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NEW DUNE EROSION MODEL FOR THE NETHERLANDS

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Every polder has a normative probability for failure (Holland: P 10-4 per year) Every five years there is a general assessment of the flood defence system ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: NEW DUNE EROSION MODEL FOR THE NETHERLANDS


1
NEW DUNE EROSION MODEL FOR THE NETHERLANDS
  • M.R.A. van Gent
  • M. Boers
  • J.H. de Vroeg
  • J. van de Graaff
  • H. Steetzel
  • F. Diermanse
  • D.J. Walstra
  • Client

WL Delft Hydraulics WL Delft Hydraulics WL
Delft Hydraulics Delft University of
Technology Alkyon WL Delft Hydraulics WL
Delft Hydraulics Rijkswaterstaat
2
Presentation overview
  • Introduction
  • Large scale dune erosion tests
  • A new dune erosion equilibrium profile
  • A new dune safety assessment tool
  • Conclusions

3
Part 1 Introduction
  • Dutch policy on flood prevention and the
    assessment of dune safety

4
Dutch Policy on Flood Prevention
  • Every polder has a normative probability for
    failure (Holland P lt 10-4 per year)
  • Every five years there is a general assessment of
    the flood defence system
  • The Dutch government provides Hydraulic Boundary
    Conditions and Assessment Guidelines

5
Normative Hydraulic Boundary Conditions
(HBC)Comparison between 2006 and 2001
6
Assessment of the Dunes
  • Assessment Guidelines developed in 1984
  • However wave period Tp is fixed on 12 s
  • Items of work
  • What is the effect of a larger Tp on the dune
    safety?
  • How can we implement this effect in guidelines?

7
Part 2 Large scale dune erosion experiments
  • Studying the effect of the wave period on
  • dune erosion in the Delta flume of Delft
    Hydraulics

8
Model set-up
depth scale factor nd 6 steepness factor
S0 2 grain size D50 200 µm
9
Profile measurements
10
The effect of the wave period on the dune
erosion profile
  • An increasing wave period gives
  • more dune retreat
  • a milder slope
  • equal vertical position of the dune foot

11
The effect of the wave period on the dune
erosion volume
  • For normative conditions, an increase of the wave
    period Tp from 12 s to 18 s (prototype) gives an
    increase of the erosion volume of 25 (after 2.5
    hour in prototype).

12
Part 3 A new dune erosion equilibrium profile
  • Extending the existing profile equation with the
    effect of the wave period

13
Comparison of the erosion volume above MWL
T 18 s
T 15 s
T 12 s
  • The comparison is reasonable for a large domain
    (including earlier small and large-scale tests)

14
Part 4 A new dune safety assessment tool
  • For the safety assessment to the normative
    probability, the following uncertainties are
    encountered
  • water level
  • wave height
  • wave period
  • sediment grain size
  • storm duration
  • accuracy of the deterministic dune erosion model
  • These uncertainties are included in a
    probabilistic model

15
Guideline model
  • To provide the user a simplified model, a
    guideline model has been developped that
    approximates the probabilistic model

16
Part 5 Conclusions
  • The normative Hydraulic Boundary Conditions for
    the Netherlands have increased significantly
  • Dune erosion experiments in the Delta flume have
    shown that an increase of the wave period leads
    to an increase of the amount of dune erosion
  • The new profile equation for dune erosion gives
    an acceptable prediction of the dune retreat and
    dune erosion volumes. The model does not
    accurately predict the profiles below water.
  • A new guideline model has been develloped that
    accurately approximates the probabilistic
    computations of the dune erosion volumes.

17
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