Regional Florida Catastrophic Planning: Focus on South Florida, including the Herbert Hoover Dike Region

1
Regional Florida Catastrophic PlanningFocus on
South Florida, including the Herbert Hoover Dike
Region

• April 5, 2007

2

• Welcome
• Carla Boyce, Information and Planning Chief,
  Florida Division of Emergency Management
• Rand Napoli, Lead Planner, IEM

3
Overview

• Florida Catastrophic Planning Project Goals
• Phase 1 To develop a regional response and
  recovery plan for the counties and communities
  surrounding Lake Okeechobee in the event of a
  Herbert Hoover Dike (HHD) failure.
• Phase 2 To develop a regional response and
  recovery plan, along w/decision making
  tools/matrices for a catastrophic hurricane
  impacting South Florida.

4
Scenario-Driven Planning Workshops
5
Scenario-Driven Planning

• The scenario sets a catastrophic bar to
  establish the necessary capacity of the plans.
• Participants at all levels of government
  contribute to the planning solutions.
• Operational knowledge and experience make the
  resulting plans more viable for response and
  recovery activities.

6
Overview of Florida Catastrophic Planning

• Project Purpose
• Planning Team will assist the State in a host of
  planning activities
• Direct technical assistance to target counties
• Conduct workshops, meetings research
• Coordinate w/State, local, tribal, federal,
  private enterprise, non-profit and Federal
  stakeholders
• Ensure a local up approach that results in
  regionally sound, comprehensive and cohesive
  planning efforts

7
Overview of Florida Catastrophic Planning

• Project Purpose
• Develop decision matrices identify resource
  shortfalls that can focus additional planning
  activities
• Examine policies and procedures to identify
  challenges to coordinated response and recovery
  activities

8
Comprehensive Cohesive Planning

• County Annexes
• Comprehensive Emergency Management Plans
• Herbert Hoover Dike Annexes
• Catastrophic Plan Annexes
• Regional Annexes
• HHD Annex
• Catastrophic Annex
• Regional Evacuation Studies
• Behavioral Studies
• Vulnerability Assessment
• Statewide Sheltering Plans

Up Next - Rand Napoli, Lead Planner
9
Local Planning Begun
Tribal Plans Tribal CEMP
Up Next - Rand Napoli, Lead Planner
10
Technical Assistance

• 2 member FEMA team
• 1 Technical Lead
• 7 member Florida team
• 3 working w/Tallahassee
• 4 assigned to South Florida

11
Workshops Exercises

• November 2006 HHD Kickoff
• February 2007 Regional Workshop joining Phase 1
  and Phase 2
• March 15, 2007 Agency Head Emergency
  Coordinating Officer Project Orientation
• April 2007 State-Level Workshop

12
Workshops Exercises

• May 2007 Statewide Hurricane Exercise
• June 2007 Regional Workshop in Miami-Dade
  (local focus)
• Fall 2007 State-Federal Workshop
• Winter 2007/2008 Second Regional Workshop
• Spring 2008 Target Completion Preparation for
  Statewide Exercise in May of 08

Up Next Carla Boyce, Plans Chief FDEM
13
The Scenario Hurricane OnoCoordinated
Research, Realistic, Comprehensive
14
(No Transcript)
15
Planning Scenario Path of Hurricane Ono
16
(No Transcript)
17
(No Transcript)
18
(No Transcript)
19
Concerns

• Inland Flooding from high rainfall totals
• Storm Surge
• Cities of Okeechobee, Pahokee, Belle Glade,
  South Bay, Moore Haven, Clewiston, Brighton
  Indian Reservation
• Canal and River Flooding
• Port Mayaca, St. Lucie Canal, Kissimmee River,
  Caloosahatchee River

20
(No Transcript)
21
(No Transcript)
22
(No Transcript)
23
Herbert Hoover Dike Breaches
24
Projected ConsequencesCoordinated
Analysis,Guided by Subject Matter Experts
25
Herbert Hoover Dike Consequences

• The damage in this discussion results only from
  breaches of the Herbert Hoover Dike (HHD). This
  discussion does not consider the damage caused by
  wind, which is covered in the section on The
  Broader South Florida Scenario, or the affects of
  lake surge or precipitation
• Approximately 130 homes are flooded and some 600
  more are surrounded by water as a result of the
  failure of the S80 structure in Martin County.
  The latter homes are cut off from normal access
  routes, making access to supplies or emergency
  services more difficult.

