J. Lee Annest, Ph.D. Director, Office of Statistics and Programming - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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J. Lee Annest, Ph.D. Director, Office of Statistics and Programming

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... for person type (occupant, motorcyclist, pedal cyclist, pedestrian, other) ... Pedestrian (Females 1-4 years) Deaths. Data Source Observed Allocated. FARS ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: J. Lee Annest, Ph.D. Director, Office of Statistics and Programming


1
Using FARS data to Classify Unspecified
MV-traffic Deaths by Person Type in NVSS data
J. Lee Annest, Ph.D. Director, Office
of Statistics and Programming National Center for
Injury Prevention and Control
2
The Question
  • How many MV-traffic deaths are occupants in the
    vehicle?

3
The Problem
  • In 2001, almost 35 of 42,443 MV-traffic deaths
    in the NVSS were unspecified for person type
    (occupant, motorcyclist, pedal cyclist,
    pedestrian, other)
  • Current death certificate used in most states not
    set up to routinely capture person type
  • New death certificate has a separate data item
    that should help classify MV traffic deaths by
    person type (needs to be assessed)

4
One Possible Solution
  • Use data from the Fatal Analysis Reporting System
    (FARS) to allocate unspecified MV-traffic deaths
    into specified person type categories (occupant,
    motorcyclist, pedal cyclist, pedestrian, other)

5
Method
  • Use the known distribution of FARS deaths for
    specified person type to determine where to
    allocate the unspecified MV-traffic deaths in the
    NVSS.

6
Allocation Process
  • First, allocate unspecified deaths into
    specified person type categories other than
    occupant
  • Then, put the remaining unspecified MV-traffic
    deaths into occupant.

7
Allocation Rules Applied
  • Distribute MV-traffic deaths into person type
    categories within specific age-by-sex groupings
  • Allocate unspecified deaths into person type
    categories other than occupant as follows
  • gt If the number of specified death is higher in
    FARS than NVSS, then change NVSS to the higher
    number
  • gt If the number of specified deaths is higher in
    NVSS than FARS, then do not change NVSS

8
Example
  • Pedal cyclist (Males 15-19 years)
  • Deaths
  • Data Source Observed Allocated
  • FARS 66 --
  • NVSS 57 66
  • --------------------------------------------------
    --
  • Redistributed unspecified 9

9
Example
  • Pedestrian (Females 1-4 years)
  • Deaths
  • Data Source Observed Allocated
  • FARS 35 --
  • NVSS 56 56
  • --------------------------------------------------
    --
  • Redistributed unspecified 0

10
Allocation Rules Applied
  • 3. Allocate the remaining unspecified deaths to
    the occupant category
  • 4. Sum deaths across age-by-sex groupings to get
    final numbers overall and by broader age and sex
    groups.
  • 5. After allocation, the distributions of
    MV-traffic deaths by person type should be very
    similar for FARS and NVSS

11
Conclusions
  • Allocation procedure works well for obtaining
    national estimates
  • Procedure not tested for state and local
    estimates need to consider
  • gt FARS deaths reported by where the fatal
    crash occurred
  • gt NVSS deaths often reported by place of
    residence rather than place of occurrence
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