Slip-rate along the San Andreas Fault and Seismic hazard estimation for central California by Shimon Wdowinski University of Miami - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Slip-rate along the San Andreas Fault and Seismic hazard estimation for central California by Shimon Wdowinski University of Miami

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Title: Slip-rate along the San Andreas Fault and Seismic hazard estimation for central California by Shimon Wdowinski University of Miami


1
Slip-rate along the San Andreas Fault and
Seismic hazard estimation for central
Californiaby Shimon WdowinskiUniversity of
Miami
2
Earthquakes in California
3
The 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake
4
The 1906 San Francisco EQ
5
The 1906 San Francisco EQ
This photograph, taken from a tethered balloon
five weeks after the great earthquake of April
18, 1906, shows the devastation brought on the
city of San Francisco by the quake and subsequent
fire. The view is looking over Nob Hill toward
business district, South of the Slot, and the
distant Mission. The Fairmont Hotel, far left.
dwarfs the Call Building.
6
The earthquake deformation cycle
  • Deformation Stages
  • Co-seismic large EQ
  • Post-seismic
  • Inter-seismic
  • Pre-seismic

Elastic Rebound
7
GPS time series
8
Geodetic measurements in Central and Southern
California
Ref. Frame Stable North America
9
Central California
10
Adding uncertainties
  • We add variance NOT standard deviation
  • Example
  • V1 203
  • V2 304
  • DV ? 3 4 7
  • DV sqrt(916) 5

11
Locked fault model
12
Calculating average and standard deviation
  • Average
  • Standard Deviation

13
The 1857 Fort Tejon EQ
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