26
Herbert Hoover Dike S80 Consequences

• From Breaches and Structure Failure ONLY
• In Reach 1 (Palm Beach County), the residences of
  approximately 4,700 households are flooded to a
  depth of five to thirteen feet.
• In Reach 2 (Glades, Hendry, and Palm Beach
  County), the homes of approximately 4,800
  households are within the area that would be
  covered by one to six feet of water.

27
Herbert Hoover Dike Consequences
Law Enforcement Facilities
Agency Location Depth in (ft)
Belle Glade Police Department Belle Glade 45
Clewiston Police Department Clewiston 45
Hendry Co. Sheriff Sub-Office Clewiston 1
Pahokee Police Department Pahokee 45
Royal Palm Beach Police Department Royal Palm Beach 45
28
Herbert Hoover Dike Consequences
Fire Departments
Name Location Depth in (ft)
Clewiston Volunteer F.D. Clewiston 1
Pahokee F.D. Pahokee 45
Fire Station 71, PBC Palm Beach Co. 45
Royal Palm Beach F.D. Royal Palm Beach 45
29
Herbert Hoover Dike Consequences
Utilities (Gas/Electric)
Name Location Depth in (ft)
Glades Gas and Electric Belle Glade 45
Clewiston Substation Clewiston 1
Clewiston Switching Station Clewiston 1
Gator Generating Pahokee 45
Osceola Co-generation Pahokee 45
30
Planning Scenario Path of Hurricane Ono
31
Consequence Projections
Percent of Building Stock by Wind Damage Category
County Percent with No Damage Percent with Minor Damage Percent with Moderate Damage Percent with Severe Damage Percent Destroyed Percent with Any Damage
Broward 0.08 1.36 8.56 36.05 53.95 99.92
Collier 94.96 3.87 1.04 0.10 0.03 5.04
Glades 4.33 9.98 22.40 23.75 39.54 95.67
Hendry 8.72 14.74 21.13 19.74 35.66 91.28
Lee 90.82 7.55 1.45 0.14 0.04 9.18
Martin 32.32 32.61 22.24 8.73 4.10 67.68
Miami-Dade 1.78 5.87 14.47 36.28 41.60 98.22
Monroe 96.95 2.56 0.46 0.03 0.01 3.05
Okeechobee 16.45 17.24 22.58 16.82 26.90 83.55
Palm Beach 0.30 2.46 9.57 33.47 54.20 99.70
Total 18.72 4.91 9.81 27.88 38.68 81.28
32
Consequence Projections
Number of Buildings by Wind Damage Category
County Number of Structures in County Total Structures Affected Number of Structures with No Damage Number of Structures with Minor Damage Number of Structures with Moderate Damage Number of Structures with Severe Damage Number of Structures Destroyed
Broward 464,079 463,711 368 6,330 39,702 167,294 250,384
Collier 92,935 4,686 88,249 3,595 968 95 29
Glades 5,279 5,051 228 527 1,182 1,254 2,087
Hendry 11,599 10,588 1,011 1,710 2,451 2,290 4,137
Lee 193,979 17,802 176,177 14,652 2,813 265 71
Martin 53,274 36,055 17,219 17,373 11,847 4,651 2,183
Miami-Dade 531,131 521,667 9,464 31,188 76,840 192,677 220,962
