National Security Space: Issues and Challenges

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National Security Space Issues and Challenges
U.S. Government Space Sector Short
Course George Mason University
14 October 2008
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Space Trends
Then--Few
Now--Many

• Useful
• Advantageous
• Monolithic

• Critical
• Indispensable
• Full-spectrum

Space Capabilities

• National Leadership
• All Command Elements
• Individual Joint Warfighter

Space Users

• National
• Leadership

• Multi-faceted
• Contested
• Crowded

Threats and Competition

• Unchallenged
• Environmental

Command, Control, and Organizational Structures

• Dynamic
• Integrated
• Networked

• Deliberate
• Stove-pipes

Space has become an integral part of both
military operations and the global economy
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14-Oct-09
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Old Way Of Warfare Attrition

• Surface centric
• Estimated intelligence
• Force-on-force
• Mass bombing raids
• Many weapons per target
• High casualties/collateral damage
• Inaccurate weapons
• Airpower as a supporting force

World War II 1941-1945
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Transitional Warfare Precision

• Air centric
• Near real-time intelligence
• Emergence of nodal attack
• Stealth technology
• Fewer aircraft per target
• Precision guided munitions (7)
• Airpower as a supported force

Desert Storm 1991
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Todays Way Of War Integrated
Common Operational Pictures
Coalition Air Ops Centers

• Air, space info centric
• Joint coalition warfare
• System-of-systems focus
• Highly integrated C4ISR
• Maximum use of precision guided munitions (70
  total, near 100 of critical targets)
• Very few aircraft per target
• Minimum collateral damage

Allied Force, Enduring Freedom, Iraqi Freedom
1999-
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Growth in SATCOM Demand
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Major Military Space Program Investments
(Millions of 2006 dollars)
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Problems with Aerospace

• Divisive and Inconsistent within USAF
• Aerospace, 1950s-Jun 92
• Air and Space, Jun 92-Aug 98
• Aerospace Integration, Aug 98-Nov 01
• Air and Space, Nov 01-
• May Serve Bureaucratic Politics but not
  Descriptive
• Does Not Help Build Spacepower Theory
• Perceived as Hypocritical by Space Operators
• Outside USAF Confusing and Divisive
• Confusing to Public Divisive to other Services,
  OSD
• Not even used in DOD Space Policy (Jul 99) used
  only in context of aerospace industry in NRO
  Commission, NIMA Commission, 01 Space Commission,
  Hart-Rudman Commission, Aerospace Commission,
  Young IAP

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Jan 01 Space Commission Recommendations
NATIONAL

• Congress
• Consider aligning jurisdiction of committee
  structure with Executive branch

NSC Senior Interagency Group - Space
Presidents Space Advisory Board
Excom
OSD
USD/SII
SecDef
DCI
OSR
JCS
CINCSPACE - nominative
AF
Title 10 and Executive Agent for space
soft MFP-12
Army space programs

• USecAF
• DNRO
• Space AE

• AFSPC/CC
• Also directs lab
• efforts for space

Navy space programs
NSSA
AFSPC/CV

• Integrate AF NRO acquisition and ops after AF
  realignment

• SMC
• PEO
• DAC

Requires Congressional action
Establishes a path to form critical mass for
space
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NSS Organizations Today
Legend
Legend
Oversight
Oversight
President
President
Funding, Priorities
Funding, Priorities
Coordination of Operations
Coordination of Operations
Vice President
Congress
Vice President
Congress
Other (labeled)
Other (labeled)
Dual hat (for
JFCCs
)
Dual hat (for
JFCCs
)
NSC
OMB
OSTP
NSC
OMB
OSTP
SECDEF
DHS

