demography 2006 (433).
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Cohen Work and Occupations 2002 (293)
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Cohen Work and Occupations 2002 (293)
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Educational crossover
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Goldstein Kenney, ASR 66(Aug)506-519 (2001).
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Homogamy
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Educational homogamy has increased, and hypergamy
has decreased in heterogenous marriages. (Schwartz
Mare, Demography 2005).
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Cohen dabbling with March CPS.
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Promoting marriage
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Marriage promotion
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Marriage promotion
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Marriage promotion

• Using TANF money
• Bush, many states would divert welfare money to
  support marriage
• Pay bonuses for marriage
• Teaching marriage skills
• Assumptions
• Failure of marriage causes poverty
• Promoting marriage reduces poverty

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2006 Federal Budget

• 150 million per year
• Grants for healthy marriage promotion and
  responsible fatherhood
• Healthy marriage
• Ad campaigns on value of marriage and skills
  needed to increase marital stability and health
• Marriage education and relationship skills
  programs for high schools, pre-married and
  married couples
• Divorce reduction programs on relationship skills
• Marriage mentoring programs in at-risk
  communities
• Responsible fatherhood
• Counseling, mentoring, education on benefits of
  2-parent families, domestic violence, budgeting,
  job training (!)
• Media campaigns

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Projecting households
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High TFR Modest increase in e0 High net
immigration Common stable unions
Low TFR High increase in e0 Low net
immigration Less common unstable unions
Jiang et al PDR 2007.
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Child disability effects on living arrangements
and parents union status
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Partial table from Reichman, Corman and Noonan,
Demography 2004.
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Cohen Petrescu Prahova 2006
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Cohen Petrescu Prahova 2006
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Raley (2001) Fertility in Cohabiting Unions

• Raley, R. K. 2001. Increasing Fertility in
  Cohabiting Unions Evidence for the Second
  Demographic Transition in the United States?
  Demography 38(1)59-66.

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