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The Normal Distributions

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Title: The Normal Distributions


1
Chapter 3
  • The Normal Distributions

2
  • Z-Score Explained
  • http//www.youtube.com/watch?vAT-HH0W_swAfeature
    related
  • Basics of Using the Std Normal Table
  • http//www.youtube.com/watch?vy6sbghmHwQAfeature
    related
  • Normal Distribution Z-score
  • http//www.youtube.com/watch?vmai23vW8uFMfeature
    related

3
Well Learn The Topics
  • Review Histogram
  • Density Curve
  • Normal Distribution
  • 68 95 99.7 Rule
  • Z-score
  • Standard Normal Distribution

4
Density Curves
  • Example here is a histogram of vocabulary
    scores of 947 seventh graders.
  • We can describe the histogram with a smooth
    curve, a bell- shaped curve.
  • It corresponding to a normal distribution Model.

5
Density Curves
  • Example the areas of the shaded bars in this
    histogram represent the proportion of scores that
    are less than or equal to 6.0. This proportion
    in the observed data is equal to 0.303.

6
Density Curves
  • now the area under the smooth curve to the left
    of 6.0 is shaded.
  • The scale is adjusted, the total area under the
    curve is exactly 1, this curve is called a
    density curve.
  • The proportion of the area to the left of 6.0
    is now equal to 0.293.

7
Density Curves
  • Always on or above the horizontal axis
  • Have area exactly 1 underneath curve
  • Display the bell-shaped pattern of a distribution
  • A histogram becomes a density curve if the scale
    is adjusted so that the total area of the bars is
    1.

8
Mean Standard Deviation
  • The mean and standard deviation computed from
    actual observations (data) are denoted by and
    s, respectively
  • The mean and standard deviation of the
    distribution represented by the density curve are
    denoted by µ (mu) and ? (sigma),
    respectively.
  • The mean of a density curve is the "balance
    point" of the curve.

9
Bell-Shaped CurveThe Normal Distribution
10
The Normal Distribution
  • Knowing the mean (µ) and standard deviation (?)
    allows us to make various conclusions about
    Normal distributions.
  • Notation N(µ,?).

11
68-95-99.7 Rule forAny Normal Curve
  • 68 of the observations fall within one standard
    deviation of the mean
  • 95 of the observations fall within two standard
    deviations of the mean
  • 99.7 of the observations fall within three
    standard deviations of the mean

12
68-95-99.7 Rule forAny Normal Curve
13
68-95-99.7 Rule forAny Normal Curve
14
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • Heights of adult men, aged 18-24
  • mean 70.0 inches
  • standard deviation 2.8 inches
  • heights follow a normal distribution, so we have
    that heights of men are N(70, 2.8).

15
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • 68-95-99.7 Rule for mens heights
  • 68 are between 67.2 and 72.8 inches
  • µ ? ? 70.0 ? 2.8
  • 95 are between 64.4 and 75.6 inches
  • µ ? 2? 70.0 ? 2(2.8) 70.0 ? 5.6
  • 99.7 are between 61.6 and 78.4 inches
  • µ ? 3? 70.0 ? 3(2.8) 70.0 ? 8.4

16
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • What proportion of men are less than 72.8 inches
    tall?

17
Standard Normal Distribution
  • Z Score
  • The standard Normal distribution N(0,1) is the
    Normal distribution has a mean of zero and a
    standard deviation of one
  • Normal distributions can be transformed to
    standard normal distributions by Z-score

18
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • What proportion of men are less than 68 inches
    tall?

How many standard deviations is 68 from 70?
19
Standardized Scores
  • standardized score (Z-score)
  • (observed value minus mean) / (std dev)
  • (68 - 70) / 2.8 -0.71
  • The value 68 is 0.71 standard deviations below
    the mean 70.

20
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • What proportion of men are less than 68 inches
    tall?

