CIS Pharma Markets in 2006

1
CIS Pharma Markets in 2006 Figures, Market
Structure Tendencies
Yuriy Krestinskiy PHARMEXPERT Market Research
Center
2
Retail Pharmaceutical Markets of biggest
countries in 2006
Growth
30
20
10
5
15
50
1
2
4
Share
IMS, Pharmexperts, 2007
3
Pharma Market Values of CIS countries in 2006
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
4

Trade Marks, INN Manufactures quantity in CIS
Pharma Markets in 2006
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
5
GDP Pharma Market growth in CIS countries in
2006
Interstate Statistics Committee of CIS,
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
6
GDP, Retailing, Local Pharma Industry Pharma
Market in 2002-2006 ( to annual comparison)
Central Bank of Russia, Ministry of Economic
Development, Pharmexpert, 2007
7
Pharma Market Share in GDP Value in
2003-2007 RUBLES,
Ministry of Economic Development, Pharmexpert,
2007
Forecast
8
Russian Pharma Market Infrastructure in
2002-2006
2002
2004
2006
21 500
22 400
20 000
Out-patient clinics
10 100
10 200
Hospitals
11 000
Pharmacies
22 500
24 000
17 600
Pharmacy outlets, kiosks
35 000
40 000
30 000
Foreign companies
460
650
450
Local manufacturers
410
760
350
Wholesalers
1 100
1 000
1 500
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
9
Russian Pharma Market Supply 2005 - 2006
In ex-manufacture prices, excl. VAT customs
Supply Value 2005 5550 mln , growth
40 Supply Value 2006 8000 mln , growth 44
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
10
Russian Pharma Market Stocks Value in 2004-2006
In ex-manufacturer prices, excl. VAT customs
Stocks 3800 mln (1 Jan 2007) 7 months Russian
Pharma Market Value
q/ previous q
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
11
Russian Pharma Market Value in 2003-2006 Mlrd
, consumer prices
5,5 mlrd 18
6,35 mlrd 15,5
8,4 mlrd 32
10,7 mlrd 27,4
Federal Reimbursment Program Value accepted
prescriptions by Federal Fund of obligatory
medical insurance
78,5
20
7
VAT is incl
Pharmexpert estimations, 2007
12
Russian Pharma Market Value in different prices
in 2003-2006 Mlrd , consumer prices
5,5 mlrd 18
6,35 mlrd 15,5
8,4 mlrd 32
10,7 mlrd 27,4

27,4


25,9





31,7
VAT is incl
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
13
Russian Pharma Market growth in different
currencies in 2005 - 2006


Central Bank of Russia, Pharmexperts
estimations, 2007
14
Russian Pharma Market Volume in 2003-2006 Mlrd
units
4,44
4,02
4,36
4,24
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
15
Drug consumption per capita in Russia in
1995-2007
forecast
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
16
Average price per Unit on the Whole Market
Reimbursment segment in 2004-2006 (in consumer
prices)
Monitoring of drugs Retail Sales, Hospital
purchases, Federal Reimbursment Program
Pharmexpert, 2007
17
MS of all Compensatory State programs on the
Russian Pharma Market in 2004-2006
Consumer prices, VAT is incl.
2004
2005
2006
MS growth 26,6
MS growth 5
MS of all Compensatory State programs
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
18
Pharma Market Structure of Financing in 2006
Regional budget 11
Federal budget 29
Out-of-pocket 60
23
2
9
6
Retail Commercial
Federal Reimbursment Program
Hospital
Market Value 100
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
19
OTC Rx MS () Value Terms in different Market
Segments in 2006
Federal Reimbursment
Hospital
Commercial
Whole Market
2005
2006
RX
OTC
Pharmexpert, 2007
20
Import Local MS () in 2003- 2006
Value terms
Volume terms
import
local
Pharmexpert, 2007
21
Import Local MS () Value Terms in different
Market Segments in 2006
Monitoring of drugs Retail Sales, Hospital
purchases, Federal Reimbursment Program
Pharmexpert, 2007
22
Import Local MS () Volume Terms in different
Market Segments in 2006
Monitoring of drugs Retail Sales, Hospital
purchases, Federal Reimbursment Program
Pharmexpert, 2007
23
MS ( of USD) of Generics and Innovative Drugs in
the Russian Pharma Market in 2006
Innovative drugs INN is under patent protection
Commercial ()
Federal Reimbursment ()
Hospital ()
83
17
The whole market 100
Generics and other Innovative
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
24
TOP 10 MS Pharmaceutical Corporations on the
Russian Pharma Market in 2004-2006
Monitoring of drugs Retail Sales, Hospital
purchases, Federal Reimbursment Program
Pharmexpert, 2007
25
TOP 10 MS Pharmaceutical Corporations on the
Russian Pharma Market in different segments in
2006
Monitoring of drugs Retail Sales, Hospital
purchases, Federal Reimbursment Program
Pharmexpert, 2007
26
MS of TOP 10 local manufactures on Russian
Pharma Market in 2006
Monitoring of drugs Retail Sales, Hospital
purchases, Federal Reimbursment Program
Pharmexpert, 2007
27
??P 10 wholesalers in 2006
1st on PHARMACIA / Russian Wholesalers Rating /
Pharmexpert, 2007
28
??P 10 Pharmacy Chains in Russia in 2006
1st on PHARMACIA / Russian Pharmacy Chain Rating
/ Pharmexpert, 2007
29
MS of Pharmacy Chains in Russia in 2002-2008 In
value terms
forecast
1st on PHARMACIA / Russian Pharmacy Chain Rating
/ Pharmexpert, 2007
30
Three scenarios of market development depending
on Reimbursment financing in 2007
In consumer prices, VAT is included
15
13
11
Pharmexpert estimations, 2007
31
Russian Pharma Market Value in 1995-2005
Forecast till 2010
In consumer prices, VAT is included
forecast
In case MS of State compensative programs is near
40 or higher
Pharmexperts estimations, 2007
32
Internal factors, causing growth of
pharmaceutical market in 2007 year

• Concentration of players in all segments of the
  market
• Growing potential of pharmacy chains
• Marketing efforts of pharmaceutical companies

33
External factors, causing growth of
pharmaceutical market in 2007 year

• 2007 is the year of political decisions in the
  social sphere
• Russia to join WTO
• Growth of common wealth

34
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