SECDEF
DHS

NASA
DNI
Commerce
NASA
DNI
Commerce
State, Other
State, Other
Milestone
Milestone
CIA
CIA
NOAA
Authority
NOAA
Authority
Military Advice
Military Advice
CJCS
CJCS
SecAF
SecAF
SecArmy
SecNavy
SecArmy
SecNavy
USD(P)
USD(P)
ASD(NII)
USD(I)
USD(ATL)
ASD(NII)
USD(I)
USD(ATL)
(EA for Space)
(EA for Space)
communication
communication
Milestone
Natl SecSpace Office
Chief
Authority
Chief
SMDC
SMDC
of Staff
of Staff
STRATCOM
STRATCOM
Service
Service
components
components
functional
functional
(org, train,
(org, train,
equip,)
equip,)
comp.
comp.
JFCC
-
ISR
JFCC
-
ISR
DIA
DIA
Dir DIA
Dir DIA
AFSPC
AFSPC
AFMC
AFMC
DISA
DISA
JFCC
-
GSI
JFCC
-
GSI
NSA
NSA
8th AF
8th AF
JFCC
-
IMD
JFCC
-
IMD
SMDC/ARSTRAT
SMDC/ARSTRAT
NGA
JFCC
-
NW
NGA
JFCC
-
NW
Dir NSA
Dir NSA
JTF
-
GNO
JTF
-
GNO
Dir DISA
Dir DISA
Acquires
Acquires
Acquires
Acquires
comms
comms
imagery
imagery
CTF 214
CTF 214
Missile
AFRL
Missile
AFRL
AFRL
20th AF
AFRL
20th AF
PEO
SMC
PEO
SMC
Commerc
.
Commerc
.
Commerc
.
Commerc
.
Defense Agcy
Defense Agcy
comms
imagery
comms
imagery
NRO
NRO
JFCC
-
Space
JFCC
-
Space
14th AF
14th AF
DARPA
ORS
DARPA
MUOS SPO
NOAA
NOAA
(NAVY)
NASA
Adv ISR
NASA
Adv ISR
NROC
JSpOC
NROC
JSpOC
Coordination of Operations
Coordination of Operations
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President
Director of National Intelligence
Secretary of Defense
Strategic Command
USD(I)
NII
USD(P)
PAE
ATL

Air Force
DoD Executive Agent
Director of National Reconnaissance Office
Under Secretary of the Air Force
AF Space Command

• Operate

Intel Community
Space and Missile Systems Center

• Plan
• Program
• Assess
• Acquire
• Operate

• Plan
• Program
• Assess

NRO
NSS Office

• Acquire

AF Space Activities
Other DoD Depts Agencies
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U.S. National Security Space Community
NASA
STRATCOM
CIA
JCS
Army
Commercial Space
International Space
NGA
Civil Space
JFCOM
Civil Space
DoC
National Security Space
NSA
Other Federal
DISA
DoD Space
Navy
OSD
Intelligence Community
NRO
Air Force
MDA
Air Force
DoD
NOAA
DARPA
Marine Corps
DoS
ODNI
DoT
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Aug 08 Young IAP Proposed NSS Authority
SECDEF
DNI

• National Security
• Space Authority (NSSA)
• Assigned as
• USD(Space) and Dep DNI for Space
• Joint/ Interagency Staffing
• (USAF, CIA, USN, USA, USMC)
• Integrating Functions
• Policy
• Investment Strategy and Plans
• Technical Architectures
• Requirements
• Milestone Decision Authority
• Budgeting (MFP-12)
• Inter-agency Programmatic Coordination
• Space Infrastructure and Industrial Base

Advanced ISR
Coordinating Relationships
DIA
DISA
NGA
NSA
NASA
DARPASpace
Missile Defense Agcy
NOAA
Capability Providers (NSSO)
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Aug 08 Young IAP Proposed NSS Organization
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Current National Space Policies

• National Security Presidential Directive
  (NSPD)-15, Jun 02, directed review of national
  space policies
• Space NSPDs completed to date
• NSPD-27, U.S. Commercial Remote Sensing Space
  Policy, 25 Apr 03
• NSPD-28, U.S. Nuclear Weapons Command and Control
  Safety and Security, 20 Jun 03
• NSPD-31, U.S. Space Exploration Policy, 14 Jan 04
• NSPD-39, U.S. Space-Based Position Navigation and
  Timing Policy, 8 Dec 04
• NSPD-40, U.S. Space Transportation Policy, 21 Dec
  04
• NSPD-49, U.S. National Space Policy, 31 Aug 06

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U.S. Commercial Remote Sensing Policy

