Steve Lea, Chief Scientist

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Operational Analysis in Dstl

• Steve Lea, Chief Scientist
• Policy and Capability Studies

LASEORS - 9 Nov 04
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Dstl Department Structure
Policy Capability Studies
Miles Hunt
Joint Systems Chris Gibson
Systems Peter Starkey
Naval Systems Neil Stansfield
Land Systems John Hunt
Air Systems Kevin Wagstaff
Information Management Paul
James
Technology Mike Jenden
Missiles Countermeasures Alistair Feltham
Energetics Simon Sanderson
Sensors Alec McKie
Electronics Ken Brigden
Science Richard Scott
Environmental Sciences John
Richards
Biomedical Sciences Mark Fulop
Detection Alexis Hammer
Physics Sue Holmes
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Linking Research and Analysis
changes in world circumstance, policy, needs
ADVICE
Integrated research, analysis and assessment
achievable performance and cost
technology breakthroughs, civil technology, blue
skies research
new operational concepts, scenarios, doctrine
Systems design
Systems analysis
performance and cost goals
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Policy Capability Studies Department
Policy formulation
Peacetime management
Capability planning
Policy
Operational training
Operations
Support to Operations
Procurement
Force planning
Manpower and training
Logistics
WHY ARE WE HERE? To support MOD in making the
best policy, procurement and operational
decisions
Equipment acquisition
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Policy and Capability Studies Department

• The Policy and Capability Studies Department
  undertakes high level operational analysis to
  support MOD and wider government in its decision
  making processes.

• Main areas of activity are
• support to policy formulation
• support to overall force planning
• support doctrine development and concepts of
  operation
• support to military capability decisions
• support to peacetime management of MOD
• support to other Government departments

Dstl/CP12170
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Policy Capability Studies
Department
Manager
Chief
Scientist
Operations
GL
GL
GL
GL
GL
GL
Co-
ord
Logistics
Analysis
Policy and
Strategic
Equipment
Support to
Analysis
Experimentation
Planning
Analysis
Capability
Operations

Simulation
Analysis
Analysis
Programme
Co-
Ord
Policy Assessment
Logistics
Data and OA
Strategic Effects
Costs
AWC
Operations
Model Support
Analysis
Waddington
Support
Resource
Force Structure
Development
Co-
ord
Analysis
Sustainability
Joint BOI
Future Analysis
AWC
PJHQ
Operational Effects
Methods
Waddington
Manning
Analysis
Operations
Deployment
C4/ISTAR
MWC
Training
Concepts/Doctrine
AWC
CBRN/Medical
Historical Analysis
Sea/Air
Northwood
Analysis

Pol-Mil Gaming
Maritime
OAB, HQ
Synthetic
Campaign
AWC
Environment
Land Warfare
Development
High
Wycombe
Information Campaign
Land/Air
Techniques
Centre
(JFAC)
Support
Analysis
Graduate Group
Experimentation
Administration Group
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Support to Operations (S2O)
The Work

• The aim of the Support to Operations Group is to
  provide analysis and scientific advice on
  military trials, exercises and operations

• The Group has 75 staff
• Over 50 embedded in Headquarters, Warfare Centres

• Ready to deploy to theatre with UK forces
• Gulf War 1 , Bosnia and Kosovo, Afghanistan, Op
  Telic

• Support to Other Government Departments
• Fuel Crisis (Home Office), Foot and Mouth(DEFRA,
  Cabinet Office), Fire-fighters Strike (Cabinet
  Office)

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Support to Operations (S2O)
The Impact
Examples of Recent Iraq Analysis Support (1)

• Combat Operations Support
• Strategic, Operational and Tactical
  Wargaming/Course of Action analysis
• Casualty profiling/medical analysis
• Logistics analysis - ammunition requirements
• Review of impact of weather on Combat Operations

• Post Combat Support
• Continuous Iraqi Attitude Survey (CIAS)
• Contacts Analysis
• Fuel Analysis
• Campaign Measures of Effectiveness

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Strategic Analysis (SA)
The Work

• SA provides support to (evidence-based)
  development and testing of Policy, Strategy and
  Plans
• Develops and undertakes techniques for adversary
  analysis
• e.g. regime leadership and non-state actor
  networks
• Undertakes Historical Analysis
• Analysis of regional security issues
• Helps understanding of how socio-technical
  systems might respond to intervention
• Focus on senior decision-makers needs (MoD
  OGD)
• Expand the areas where OA can give useful advice
• Adapt the ways in which OA supports decisions

Dstl/CP12170
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Strategic Analysis - how it does it
Multi-disciplinary teams
Dstl/CP12170
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