Olje og oljekonflikter

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Olje og oljekonflikter
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Oslo Børs Hovedindeks 0,68 414,51 kl 1029
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Kursutvikling USD/NOK
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Oljekursen
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Energiforbruk i forhold til BNP
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Energiforbruk per capita i USA
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Verdens oljeproduksjon 2002

• Global production The Middle East is also the
  biggest oil producer, currently providing nearly
  one-third of the world's total.
• But Europe and Eurasia (mainly Russia and the UK)
  and North America are also big producers.
• The difference is, nearly all the Middle East oil
  is for export while Europe and the US do not
  produce enough to meet their own needs.

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Verdens oljeforbruk og import

• Imports and use Western Europe and Japan are
  heavily dependent on oil imports as production
  cannot meet massive domestic demand.
• The gas-guzzling US is the world's largest
  per-capita oil consumer but produces much of its
  requirements itself.
• Producers in the Middle East, where oil costs so
  little, are also heavy users. Poorer countries
  consume much less per head.

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USA oljeforbruk
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Påviste oljereserver 2002

• Where the oil is The Middle East remains the
  biggest player in oil.
• The region dwarfs the rest of the world, when it
  comes to reserves, ensuring its prominence on the
  global political stage. Saudi Arabia alone
  possesses 25 of the world's proved reserves.
• The North Sea and Canada still have substantial
  reserves, but they would prove very expensive to
  extract

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Hvor er oljen?
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World War 1 oil
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WW2
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Yalta Churchill, Roosevelt og Stalin
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Oljeprisen siden 1950
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Mossadeq, Sjahen av Iran og CIA
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OPEC 1960
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Yom Kippur-krigen 1973 1. oljekrise
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Revolusjonen i Iran 1979 2. oljekrise
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Iran-Iraq krigen
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Iraks invasjon av Kuwait 1991 3. oljekrise
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Kuwait 1992
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Highway of death, Iraq 1992
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11. September 2001
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Krigen mot terror
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Clash of civilizationsSamuel Huntington 1993
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AfghanistanTaliban, Enron, Rumsfeldt, Karzai og
det Kaspiske hav
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International Crisis Group

• Krigen i Iraq har kostet USA 2.000 milliarder kr.
  Hadde pengene vært brukt på en annen måte, kunne
  man ha mettet 400 mill. sultende mennesker i 13
  år, stanset spredningen av HIV/AIDS verden over
  de neste 30 år og vaksinert alle barn i den
  fattige del av verden de neste 100 år...

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Oljeprisen 2001 - 2005
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Og hva med lille Norge??
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Pensum

• http//www.kaldor.no/energy/
• Se Oljens geopolitikk og krigene ved
  Persiagulfen, Det sikkerhetspolitiske bibliotek,
  Den norske atlanterhavskomiteen (dnak) -nr. 6 -
  desember 2004

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