Dr. L. Bruce Simpson

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Portfolio ResultsIndustry Day
Air Armament Center
War-Winning CapabilitiesOn Time, On Cost

• Dr. L. Bruce Simpson
• Director
• 308th Armament Systems Wing
• 850-883-0673
• bruce.simpson_at_eglin.af.mil

DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A Approved for public
release distribution is unlimited.
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Strategy for Seamless Transition

• Co-located key Personnel for Maximum Synergy
• Utilized Best Practices from the 3
  Organizations
• Conducted Leadership Off-sites to Ensure
  Collaboration
• Initiated Feedback Loop for Group Workflow
  Managers
• Streamlined Administrative Processes

Air-to-Air
Combat Support
Air-to-Ground
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Acquisition Wing
308th ARSW Dr. Bruce Simpson, CL
308th ARSW Mr. John Batog, DV (Navy)
308th ARSW Col Michelle Miller Peck, DV
Technical Director Mr. Christopher Clay
Chief Financial Officer Ms. Della McPhail
Chief of Contracting Mr. Gary Williams
Chief of Logistics Ms. Margaret Villagran
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308 ARSW Highlights
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GWOT Successes
Over 28,000 Total Combat Drops OEF/OIF (JDAM,
DSU-33, JPF, SDB, SFW, WCMD)

• 2007 Delivered 124,546 Units 3,455 Combat
  Drops
• Proven Ability to End Combat Engagements!

• JDAM

• 2007 Delivered 34,377 Fuzes 3,120 Combat
  Drops
• Operational Reliability 98 (95 requirement)

• JPF

• 2007 Delivered 131,504 Units - 1180 Combat Drops

• DSU-33

• 49 Total Combat Drops
• 40,000 Captive Flight Hours on F-15E

• SDB

Government / Industry Team Delivering Capability
to the Warfighter
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GWOT Lessons Learned

• Changing Face of War Causes Changes in How We
  Fly/Fight
• Increased Precision
• Ability to Attack Moving Targets
• LJDAM On Track for Fielding Apr 08
• Minimize Collateral Damage
• FLM Tested and Delivered 50 Assets to
• Warfighter 3 Months Early
• Dramatic Increase in Captive Carry Hours
• for Air-to-Ground Munitions
• SDB approx. 40,000 hours
• GWOT Has Presented Us With Challenges
• Our Tactics Must Evolve as Our Enemy Adapts
• ADS Non-lethal DE Weapon Perimeter Protection--
  Deters Advancing Adversary
• Advancements in Technology Required to Counter
  Increasingly Mobile Enemies Located in Dense
  Populations

Solving Present Day Challenges While Developing
Capabilities to Fight and Win the Next Conflict
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AAC Portfolio MARs Performance
Jan 07 62 GREEN 28 YELLOW 10 RED
Jan 08 75 GREEN 12.5 YELLOW 12.5 RED
Performance
Performance
Schedule
Schedule
Funding
Overall
Overall
Funding
PoPS
Cost
Cost
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Acquisition Challenges

• Disciplined Integrated Assessment Approach
• Sound Systems Engineering
• Realistic Planning
• Robust Risk Reduction
• Life Cycle Considerations Up Front
• Design for the ilities
• Relevant Capability
• On Schedule, On Cost
• Customer/Requirement Focus

Integrated Assessment Process Leads to
Higher Confidence Programs
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Focus Areas

• Identify and Manage Risk
• Probability of Success
• Sufficiency Reviews
• Program Reviews

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Identify and Manage Risk

• Standard processes integral part of doing
  business
• Activity before Risk ID is standard work with
  defined solutions
• Expanding the suite of tools to ID and Analyze
  risk

WBS
Risk Cube
Sufficiency Reviews
PoPS
PMRs
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Probability of Program Success

• Intent
• Agreed-to risk levels documented and recorded
• Dont shoot messenger when program encounters
  problems
• Predictive metrics can identify watch areas to a
  PM before problem erupts
• Better prediction of future issues
• Ability to look at scoring trends over time

• Program Take Aways
• Beginning to institutionalize
• Windshield chart affects decisions on resources
• Trend of red to green as mitigation plans
  implemented
• Synergy generated by effective assessments
• Audits since June raising confidence
• Focused program priorities

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Sufficiency Reviews

• Benefits
• Realistic planning early
• Instills discipline
• Encourages communication between functionals
• Forums for exchanging best practices
• Gives team a clear vector
• More efficient ASPEstablishes baseline

• Issues Identified
• Cost risk in planning for averages
• Need specific exit criteria
• Test schedule and resources
• Sustainment planning
• Production phasing
• Leadership awareness of resource requirements

• Investment
• 22 reviews in 2007
• Program reviewed by about 40 senior and
  experienced experts
• Approx 5000 man hours in reviews

Plans are nothing planning is everything
Dwight D. Eisenhower
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Integrating Program and Cost Risk

• Integrate risk cube and PoPS into cost estimate
• Dependencies between WBS elements
• Specific risks determine
• funding for confidence
• Monte Carlo simulation
• Better risk ID and
• modeling

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PMR Deep Dives

• Conducted by Wing Director/SPDs1 per Wk
• Each Program Reviewed Every 12 Weeks
• Program Managers Format
• Areas Reviewed Schedule, Financials, Risks, PoPS
  Action Plans
• Raises leadership awarenessaddresses PMs needs
• Foundation for Advising PEO

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Industrys Role

• Robust Systems Engineering
• Vendor and Supplier Management
• Reliable, Quality Products
• Cost and Schedule Realism

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Summary

• Trends Moving in the Right Direction
• Implementing Processes for Continuous Improvement

Our Goal With Higher Confidence
Provide War-Winning Capabilities. . .On Time. .
.On Cost
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AAC Portfolio Performance