Applying NHC Mini-MEOWs to SERFC Forecast Operations during Hurricane Irene

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Applying NHC Mini-MEOWs to SERFC Forecast
Operations during Hurricane Irene OR Extending
SERFC water level forecasts to the sea (and using
NHC surge products to do so!) John Schmidt SERFC
Development Operations Hydrologist NOAA
Hurricane Conference November 30, 2011
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(No Transcript)
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Hurricane Irene Adv. 17 R2
PGVN7
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Hurricane Irene Adv. 17 R2 SSTG Simulation
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Hurricane Irene Adv. 17 R2 SQIN Simulation
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PGVN7
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GFS-derived Extratropical Storm Surge
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Tidal Boundary Condition Cobbling
Longest to Shortest Lead Time ( Skill?)

• Astronomical
• 7-day Anomaly
• GFS ETSS
• Mini-MEOW/PSurge
• SLOSH

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Major
Moderate
Minor
Action