FAO-UNFPA-SPC Regional Training Workshop on Linking Population and Housing with Agricultural Censuses 28 May

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FAO-UNFPA-SPC Regional Training Workshop on
Linking Population and Housing with Agricultural
Censuses28 May 1 June, Noumea, New Caledonia

• Pacific Islands Agricultural Statistics and the
  Ten-Year Pacific Statistical Strategy (TYPSS)
  2011 - 2020
• Gerald Haberkorn
• Manager, Statistics for Development Programme
• Secretariat of the Pacific Community
• Noumea, New Caledonia
• geraldH_at_spc.int
• (www.spc.int/sdp)

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Ten-Year Pacific Statistics Strategy, 2011 2020

• To progress matters pertaining to improving
  access to essential statistics and associated
  indicators to inform on social and economic
  development, the region has embarked on an
  ambitious Ten Year Pacific Statistics Strategy.
• Rationale for its development
• Political pressure/mandate by Pacific Forum
  (regions heads of Government, including Aus and
  NZ) in its 2005
• Pacific Plan, to
• strive for greater harmonization of statistical
  concepts, measures, classifications and systems
  to provide comparable statistics across the
  region
• Develop a core set of development indicators
  across key sectors.

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1. Political context growing awareness and
greater recognition of statistics

• Recent developments at national level (a)
• Samoa, Tonga, Papua New Guinea (2010)
• strong political support with prime ministers of
  Samoa and Tonga, and the National Executive
  Council of PNG endorsing in 2010 the development
  of National Strategies for the Development of
  Statistics (NSDS), jointly undertaken by a
  PARIS21-SPC partnership,
• Solomon Islands, Vanuatu (2011)
• Second group of countries expressing interest to
  develop their own NSDS in partnership with
  Paris21/SPC (consultations with both countries to
  develop NSDS roadmap in March 2012, with draft
  reports to be submitted to both Governments by
  June.
• Cooks Islands (2012)
• Recent expression of interest to participate in
  NSDS process

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1. Political context growing awareness and
greater recognition of statistics

• Growing recognition at all levels (b)
• need for regional solutions to address national
  statistical demands and priorities that do not
  undermine the statistical sovereignty of small
  island states
• regional solutions to be complemented (in most
  cases preceded) by national solutions
• illustrated in the insufficient allocation of
  resources to NSOs to undertake basic statistical
  work (including undertaking routine statistical
  collections) and regularly providing a regionally
  agreed-to standard set of statistics and
  indicators.

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1. Political context growing awareness and
greater recognition of statistics

• Recent developments at international level
• Statistics becoming a politically acceptable
  discussion point in policy debates and aid
  negotiations (beyond perennial complaints about
  timeliness, quality, lack of accessibility)
• Statistics on this years FEMM agenda (2 4
  July, Tarawa)
• This is largely due to the emergence of, and
  sustained efforts and commitment to the cause by
  Paris21 over the past decade.

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1. Political context growing awareness and
greater recognition of statistics

• Growing recognition at all levels
• Existing/growing demands for national and
  regional statistics cannot be met by adhering to
  the status quo
• most small island states NSOs are not in a
  position, and most likely will never be in a
  position to collect and compile, tabulate and
  analyse, report and disseminate everything
  required (let alone desired), and even less so
  do this on their own
• RESULT
• development of TYPSS, and associated action plans
• Pacific Statistics Strategy Action Plan, Phase 1
  (2011-2014)

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2. Designing a regional statistical strategy in
the Pacific island region

• Pacific Statistics Strategy Action Plan, Phase 1
  (2011-2014)
• Outlines
• six key strategic objectives guiding statistical
  development in the Pacific Island region over the
  next decade
• Specific activities to be undertaken to achieve
  these objectives
• Purpose as well as the importance of each
  activity, and what would be missed by not
  implementing each activity,
• Expected outcomes of each activity,
• Activity costs (for Phase 1 only), and
• Potential partnerships with other statistics
  providers and agencies with distinct comparative
  advantages .

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• Relevance to Agriculture/Forestry, Fisheries?
• With the vast majority of Pacific island people
  sustaining their livelihoods through economic
  and subsistence activities in these sectors, the
  sustainable statistical collections of a core set
  of statistics and associated development
  indicators in this field represents a key
  objective in Phase 1 of the Pacific Statistics
  Action Plan (2011 2014).
• Political mandate regional statistical
  development strategy / framework provides basis
  for good fit with FAO Global strategy.

