Upper Shore Labor Shed

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Upper Shore Labor Shed
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Why Do A Labor Shed Analysis?

• Anecdotal vs Data Based Decision
• Determine Gaps- Training, Job Search Techniques
• Because it was fairly obvious at the DOL
  Institutes

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How to do a Labor Shed Analysis

• Get some money
• Write a Request for Proposals
• Publish the Request for Proposals
• Evaluate the Requests for Proposals
• Realize you cant afford the Labor Shed Analysis
• Do it yourself
• Use the money for programs vs Labor Shed Analysis

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Sheds

• Laborshed
• Where workers live who are employed in a selected
  area

• Watershed
• The area of land that separates waters flowing to
  different rivers or seas

Source United States Environmental Protection
Agency
Source United States Census Bureau Longitudinal
Employer Household Dynamics
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Upper Shore Labor Shed Analysis

• Identify top 5 current sectors in the labor shed
  region
• Identify the top sector in the labor shed region
• Identify projected openings within the top sector
  in the region based on growth and replacement
  demand.
• Identify job titles, average wage, educational
  requirements for the top occupations within the
  sector identified
• Identify largest employers for each job title
  identified within the top sector.

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Validation

• Are the projected openings too high, too low or
  about right?
• Are the average wages too high, too low or about
  right?
• What about LPNs?
• What about Phlebotomy?
• Where are dental jobs listed?

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Methodology

• Use Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
  (LEHD) to determine commutable area
• Use LEHD to determine top 10 three digit North
  American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
  sectors for the commutable region
• Compare the top 10 NAICS sectors for Upper Shore
  and commutable area

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Methodology

• Determine the top 5 sectors for the Upper Shore
• Determine the top 5 sectors for the commutable
  region
• Compare the Upper Shore and commutable region
• Determine the top 5 sectors for the Upper Shore
  labor shed
• Determine the top sector for the Upper Shore
  labor shed

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Methodology

• Utilize Maryland Workforce Exchange and to find
  job openings in the top sector
• Utilize employer websites to determine job
  openings in the Upper Shore
• Utilize employment projections from DLLR to
  determine future demand
• Utilize training information to determine if
  credentialing is available
• Validate findings with employers

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Upper Shore Rank NAICS Code Industry
1 722 Food Services and Drinking Places
2 541 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
3 622 Hospitals
4 311 Food Manufacturing
5 621 Ambulatory Health Care Services
6 561 Administrative and Support Services
7 238 Specialty Trade Contractors
8 623 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
9 445 Food and Beverage Stores
10 721 Accommodation
Source United States Census Bureau Longitudinal
Employer Household Dynamics
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Upper Shore Rank NAICS Code Industry
1 722 Food Services and Drinking Places
2 541 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
3 622 Hospitals
4 311 Food Manufacturing
5 621 Ambulatory Health Care Services
6 561 Administrative and Support Services
7 238 Specialty Trade Contractors
8 623 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
9 445 Food and Beverage Stores
10 721 Accommodation
Source United States Census Bureau Longitudinal
Employer Household Dynamics
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Source United States Census Bureau Longitudinal
Employer Household Dynamics
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22552
17418
8794
8124
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Upper Shore Rank NAICS Code Industry Laborshed Rank
1 722 Food Services and Drinking Places 2
2 541 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 1
3 622 Hospitals 4
4 311 Food Manufacturing 9
5 621 Ambulatory Health Care Services 5
6 561 Administrative and Support Services 3
7 238 Specialty Trade Contractors 6
8 623 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 7
9 445 Food and Beverage Stores 8
10 721 Accommodation 10
Source United States Census Bureau Longitudinal
Employer Household Dynamics
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Upper Shore Rank NAICS Code Avg. Quarterly Employment Rank for Commutable Area Avg. Quarterly for Commutable Area
1 620 Hospitals, Ambulatory, Nursing Care 6785 1 176637
2 722 Food Services and Drinking Places 4714 3 116124
3 541 Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 2733 2 120265
4 561 Administrative and Support Services 2259 4 89366
5 238 Specialty Trade Contractors 2036 5 62823
Source United States Census Bureau Longitudinal
Employer Household Dynamics
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Source Employer Websites
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Specialty Openings 2016 Wage
MD 8 75 188,400
Nurse Prac. 2
RN 42 240 65,800
LPN 2.5 110 50,525
N.A. 13 210 27,225
Phleb 2
PT 6 50 87,600
Therapy 6 15 68,000
Pharmacy 3 60 91,000
Surg. Tech. 2 35 38,625
Rad. Tech. 6 10 64,725
Med. Tech. 8 45 29,025
Pharm. Tech. 3 105 31,300
TOTALS 103.5 955
Source Maryland Department of Labor, Licensing
and Regulation and Employer Websites
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Validation

• Are the projected openings too high, too low or
  about right?
• Are the average wages too high, too low or about
  right?
• What about LPNs?
• What about Phlebotomy?
• Where are dental jobs listed?

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Validation Meeting April 19, 2011

• Mary Pat Harrell Genesis
• Kim Honeycutt Comfort Keepers
• Jeanne Bromwell AHEC, Deputy Director
• Jake Frego AHEC, Exec. Director
• Cassandra Stanley Eastern Shore Hospital Center
• Carla Neugroschel Dorchester County Health
  Department
• Doug Wilson Peninsula Regional Medical
  Center
• Jeanie Holt AA - Dental Hygienist
• Addie Eckhart State Delegate

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Positions discussed during validation meeting

• Doctor
• RN
• AA-RN
• Certified Medicine Aide (CMA)
• Certified Nurse Aide (CNA)
• Certified Geriatric Aide (GNA)
• LPN
• Phlebotomist
• Surgical Technician
• Radiologic Technician
• Dental Assistant
• Dental Hygienist
• Medical Tech
• Patient Tech
• Nurse Practitioner
• Physical Therapist
• Occupational Therapist
• Recreational Therapist
• Speech Therapist

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Are Job Projections Accurate?

• Too Low
• Aging population of health care workers will
  result in significant positive impact on openings
• Health care reform will have a significant
  positive impact on openings
• Health care reform will have a significant
  positive impact on mid level practitioner
  openings ex nurse practitioner, dental
  hygienist, physician assistant

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Is wage data accurate?

• LPN wages are too high
• Wage rates are close to average in general-
  within an acceptable range
• Government wage rates are lower than averages
  presented

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What is the future for the LPN certification?

• Most employers are phasing out LPNs
• LPNs can evaluate but not assess, therefore, an
  RN must provide assessment
• RNs with an Associates Degree seem to be the
  replacement for LPNs

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How does phlebotomy fit into local healthcare
hiring?

• National companies such as Quest and Labcorp are
  the major employers of phlebotomists

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Where are other healthcare jobs such as dental
listed?

• Word of mouth among affiliate groups
• ESAHEC lists some jobs
• Networking among employers and jobseekers
• Not listed in newspapers

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Other areas of discussion

• Median wage data may be more useful than average
  wage data
• Many employers are using travel nurses and other
  temporary staffing options
• New RNs are hard to place- Genesis has a 3 week
  orientation program, Shore Healths critical Care
  University
• Job titles in employment postings create
  confusion- medical tech C.N.A vs 4 year degree
  position

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Other areas of discussion

• Uncoupling dental hygienists from dentists,
  physicians assistants from physicians
• Health care reforms impact on health care
  delivery is evolving