-0.71 0 (standardized values)
21
Table AStandard Normal Probabilities
  • See pages 464-465 in text for Table A. (the
    Standard Normal Table)
  • Look up the closest standardized score (z) in the
    table.
  • Find the probability (area) to the left of the
    standardized score.

22
Table AStandard Normal Probabilities
23
Table AStandard Normal Probabilities
z .00 .02
?0.8 .2119 .2090 .2061
.2420 .2358
?0.6 .2743 .2709 .2676
.01
?0.7
.2389
24
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • What proportion of men are less than 68 inches
    tall?

.2389
25
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • What proportion of men are greater than 68
    inches tall?

1?.2389 .7611
.2389
26
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • How tall must a man be to place in the lower 10
    for men aged 18 to 24?

27
Table AStandard Normal Probabilities
  • See pages 464-465 in text for Table A.
  • Look up the closest probability (to .10 here) in
    the table.
  • Find the corresponding standardized score.
  • The value you seek is that many standard
    deviations from the mean.

28
Table AStandard Normal Probabilities
z .07 .09
?1.3 .0853 .0838 .0823
.1020 .0985
?1.1 .1210 .1190 .1170
.08
?1.2
.1003
29
Health and Nutrition Examination Study of
1976-1980
  • How tall must a man be to place in the lower 10
    for men aged 18 to 24?

-1.28 0 (standardized values)
30
Observed Value for a Standardized Score
  • Need to reverse the z-score to find the
    observed value (x)
  • observed value
  • mean plus (standardized score) ? (std dev)

31
Observed Value for a Standardized Score
  • observed value
  • mean plus (standardized score) ? (std dev)
  • 70 (-1.28 ) ? (2.8)
  • 70 (?3.58) 66.42
  • A man would have to be approximately 66.42 inches
    tall or less to place in the lower 10 of all men
    in the population.

32
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33
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34
The Entry in Table A
  • Using random variable z to get the entrance in
    Table A.
  • Variable z is z-score which follows the standard
    normal distribution N(0, 1)
  • Z-score
  • When search entry for a z value
  • ? look up the most left column first, locate the
    most close value to z value
  • ? look up the top row to locate the 2th decimal
    place for a z value

35
The Entry in Table A
  • Table As entry is an area underneath the curve,
    to the left of z
  • Table As entry is a percent of the whole area,
    to the left of z-score
  • Table As entry is a probability, corresponding
    to the z-score value.
  • Math formula
  • P (z z0) 0.xxxx
  • P (z -0.71) 0.2389

36
Problem type I
  • If z N(0, 1), P (z z0) ?
  • By checking the Table A, find out the answer.
  • For type I problem, check the table and get the
    answer directly.
  • For example,
  • P (z -0.71) 0. 2389

37
Problem type II
  • If z N(0, 1), P (z z0) ?
  • This types problem, cannot check the table
    directly. Using the following operation.
  • P (z z0) 1 - (z z0)
  • For example, p (z -0.71) ?
  • ? P (z -0.71) 1 - (z - 0.71) 1 0.2389
    0.7611

38
Problem Type II
0.7611
0.2389
39
Problem Type III
  • If z N(0, 1), P ( z2 z z1) ?
  • random variable z is between two numbers
  • Look up z1 ? P1
  • Look up z2 ? P2
  • The result is P ( z2 z z1) P1 - P2
  • For example, P ( -1.4 z 1.3) ?
  • look up 1.3 P1 0.9032
  • look up -1.4 P2 0.0808
  • P ( -1.4 z 1.3) 0.9032 0.0808 0.8224

40
Steps Summary
  • Write down the normal distribution N(µ,?) for
    observation data set
  • Locate the specific observation value X0
  • Transform X0 to be Z0 by z-score formula
  • Check table A using random variable Z0 to find
    out table entry P(z z0)
  • If is problem type I, the result is P(z z0)
  • If is problem type II, the result is
  • P (z z0) 1- P(z z0)
  • If is problem type III, the result is
  • P ( z2 z z1) P1 - P2
  • P1 P(z z1), P2 P(z z2)
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