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Oil

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ABZ Petroleum Investments is focused ?n the upstream oil business in Russia. ... Fitch - BBB. 5. OVERVIEW - RUSSIAN OIL & GAS INDUSTRY ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Oil


1
Oil Gas Opportunities for Private Equity
Investments
  • ABZ Petroleum Investments
  • CIS PEF 2006
  • Moscow
  • June 2006

2
Commitment to the industry
  • Focus ?n the Upstream Oil Business in Russia
  • ABZ Petroleum Investments is focused ?n the
    upstream oil business in Russia . The ??m??n? and
    its principals have successfully invested and
    operated in Russia and the CIS for over 10 years.
    ABZ Petroleum Investments is majority-owned b? US
    and Russian entrepreneurs with estabIished
    business reputations and excellent pubIic and
    private relationships
  • Unique Combination ?f Expertise
  • ABZ Petroleum Investments represents ? r?r?
    combination of experience, relationships and past
    success, and is poised to take advantage of the
    opportunity now unfolding in Russia
  • The principals and management team of ABZ
    Petroleum Investments have ? collective
    experience of successfully managing the entire
    range of business probIems that ?r? encountered
    in Russia. These probIems ?r? often complicated
    government-business probIems that include
    taxation disputes, licensing, permit approvals,
    ??? permission, acquisition and divestiture
    negotiations, and crisis management

3
OVERVIEW - OIL GAS REGIONS IN RUSSIA
4
OVERVIEW - GLOBAL LEADERSHIP
  • Russia proves leadership
  • 1 b? hydrocarbon (incl. gas) proved reserves 378
    bn b??
  • 1 b? hydrocarbon production 18.4 bn b?? ??r day
  • 2 worldwide crude producer after Saudi ?r?bi?
    (7.7 mln bbl ??r day)
  • Political and social stability and steadily
    improving investment climate but oil reserves ?r?
    still undervalued compared to other markets
  • Russia rating
  • Standard Poors BBB
  • Moodys Baa2
  • Fitch - BBB

5
OVERVIEW - RUSSIAN OIL GAS INDUSTRY
  • Russia is globally important in the oil gas
    sector and represents ?n? of the major investment
    opportunities today
  • Industry structure shaped b? dramatic history...
  • Historical cost advantage due to depreciation of
    asset base after roubIe devaluation
  • Focus b? acquirers of vertically integrated oil
    companies in post-privatization period on
    developing scale and ?n consolidation and control
    rather than capital efficiency
  • - low and volatile domestic oil price has
    limited the ability of independent oil companies
    to compete with integrated oil companies
  • ... is undergoing change and leading to new
    opportunities
  • Dilution of cost position as roubIe strengthens
  • The owners of vertically integrated oil companies
    ?r? now focused increasing the market
    capitalization of their companies b? increasing
    capital efficiency
  • - Stability in domestic prices and the increase
    in export capacity has increased the ability of
    independents to profitabIy acquire and manage
    upstream oil assets

6
OVERVIEW - Independent oil companies
  • Small independent oils account for 7 of oil
    production in Russia (175 mln. barrels per year).
  • Number of companies 150
  • Oil independents operate new, undeveloped or
    exhausted oil fields and are exposed to higher
    geological risks.
  • Ratio on CAPEX to production volume is much
    higher that Russian majors (5,5)

7
Russian Market Trends MA and IPO scenes
- M A - IPO
8
Strategy
  • Step 1 Acquire interests in two ?r m?r? Russian
  • upstream oil companies
  • Step 2 Implement ? comprehensive reservoir
    management, financial and operational
    restructuring program
  • Step 3 Exit investment within two to five years

9
Oil company in Komi region
  • Oil production company in European part of
    Russia in the Komi Republic
  • Excellent quality reservoirs with highly
    productive wells. Current oil production is 10
    kpd. Oil is produced from 8 wells. Average
    production rate per well is 1400 bopd. Zero water
    cut.
  • Reserves are 70 MMbrl.
  • The company had growing production and reserves
    every year for the 5 years of its existence
  • Efficient operations low OpEx

10
Komi project deal upside
  • Acquisition cost US 110 MM for 49,99 of
    equity shares
  • Total CAPEX US 92,2 MM in 2006-2009 period
  • Exit in 2-3 years with the sale of the stake for
    US 300-350 MM

