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Summary of what Jim Slater said:

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Use just one intelligent parameter and beat the market ... No sinister press comments. No other better share to invest in. Market trend changing? ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Summary of what Jim Slater said:


1
  • Summary of what Jim Slater said
  • Small companieslt100m massively outperform
    large companies 10x
  • Use just one intelligent parameter and beat the
    market
  • Combine parameters to very strongly beat the
    market
  • AIM offers IHT relief, business taper relief and
    EIS VCTs offer big tax relief
  • CCCIC uses Zulu, REFS and charting for buying and
    selling

2
?
As fans of Clinton Cards, weve watched the big
price decline and notice how the price suddenly
jumps through the MA and then stays above it.
Then The MAs cross each other - a golden cross
- so we buy around 106p.
3
?
It looks like a trading range is being
established so we draw two parallel lines the
price hits the lower line and we might have sold
on a stop loss but it quickly recovers.
4
?
Oh dear, the price starts bouncing along the
bottom of the trading range and then dives out of
it, cutting through the MA - we sell around 182p.
Or, were more cautious and sell at 172p, when
the two MAs cross, for a 43 profit in under two
years.
5
And then price rises and cuts the MA . . .
6
  • Winning on the stock market
  • Its my story in iii about investor who used
    Zulu and centred moving averages
  • I bought second hand book written in 92 that is
    difficult to understand!
  • Concentrates on probabilities and charting
    opposite of our fundamental analysis
  • Offers a complete investment method but Im
    focussing on his charting methods to improve the
    timing of our buys and sales
  • Some key concepts follow further talk with more
    charts and explanation?

7
  • Advanced charting
  • Probability always wins in long term
  • Being right 50 of the time will result in losses
    due to dealing costs
  • Strategy is to make money, not hold shares
  • 80 of shares will follow main market so only
    invest when market trend is up
  • 20 chance of beating a falling market
  • Only invest when market is trending up and
    shares price is trending up
  • Our Growth filter contains relative strength
    over 1 yeargt0 Slater buys when share is
    behaving like a winner
  • Sell when share dips, dont worry about market

8
Excels moving average lags in timea centred
ma is simply moved back intime by half the span,
thus averaging theprice and the time.
9
  • Stop loss
  • Must always use an automatic, percentage stop
    loss
  • Loose 50 have to make 100 gain to recover
    capital
  • 7.5 recommended
  • Selling crystallises loss
  • Stats say 2/3 of shares recover
  • Only an earthquake justifies not selling
  • 20-50 fall in a day
  • Market still trending upwards
  • Share has been trending up in last few months
  • No sinister press comments
  • No other better share to invest in

10
  • Market trend changing?
  • A trend continues until it ends
  • CCCIC unit price is flagging! FTSE100250 look
    to me to have peaked
  • A proper analysis next month
  • Oil prices still increasing
  • US company results disappointing
  • Dow Jones at 6 month low 3 days of sharp drops
  • Blair will raise NIC by 3 very soon
  • Directors of AIM companies sell/buy4.6 market
    overpriced?

11
Download this presentation from the web site.
  • www.cccic.co.uk

12
  • Next month
  • Determining the markets dominant trend
  • Determining a shares dominant trend
  • Short term buying signals
  • Channel analysis
  • Lots of charts!
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