Monroe 43,366 1,324 42,042 1,109 200 12 3
Okeechobee 14,526 12,136 2,390 2,505 3,280 2,443 3,908
Palm Beach 397,425 396,227 1,198 9,776 38,022 133,020 215,409
Total 1,807,593 1,469,245 338,348 88,766 177,305 504,002 699,173
33
Consequence Projections
Percent of Building Stock by Wind Damage Category
County Percent with No Damage Percent with Minor Damage Percent with Moderate Damage Percent with Severe Damage Percent Destroyed Percent with Any Damage
Broward 8 0 2 37 52 92
Collier 88 7 4 1 0 12
Glades 1 2 11 45 42 99
Hendry 2 4 14 44 36 98
Lee 78 14 6 2 0 22
Martin 14 16 27 34 11 89
Miami-Dade 7 1 3 38 51 93
Monroe 90 6 3 1 0 10
Okeechobee 7 11 22 37 23 93
Palm Beach 7 0 2 35 55 93
34
Consequence Projections
Number of Buildings by Wind Damage Category
County Number of Structures in County Total Structures Affected Number of Structures with No Damage Number of Structures with Minor Damage Number of Structures with Moderate Damage Number of Structures with Severe Damage Number of Structures Destroyed
Broward 463,866 463,849 17 796 11,665 111,965 339,636
Collier 92,888 9,844 83,044 7,023 2,323 406 139
Glades 5,273 5,230 43 184 657 1,260 3,135
Hendry 11,603 11,335 268 830 1,911 2,655 5,935
Lee 193,905 36,436 157,469 27,059 7,740 1,302 409
Martin 53,251 47,952 5,299 11,861 15,565 12,272 8,277
Miami-Dade 530,920 529,657 1,263 5,052 24,254 142,045 358,517
Monroe 43,366 3,602 39,764 2,507 888 156 51
Okeechobee 14,524 13,427 1,097 1,620 2,679 2,935 6,195
Palm Beach 397,232 397,182 50 1,155 10,731 89,395 296,094
Total 1,806,828 1,518,514 288,314 58,087 78,412 364,392 1,018,387
35
Consequence Projections
Number of Buildings by Wind Damage Category
County Number of Structures in County Total Structures Affected Number of Structures with No Damage Number of Structures with Minor Damage Number of Structures with Moderate Damage Number of Structures with Severe Damage Number of Structures Destroyed
Broward 463,866 463,849 17 796 11,665 111,965 339,636
Collier 92,888 9,844 83,044 7,023 2,323 406 139
Glades 5,273 5,230 43 184 657 1,260 3,135
Hendry 11,603 11,335 268 830 1,911 2,655 5,935
Lee 193,905 36,436 157,469 27,059 7,740 1,302 409
Martin 53,251 47,952 5,299 11,861 15,565 12,272 8,277
Miami-Dade 530,920 529,657 1,263 5,052 24,254 142,045 358,517
Monroe 43,366 3,602 39,764 2,507 888 156 51
Okeechobee 14,524 13,427 1,097 1,620 2,679 2,935 6,195
Palm Beach 397,232 397,182 50 1,155 10,731 89,395 296,094
Total 1,806,828 1,518,514 288,314 58,087 78,412 364,392 1,018,387
Up Next Rand Napoli, Lead Planner
36
South Florida Catastrophic PlanningWorkshops
37
Regional Catastrophic Planning Workshop