• Goals
• Rely to max practical extent on US Commercial
  Remote Sensing (CRS) capabilities to meet USG
  needs
• Focus USG remote sensing on meeting needs that
  CRS cannot satisfy
• Develop long-term relationship between USG and US
  CRS industry
• Enable US CRS to compete successfully, while
  ensuring protection of NSS and foreign policy
• NSPD-27, 25 Apr 03, Classified

The U.S. will advance and protect the nations
leadership in remote sensing activities by
sustaining and enhancing U.S. industry.
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U.S. Space-Based PNT Policy

• Goals
• Provide US PNT without dependence on foreign PNT
• Provide civil PNT free for civil and commercial
  uses
• Improve capabilities to deny hostile use of PNT
• Improve performance of national security and
  civil PNT
• US PNT remain essential components of Intl PNT
  services
• Provide US technology in applications using
  space-based services
• NSPD-39, 8 Dec 04, Classified

The U.S. will remain the pre-eminent leader in
providing space-based PNT for military purposes
and competitive with foreign providers for civil,
commercial, and scientific purposes.
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U.S. Space Transportation Policy

• Goals
• Provide reliable and affordable space access
• Demonstrate initial capability for operationally
  responsive space lift
• Develop space transportation for human space
  exploration
• Sustain technology development for next
  generation space transport
• Sustain and promote U.S. space transportation
  industrial base
• Increase U.S. industrys international
  competitiveness
• NSPD-40, 21 Dec 04, Unclassified

The U.S. will maintain the capability to access
and use space in support of national security,
civil, scientific, and economic interests.
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U.S. National Space Policy

• Goals
• Strengthen U.S. space leadership and ensure space
  capabilities are available in time to further
  national security, homeland security, and foreign
  policy objectives
• Enable unhindered U.S. operations in and through
  space to defend our interests there
• Implement and sustain an innovative human and
  robotic exploration program with the objective of
  extending human presence throughout the solar
  system
• Enable a dynamic, globally competitive commercial
  space sector in order to promote innovation,
  strengthen U.S. leadership, and protect national,
  homeland, and economic security
• Enable a robust science and technology base
  supporting national security, homeland security,
  and civil space activities and
• Encourage international cooperation with foreign
  nations and/or consortia on space activities that
  are of mutual benefit and that further the
  peaceful exploration and use of outer space as
  well as to advance
• NSPD-49, 31 Aug 06, Classified

Those who effectively utilize space will enjoy
added prosperity and security and will hold a
substantial advantage over those who do not
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DOD Space Policy Themes- DoDD 3100.10, 9 Jul 99

• National Interest Space is a medium
• Strategic Enabler Space power is important to
  the nation
• Information Superiority Space delivers C3ISR
  support
• Deterrence Space integral to deterrent posture
• Defense Space contributes if deterrence fails
• Freedom of Space Space systems have right of
  passage
• Integration Space will be integrated into
  strategy, CONOPS, education, TTPs, Ops,
  contingency plans
• Defense-Intelligence Cooperation Coordination
  of NSS capabilities
• Intersector Cooperation Intel, Civil and
  Commercial partnerships
• International Cooperation Space part of
  coalition strategy

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UNCLASSIFIED
NSS Capability Categories
Training Camp
Intelligence, Surveillance Reconnaissance (ISR)
Missile Warning / Defense
SATCOM
Space Control
Space C2
Science Technology Management (People,
Infrastructure) Industrial Base
Force Application
Enabling
Satellite Operations
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Gain or Maintain Space Control
Provide Freedom of Action in Space for Friendly
Forces
Deny Freedom of Action in Space to Enemy Forces
PROTECTION Employ active and Passive
defensive measures to ensure US and friendly
space systems operate as Planned
SURVEILLANCE Detect, identify, assess, and track
space objects and events
PREVENTION Employ measures to prevent adversary
use of data or services from US and friendly
space systems for purposes hostile to the US
NEGATION Disrupt, deny, degrade, deceive, or
destroy adversary space capabilities
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Primary Value and
Space System
Conflict Missions
Appropriate Military Organization for Operations
and Advocacy
Functions of Military
Characteristics and
of Space Forces

