Title: CMHEI Crisis Outcome Study
1CMHEI Crisis Outcome Study
- RCT Intervention Team Crisis Evaluation Team
- Donald Wasylenki (PI) Sean B. Rourke (PI)
- Margaret Gehrs Paul Links (PI)
- Lorne Tugg Nancy Read
- John Langley Ian Dawe
- Nancy Read Lorraine Ferris
- Nicole Kirwan Rahel Eynan
- Michael Higgins Donald Wasylenki
- Suzanne Cohen
- Ron Heslegrave
Funded by Ontario Mental Health Foundation
2 Cases with a Crisis Episode
Group ns Time p lt 0.05
3 Cases with Medical-PsychiatricCrisis Episodes
Group p lt 0.05 (1ST 9 months) Time p lt 0.01
4 Cases with ER Visits(past 90 days)
p 0.01
5 Cases Admitted to Hospital
p 0.02
6Multnomah Community Ability Scale
Four dimension scores average score adjusted
for items
7Changes in Multnomah and BPRS Total Scores
8Frequency and Type of Crisis Episode across 18
months
58
9Prediction of Outcome (Crisis) in 1st 9 months
Logistic Regression Model (p lt 0.002)
Overall 74 Sensitivity 87
Specificity 48 Positive PV 76
Negative PV 67
10Prediction of Outcome (Medical-Psychiatric
Crisis) in 1st 9 months
Logistic Regression Model (p lt 0.0001)
Overall 76 Sensitivity 90
Specificity 58 Positive PV 74
Negative PV 82
11Prediction of Outcome (ER visit) in 1st 9 months
Logistic Regression Model (p lt 0.001)
Overall 74 Sensitivity 73
Specificity 74 Positive PV 61
Negative PV 83
12Prediction of Outcome (admission) in 1st 9 months
Logistic Regression Model (p lt 0.03)
Overall 63 Sensitivity 35
Specificity 80 Positive PV 50
Negative PV 67
13Significant Multnomah Item Predictors of outcomes
in 1st 9 months
- Crisis
- Any Psych ER Admit
- Mood abnormal ns yes yes ns
- Independence ns yes ns ns
- Coop Tx provider ns ns yes ns
- Impulse control yes yes yes ns
14Main Messages
- ACT and Intensive Case Management Programs can be
effectively implemented for clients with severe
and persistent mental illness in the inner city - Client functioning (Multnomah Scale) increases
about 20 in both programs at 9 months - Psychiatric symptoms (BPRS) are reduced about 10
in both programs at 9 months - 33 reduction in ER visits in ACT Program and 62
in Intensive Case Management Program at 9 months
15Main Messages
- Hospital admissions reduced by 43 in ACT Program
and 86 in Intensive Case Management Program at 9
months - Crisis events reduced by 34 from 1st 9 months to
2nd 9 months - Baseline functioning scores (Multonomah Scale)
significantly predictive of crisis events and ER
visits in 1st 9 months but not in 2nd 9 months - Psychiatric symptoms (BPRS) at baseline are not
predictive of crisis events and ER visits across
both programs