• June 2007 Regional Workshop
• Involve local, tribal, state, federal, private
  industry, and other non-governmental members of
  the emergency management community.
• Continue the process of developing consistent
  regional plans for a catastrophic hurricane event
  in South Florida, including a significant breach
  of the Herbert Hoover Dike.

38
Workshop Structure

• Scenario-driven planning workshop
• not an exercise
• Worked toward consistent planning assumptions,
  issues and constraints
• Continuous breakout rooms
• Planning Team
• Unified Command
• Provided clarification, addressed conflicts,
  identified common threads gaps to bring back to
  State level workshop
• Morning plenary briefings
• Allowed visibility to all participants on common
  issues needs
• Allowed input across disciplines
• Identified need for additional participation from
  other disciplines/stakeholders

Up Next Carla Boyce
39
Decision Matrices Resource Shortfalls
40
Decision Matrices Resource Shortfalls

• Assess required capabilities based on
  Catastrophic Scenario
• What do we need to do?
• Develop scalable and adaptable methods, formulas,
  or matrices that indicate the quantity and type
  of assets needed to meet the capability
• What do we need to do it?

41
Decision Matrices Resource Shortfalls

• Determine available resources within local,
  regional or States inventories, including
  pre-disaster contracts
• What do we already have?
• Establish protocols policies that clearly
  articulate how to meet both required capabilities
  and fill gaps and identify resource limitations
• How are we going to get our hands on what we
  have, and how will we get more?

42
Decision Matrices Resource Shortfalls

• Integrate with other scenario-based resource
  planning schemes across disciplines
• What does this mean for the rest of the response
  and recovery activities?
• Sustain the planning process to facilitate
  updates and changes

43
The Word Problem

• SF impacted by a Category 5 Hurricane making
  landfall 35mi N of Miami producing upwards of 22
  of rainfall in and north of Lake Okeechobee.
  Winds and surge damage or destroy nearly 700,000
  structures. Note this doesnt include the
  Counties to the North West of Lake Okeechobee
  where the storm exits FL as a Category 2.
• Winds from the storm leave large amounts of
  debris in canals used by SFWMD to control water
  movement in South Florida making it difficult to
  impossible to reduce flood waters impacting the
  environment, economy, citizens and visitors.
  Flood waters are expected to remain for as many
  as 22 days or more

44
Key Assumptions

• Estimated Population 6,358,934
• 2,867,295 people are projected to evacuate in
  advance of the storm
• 796,214 people are expected to seek public
  shelter (10s of miles)
• 3,826,822 homes will be destroyed
• Up to 3,000,000 customers will be w/o power from
  Miami-Dade to Indian River on the East and
  Manatee/Sarasota on the West

45
Pick ONE Break It Down

• Pick ONE decision point and break it down
• Clearly identify the GOAL
• Identify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed
  on which to base a decision
• Document what you know from past experience
• Calculate/Adjust/Recalculate/Cross Check
• Repeat as necessary
• Dont forget LOGISTICAL support for your staff,
  mutual aid assets, volunteers

Up Next - Rand Napoli, Lead Planner
46
Pick ONE Break It Down

• Pick ONE decision point and break it down
• Clearly identify the GOAL
• Complete Primary Search Rescue in 24 Hrs
• Identify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed
  on which to base a decision
• Strike Teams
• of hours/day operational period
• of structures damaged or destroyed

47
Pick ONE Break It Down

• Document what you know from past experience
• Cant safely search at night
• How many workers to safely search a structure
• How much time to safely search a structure
• Deployment time (notification to operational)
• Calculate/Adjust/Recalculate/Cross Check
• Repeat as necessary
• Dont forget LOGISTICAL support for your staff,
  mutual aid assets, volunteers

48
Example Search and Rescue
Structures per Strike Teams per Op Period 500 County Structures Strike Teams Personnel
Hours per Day 12 Miami-Dade 352,332 940 18,800
Structures per Strike Team per Day 500 Broward 335,252 895 17,900
Palm Beach 293,881 784 15,680
Hours Allowed 24 Martin 8,368 23 460
Deployment Time 6 Okeechobee 6,185 17 340
Hours Available 18 Hendry 5,916 16 320
Glades 3,134 9 180
Lee 408 2 40
Monroe 50 1 20
7.2 Total 1,005,526 2,687 53,740
49
Examples - SAR
Structures per Strike Teams per Op Period 500 County Structures Strike Teams Personnel
Hours per Day 12 Miami-Dade 352,332 257 5,140
Structures per Strike Team per Day 500 Broward 335,252 244 4,880
Palm Beach 293,881 214 4,280
Hours Allowed 72 Martin 8,368 7 140
Deployment Time 6 Okeechobee 6,185 5 100
Hours Available 66 Hendry 5,916 5 100
Glades 3,134 3 60
Lee 408 1 20
Monroe 50 1 20
7.2 Total 1,005,526 737 14,740
50
Pick ONE Break It Down

• Pick ONE decision point and break it down
• Clearly identify the GOAL
• Provide 3 Hot Meals/day for survivors in impacted
  area
• Identify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed
  on which to base a decision
• How many survivors remained in the area
• Approximately 4.3 Million
• Quantity of food/meal
• How many staff required to prepare/deliver