Space Forces
Employment Strategies



Sanctuary







NRO

Limited Numbers

Limited

Enhance Strategic
Stability



Fragile Systems



Facilitate Arms


Vulnerable Orbits

Control



Optimize for NTMV



Survivability

Above functions plus



Force
Major Command or

Terrestrial Backups


Distributed


Force
Enhancement

Unified Command

Architectures

Enhancement



Degrade


Autonomous Control

Gracefully




Hardening


Control



Control Space



Control Space

Unified Command


Redundancy



Significant Force


Significant Force
or Space Force




On
-
Orbit Spares
Enhancement

Enhancement




Crosslinks


Surveillance,


Offensive, and

Maneuver



Less Vulnerable Orbits
Defensive


Counterspace



Stealth

High Ground

Above functions plus

Above functions plus

Space Force



Attack Warning Sensors





Decisive Space
-
Decisive Impact on



5 Ds Deception,
Terrestrial Conflict

to
-
Space and
Disruption, Denial,


BMD

Space
-
to
-
Earth
Degradation,
Force
Destruction

Application



Reconstitution


BMD

Capability



Defense



Convoy


Attributes of Military Space Doctrines
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Soviet Space Systems and Co-Orbital ASAT
Rorsat
Eorsat
Energia carrying Skif DM (Polus) prototype
battle station
DS-P1-M Target Satellite
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Soviet Space Systems and Co-Orbital ASAT

• Many details about this system remain classified
  or are lost to history. The system used two
  types of satellites co-orbital active killers
  (Istrebitel or killer) and passive targets
• The first tests, Polyot-1 and Polyot-2, were
  conducted in 1963 and 1964. There were
  subsequently 19 target satellite tests and 22
  killer satellite tests. The system reached full
  operational capability in 1972. The last test
  was on 18 Jun 1982
• Killer satellites tested in the 1970s were ready
  for launch within 90 minutes (using a Tsiklon
  booster) and could close within less than one
  kilometer of target satellites within 40-50
  minutes
• On 23 Mar 1983 Yuri Andropov announced a
  moratorium on design, construction, and testing
  of the system the moratorium ended in Sep 1986
• In May 1987 Michael Gorbachev visited Baikonur
  and saw the co-orbital killer satellite and the
  prototype of the anti-satellite and anti-missile
  platform called Narvad (Guard). General
  Zavalishin, who escorted Gorbachev, used the
  opportunity to advocate resumption of testing.
  Zavalishin pointed at similar developments in the
  US and promised to cover up ASAT launches so no
  one would suspect tests were taking place. As
  Zavalishin recalls, ...Gorbachev issued
  incoherent and wordy explanations, which
  concluded with a polite, but resolute refusal.
• Ironically, only few days after this
  conversation, on 15 May 1987, the first
  heavy-lift Energia rocket blasted off from
  Baikonur, carrying Skif DM (Polus) spacecraft,
  which was later described as a prototype battle
  station in space. Due to a software glitch, the
  90-ton-class spacecraft never made it into orbit

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US ASAT Systems and Residual Capabilities
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US ASAT Testing and Systems

• Bold Orion air-launched, nuclear-tipped ASAT
  tested in late 1950s worlds first known test 19
  Oct 1959
• Programs 505 and 437 ground-launched,
  nuclear-tipped ASATs operationally deployed
  1963-70
• NSDM 345 in Jan 77 called for development of
  air-launched KEW ASAT
• MHV ASAT successfully tested on 13 Sep 1985
  Congressional restrictions led to cancellation in
  1989 KEASAT was follow-on system
• MIRACL tests in Oct 1997 highlighted satellite
  vulnerability to DEW
• ASAT potential of BMD systems BP and ABL

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ASAT Arms Control Efforts

• Development and testing of ASAT capabilities not
  covered by OST or other space agreements
• Two-Track Diplomacy with three rounds of US-USSR
  ASAT negotiations 1978-79
• USSR testing moratorium 1982-86 Congressional
  restrictions on MHV ASAT testing
• DST was only bucket of AC that did not lead to
  agreements during 1980s-90s
• PAROS efforts at CD and UNGA Resolutions

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