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• Where are we heading, what are we aiming for?
• Given political mandate (Pacific Plan) on one
  hand, and considering what is manageable by
  largely small and resources-poor national
  statistical agencies, TYPSS overall strategic
  focus is to pursue regional solutions to address
  national statistical demands and priorities.
• Relevance to theme of this workshop?
• Five key priorities for us, which have tangible
  synergies with the Global Strategy to improve
  Agricultural and Rural Statistics

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• 1 Develop a core set of agricultural/forestry
  and fisheries
• indicators, undertake a data inventory (gap
  analysis) and NSS
• capacity assessment to collect the underlying
  statistics.
• Stage 1 complete
  15
  core indicators developed for agriculture and
  forestry, and 19 for Fisheries, in consultation
  with key technical stakeholders
• Stage 2 work in progress
  Consultation with
  countries to validate identified/reported
• Data values
• Data gaps

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• Agriculture
• Overall coverage across countries was / remains
  shocking (25/10/11)
  (considering sector critical for sustainable
  livelihoods of vast majority of PIC population)

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• Agriculture
• PNG, as largest/most resource-rich country in
  region has not had an agricultural census since
  1963, and third-largest country, Solomon islands
  never had one.
• Situation with fisheries statistics similar last
  year, cross-regional coverage below 20 recent
  access to Pacific-wide fisheries sectoral review
  , inclusive of targeted data-mining ,increased
  coverage to 78.
• Testing the water in Tonga (and 3 other
  countries) in late 2011 by emulating the
  Fisheries sectoral review, improved coverage of
  15 key agricultural/forestry indicators from 13
  to 67.
• Lesson learned (yet again) not readily
  accessible data/statistics doesnt mean they
  dont exist, but require intensive digging/ data
  mining.

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3. National Minimum Development Indicator data
audit background and progress report
AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY ( 15 indicators) National Minimum Development Indicator Database (24 October 2011) Tonga (start) Tonga (now)
AF-1.1 Proportion of household income from agriculture and forestry activities (disaggregated by income from subsistence and income from sales) Y Y
AF-1.2 Proportion of labour force engaged in agriculture and forestry activities (disaggregated by gender and youth) Y
AF-1.3 Volume and value of domestic production of agriculture and forestry products Y
AF-1.4.1 Area of arable land as proportion of total land area Y
AF-1.4.2 Area of forested land as proportion of total land area
AF-1.4.3 Area of reserved/protected land as proportion of total land area
AF-1.4.4 Area of reserved/protected land as proportion of arable land used
AF-1.5 Volume and value of trade (imports, exports and re exports) of agricultural and forestry products Y
AF-1.6 Prices of domestic and international agriculture and forestry products mixed
AF-2.1 Rate of deforestation Y Y
AF-2.2 Rate of land degradation (e.g. soil erosion) Y
AF-2.3 Rate of biodiversity loss
AF-2.4 Contribution of locally grown foods to diets Y
AF-2.5 Diversity of diets Y
AF-2.6 Proportion of national budget allocation to agriculture and forestry (disaggregated by extension services, research, information dissemination etc) Y
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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• Stage 3 proposed for 2nd half of 2012
• Replicate Tonga approach in other countries
• Provide national and key financial and technical
  stakeholders with opportunity for final
  review/comments
• Proposed collaboration with FAO in context of
  Global strategy
• Review and populate our core set to ensure
  compatibility with FAOs Menu of Indicators for
  Agricultural Statistics as outlined in the
  Global Strategy to improve Agricultural and
  Rural Statistics.
• Ensure key data/information demands from other
  sectors / stakeholders are adequately addressed
  (e.g. food security, national accounts)

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• 2 Recognize important contribution of AFF to
  Pacific Islands GDP (through formal contributions
  AND via subsistence and informal activities)
• AFF statistics collected in censuses, household
  surveys and other thematic statistical
  collections (e.g. crop estimation surveys,
  studies on farm management, on cost of
  cultivation ad hoc statistical collections
  concerned with prices and production relating to
  agriculture) need to pay greater attention to
  data requirements for National Accounts.
• Proposed collaboration with FAO in context of
  Global strategy
• Closer collaboration with between SPC-SDP, PFTAC
  and FAO towards improving the collection and
  compilation of AFF statistics on a regular basis
  for the production of National Accounts,
  including the implementation of the 2008 SNA.

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• 3 Develop core agricultural/forestry/fisheries
  statistics
• module for inclusion in regular Household
  surveys, to produce
• much needed sectoral baseline information, and
• provide statistical evidence to make a business
  case for some countries pursuing regular
  fully-fledged Agricultural censuses.
•  
• Proposed collaboration with FAO in context of
  Global strategy
• Given many competing demands for sectoral
  statistical collections, small island countries
  are unlikely to implement more comprehensive
  household survey programs than their current
  focus on HIES and DHS.
• Given obvious thematic synergies with HIES, seek
  FAO technical advice on substance matters (core
  questions) and questionnaire design, to ensure
  optimal statistical coverage with a limited
  number of questions.

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• 4 Assist countries pursuing the development of
  National
• Strategies for the Development of Statistics
  (NSDS) to integrate
• (mainstream) agricultural/rural statistics into
  this strategy
•  
• Proposed collaboration with FAO in context of
  Global strategy
• With SPC working principally in partnership with
  PARIS-21 in the region, it would be beneficial
  for both parties here to leverage off FAOs
  experience in other countries.

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3. TYPPS, 2011 2020

• 5 Increase advocacy with Pacific island NSOs
  to include core
• agricultural census questions in their population
  censuses in
• the upcoming 2020 round of population and housing
  censuses.
• Proposed collaboration with FAO in context of
  Global strategy
• With FAO and UNFPA playing key roles in this
  area, and possibly also PARIS-21, ensure
  agricultural statistics are mainstreamed into
  countries national statistical systems,
  recognizing that Population and Housing censuses
  provide the statistical foundation for Pacific
  Islands national statistical systems.
• Thank you