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by Michael Gerbis, P.Eng. President, The Delphi Group

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Decreasing Value of Capital Stock. Production, expansion, acquisitions ... BP, Shell Int'l, Transalta, DuPont, Suncor Energy, OPG, Alcan, Dofasco ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: by Michael Gerbis, P.Eng. President, The Delphi Group


1
byMichael Gerbis, P.Eng.President, The Delphi
Group
  • Innovation climate change
  • Igniting the Next Industrial Revolution

2
Overview
  • The Delphi Group
  • Climate Change where are we?
  • The New Carbon Marketplace
  • Thinking Out of the Box!
  • Attributes to Thrive and Survive
  • Discussion

3
The Delphi Group
  • In Business since 1987
  • Catalyze Change Through Innovative Strategies
    that Generate Environmental, Social and Financial
    Dividends
  • Environment Clean Energy Technologies
  • Climate Change Sustainable Energy
  • Health and Environment
  • EXCEL, EECO, GLOBE and Corporate
  • 1997 2001 Tripled Size and Revenues

4
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
5
International consensus
  • Earth is warming
  • 7 of 10 warmest years on record in the 1990s
  • IPCC projected range 1.0 - 3.5º C over next 100
    years
  • Discernible human influence
  • Trend to Continue Resulting in Impacts
  • more extreme weather events (insurance!!)
  • human health, environment, economy, ocean levels,
    river and lake systems, agriculture, tourism
  • Canada more affected than most countries because
    of its large size northern land mass

6
Impacts of Climate Change
7
Climate Change
  • UNFCCC (1992)
  • The Kyoto Protocol (1997)
  • Agreed to 5.2 reductions of GHG
  • CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC, PFC, SF6
  • Flexibility Mechanisms (CDM, JI, IET) sinks
  • Critical Dates Timelines
  • 1990 baseline
  • 1998-2008 transition period
  • 2008-2012 budget period

8
CANADAS EMISSIONS PROJECTIONAND THE KYOTO TARGET
9
Projected GHG EMISSIONS BY PROVINCE
MT CO2 - equivalent
40
17
10
38
40
23
24
Alberta
Atlantic
Quebec
Ontario
Manitoba
B.C. and Territories
Sask.
10
Pathway to sustainability
11
The Path to Sustainable Energy
  • BIOMASS
  • Dung
  • Wood
  • Straw

FOSSIL FUELS Coal Oil Natural
Gas
  • Renewables
  • Solar
  • Wind
  • Biomass
  • Geothermal
  • ?
  • Fusion
  • Hydrogen
  • Tidal/wave

nuclear
Carleton University 2002
12
The Emerging Carbon Marketplace
  • Converging Forces
  • Trend towards Sustainable Energy
  • Rapid Innovation
  • Global Energy Market Reform
  • Concern over health impacts
  • Kyoto Potential
  • Opportunity Risk

13
The Product of Convergence
14
corporate Risks
  • Uncertainty Factor
  • Intl Process Devils in Details
  • National Leadership (lack thereof)
  • Cost, cost, costbenefits?
  • Rate of Return Price of Credits Unknown
  • Share-Value Exposure
  • Differentials in GHG emissions
  • Decreasing Value of Capital Stock
  • Production, expansion, acquisitions
  • Relative Impact on Global Competitors

15
Corporate Opportunities
  • Gain Competitive Advantage
  • Productivity, Energy Efficiency
  • Differentiate Yourself from Competitors
  • Hedge Your Bets Offset Future Risk
  • Added Value through Offset Credits
  • Diversification
  • Leverage technology and RD
  • Exploit new markets
  • Create new value-added business ventures
  • Enhance Shareholder Value

16
Leaders laggards
  • Four Levels of Action
  • Strategic Integration
  • Sitting on Fence (Baselines Being Done)
  • Not on the Radar Screen Yet
  • Moving against the flow
  • Leaders Moving Ahead
  • BP, Shell Intl, Transalta, DuPont, Suncor
    Energy, OPG, Alcan, Dofasco
  • Cities of Toronto, Calgary, Banff, Halifax
  • Denmark, UK, Netherlands

17
Emerging Innovation
  • 600 diversified firms
  • Generally High-tech solutions
  • Strong RD
  • 3 billion 23,000 jobs
  • Global Market between 150 - 400 billion
  • Increasing 5/yr

18
Many companies see opportunities
19
So What Does This Have to Do with me?
  • New Business Realities gt Next Industrial
    Revolution
  • Radical Increases in Resource Productivity
  • Biomimicry
  • Evolution From Manufacturing to Service and Flow
    Economy
  • Increasing Investment in Natural Capital
  • Taken from Natural Capitalism by P. Hawken, A.
    H. Lovins

20
IndustryThinking out of the box
  • Interface New Factory in Shanghai had a 92
    energy saving by new design
  • Looked at whole pumping system and discarded old
    style of economics
  • Sized pumps based on large pipes rather than
    small pipes (50 increase in dia 86 drop in
    friction)
  • Installed pipes first then equipment
  • 12 fold reduction in energy, simpler and faster
    construction, less floor space, easier
    maintenance, and better performance (e.g. saved
    70 kW of heat loss)
  • Taken from Natural Capitalism by P. Hawken, A.
    H. Lovins

21
Buildingsthinking out of the boxThe
International Netherlands Group (ING) Bank
  • 540,000 ft2
  • Strong Vision a Multidisciplinary Team
  • 3 Year Process Everyone Had to Understand
    Everything
  • Added Capital 700k
  • Annual Energy Savings of 2.9 mil (1996) / 1/10th
  • 15 reduction in absenteeism

Taken from Natural Capitalism by P. Hawken, A.
H. Lovins
22
TransportationThinking out of the box
  • Whole-system design
  • ultra light low-drag hybrid-electric efficient
    accessories
  • 3 to 5 x better fuel economy
  • equal or better performance, safety,
    affordability

http//www.rmi.org/sitepages/pid386.asp
Taken from Natural Capitalism by P. Hawken, A.
H. Lovins
23
thinking out of the boxMaunsell Aberfeldy
Golf Club Footbridge Bridge
  • Major span 63 m
  • 1st major advanced composite footbridge
  • Maunsell worked with Dundee Univ. engineering
    students who provided the bridge erection team.
  • Assembled in 10 weeks, no craneage, minimal
    foundations, 20 yr maintenance schedule

24
thinking out of the boxClean Development
Mechanism (CDM)
  • Market-based mechanism
  • Assist Annex 1 countries to comply with their
    reduction targets under Kyoto
  • Increase rate of return, financial attractiveness
  • Reduce risk and enhance markets
  • Sustainable Development
  • Build developing country capacity
  • Transfer state-of-the-art technologies
  • Environmental and health co-benefits

25
Attributes to THRIVE survive
  • Breadth of Understanding
  • Strong technical skills
  • Business Savvy but its not just about old
    style economics
  • Interpersonal Communication Skills
  • Ability to Think Out of the Box (and assess
    different perspectives)
  • Work within a Fear of Change
  • Be Adaptable

26
Thinking Out of the Box
27
thinking out of the box
  • Innovation is not always about having a new
    idea, more often its about stopping having an
    old idea."

28
The Delphi Group
  • For More Information Contact
  • Mike Gerbis, P.Eng.
  • President, The Delphi Group
  • 428 Gilmour St.
  • Ottawa, Ontario K2P 0R8
  • Tel (613) 562-2005 Fax (613) 562-2008
  • email mgerbis_at_delphi.ca
  • Website www.delphi.ca
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