The asset can be purchased for up to 220 mil (at
18 300 per bbl/day of production). In 2 years
(with 109 mil. bbl reserves and 21 thous. BOPD
production) this company will costs 700 - 800
mil.
11
Oil company at Orenburg region
  • Location Orenburg region
  • Reserves ABC1 40 mln. Brl (7 mln. tn)
  • Production at 2005 2 200 bpd (110 th. tn. per
    year)
  • Maximum level of oil production in 2009 is 13
    kpd.
  • Level of oil export is 99
  • 1 developed oil field
  • The company is managed by professional with more
    than 15 years of oil industry

12
Orenburg project deal upside
  • Acquisition cost US 120 MM for 100 of equity
    shares
  • Total CAPEX US 135 MM in 2006-2009 period
  • Exit in 2-3 years for US 400-500 MM

This company can be purchased for up to 120 mil
(or 1,4 per bbl of reserves). In 2 years (with
86 mil. Bbl of reserves and 13 KBOPD production)
this company will costs 400-500 mil.
13
IMPLEMENT?TION
  • ??? aims ?f restructuring
  • The experience of the ABZ Petroleum Investments
    team has shown that ?n active and experienced
    management team ??n achieve ? significant
    increase in asset valuation b? implementing
    reforms that achieve three overarching goals
  • Increase reserve base and move reserves into the
    proved developed category
  • Increase production
  • Reduce operating costs and increase effective
    price ??r barrel
  • These metrics have ? direct impact ?n the value
    of the assets

14
IMPLEMENTATION (CONT'D)
  • Focus ?n profitability and cash flow
  • It is an environment of intense crisis management
    that requires quick decisions for important
    problems, often with imperfect information
  • Successful Russian oil ??m??n? management teams
    focus ?n bottom line results, to the exclusion of
    almost all other concerns
  • - impose control
  • - increase production
  • - increase netbacks (revenues)
  • - reduce operating costs
  • - shrink the workforce
  • - optimize capital expenditures
  • - eliminate inefficiencies

15
IMPLEMENTATION (CONT'D)
  • Reservoir management
  • Almost without exception, Soviet-era oilfields
    were not managed to achieve the highest economic
    value. Standard Russian practices ?r? limited b?
    the failure to link activity with value creation
  • Although certain advances have b??n made over the
    past 10 years, notabIy the introduction of
    Western service contractors and equipment, most
    fields ?r? operated according to Soviet-era
    practices that often result in value-destruction
  • The result of applying standard Western oilfield
    practices has b??n ?n increase in well
    productivity (2-5), lower operating costs and
    greater and m?r? efficient reserve recovery
  • Measures to achieve this include
  • - well pump optimization
  • - use of dual completions and co-mingling
  • - improved drilling and completion practices -
    mud, cement, logging and perforating, production
    measurement and monitoring
  • - data integration and reservoir modeling.

16
IMPLEMENT?TION (CONT'D)
  • Financial restructuring
  • With the establishment of control and information
    at hand, ? program to aggressively reduce costs
    ??n begin
  • Areas to address will include
  • personnel reductions (often the largest operating
    cost component)
  • electricity consumption
  • excessive vehicle usage
  • uncontrolled GA expenses
  • unnecessary building and infrastructure costs
  • tax optimization
  • Successful cost reduction programs often include
  • - the sale or spin-off of non-related or
    n?n-?r?fit?bI? subsidiaries providing
    inter??m??n? services
  • - the redesign of production infrastructure to
    minimize consumables
  • - the streamlining of the personnel organization
    to eliminate layers of unnecessary management and
    related overhead

17
Market Capitalization
  • Future Market Cap of the two acquired oil assets
    prognoses based only on increase in proved
    reserves and production.
  • The valuation does not include values of the cash
    flows.

18
EXIT
  • ABZ Petroleum Investments team is targeting to
    exit the investments in 2-3 years. Key drivers of
    increased valuation
  • Improvement in key operating and financial
    performance
  • Improvements in managerial practices result in
    further narrowing of valuation spread
  • Establishment of critical mass to attract higher
    quality strategic buyers and/or increase
    attractiveness of company to international
    capital markets

19
CONTACTS
  • Gleb N. Zamyatin
  • Executive director
  • ABZ PETROLEUM INVESTMENTS
  • 1st Volkonskiy per. 15, office 4
  • 127437, Moscow, Russia
  • Tel. 7 495 798 93 47
  • Tel/fax 7 495 625 36 29
  • z_at_abzpetroinvest.com
  • www.abzpetroinvest.com
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