51
Pick ONE Break It Down

• Document what you know from past experience
• Operational Period
• Deployment time (notification to operational)
• Staff required to prepare X number meals
• Adjust/Recalculate/Cross Check/ - Repeat
• Dont forget LOGISTICAL support for your staff,
  mutual aid assets, volunteers

52
Meal count estimation formula

• How to estimate meal counts for the first 14 days
• Category 1 Population X 15
• Category 2 Population X 33
• Category 3 Population X 90
• Category 4 Population X 350
• For estimates past 14 days use actual reported
  meals counts for Day 1 through Day 7

53
Meals resources required
54
Examples - LE
Intersection Control
Critical Intersections Number of Intersections Manpower Needed Personnel Required
Major (gt6 lanes)  6 6 36
Minor (lt6 lanes) 3 3 9
Railroad Crossings  1 1 1

Total 0
Number of Shifts 3

Total Personnel Required 138
55
Examples - Law Enforcement/Security
Roadway Security
Access Type Miles of Critical Road Miles of Coverage Personnel Required
Low  5 .5 10
Medium  15 1  15
High 25  2  50

Total 75
Number of Shifts 3

Total Personnel Required 225
56
Examples Law Enforcement/Security
Facility/Infrastructure Type Number Officers per Facility Personnel Required
Shelter 25  1  25
Hospital 5  4  20
Banks 25  2  50
PODs 10   2 20
Consumer-Related Facilities 20   1 20
Governmental Facilities  25 1 25
Public Utilities 15   1 15

Total for Infrastructure/Facilities 175

Total Personnel per Shift 525
Up Next Carla Boyce, Plans Chief - FDEM
57
(No Transcript)
58
Next Steps April 16th 17thPreparation/Assignm
ents
59
2007 Workshop Objectives

• Bring State Federal stakeholders to the table
• Agency heads
• Support agencies/partners
• Private enterprise, faith-based and non-profit
  partners
• Continue cohesive planning across agencies
• Focused on realistic needs/resource shortfalls of
  the locals

60
2007 Workshop Objectives

• Assess required capabilities based on
  Catastrophic Scenario (State Perspective).
• Develop scalable and adaptable methods, formulas,
  or matrices that indicate the quantity and type
  of assets needed to meet the capability (tools of
  the trade).
• Determine available resources within regional or
  States inventories, including pre-disaster
  contracts.

61
Decision Matrices Resource Shortfalls

• Identify resource limitations.
• Establish plans, protocols policies that
  clearly articulate how to meet both required
  capabilities and fill gaps.
• Sustain the planning process to facilitate
  updates and changes.

62
In Preparation Food for Thought

• Making the workshops effective.
• Based on things identified at the local focused
  workshop.
• Support of decision makers, municipalities, other
  ECOs, and Agency Heads.

63
ESF18 Economic Damage Assessment (HHD)

• One of the most significant impacts of the
  scenario will be the damages to agricultural
  interests in the Lake Okeechobee area.
• This translates into significant economic
  impacts, locally, statewide and even nationally.
• Preparation will make the breakout sessions at
  the April workshop more effective.

64
Infrastructure Debris clearing in waterways

• Though the focus is local up this particular
  issue crosses multiple jurisdictional lines.
• Planning for this issue will require strong
  support from the State level to coordinate and
  identify local impacts.
• Preparation will not only make the breakout
  sessions at the April workshop more effective,
  but will assist planning efforts at the local
  level.

65
ESF2 - Communications

• Common throughout ALL breakout sessions was
  interoperable communications.
• Emergency management personnel and responders
  alike seemed unfamiliar withthe State
  Communications plan.
• All are seeking information training on assets
  like MARC units, EDICS, FIN, EDWARDS.

66
Assignment ESF17

• Disposal of livestock in large quantities.
• Care of surviving livestock in flooded areas.
• Animal control and rescue.

67
Updated Info

• www.floridacatastrophicplanning.com
• www.FloridaDisaster.org/CatastrophicPlanning

68
(No Transcript)