MONAGHAN COUNTY DEVELOPMENT BOARD

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MONAGHAN COUNTY DEVELOPMENT BOARD
WORKSHOP 11/03/2009
" The implementation of an integrated,
achievable and sustainable county-wide strategy
which will improve the economic, social and
cultural quality of life for the people of
Co.Monaghan"
Baseline Data Update
REVIEW OF PRIORITY ACTIONS
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Baseline data Update - Constraints

• Designed to support the review of Priority
  Actions for 2009-2012

• 2006 Census statistics Supplemented with up to
  date information

• Need for more up-to-date information

• Difficult to track down info

• Agencies sometimes didnt know what they had or
  unwilling to assist

• Need for uniformity in presentation of data

• Different timescales
• Mostly regional little county breakdown

• These stats are provisional

• If you have other data, please forward it
• Support the ongoing need for up to data
  information

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Population

• Monaghans population increased by 6.5 from
  2002 to 2006 to 55,997

• 2-3 less of an increase compared to BMW region
  and nationally in same period.

• Process of de urbanisation ongoing - Population
  density of urban centres rapidly decreasing

Monaghan Urban ED 2947 pp sq km to 1143 from
1996 to 2006 (-61) Castleblayney Urban ED 2479
pp sq km to 1211 (-51) Corresponding Rural EDs
population density rising by 365 (M) and 69 (C).

• Traditionally had an age dependency rate 3
  higher than national average.

Patterns of increasing longevity across Ireland
along with a marginally decreasing birth
rate Birth rate Monaghan and increases in life
expectancy DOWN
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Population Projections Central Statistics Office

• Total increases vary from 53,000 to 181,000.

• CSO Outlook MOF1 Increase between 53k and
  105k depending on strength of internal movements.

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Border Regional Authority Projections

• Revision of National Spatial Strategy targets
  due to changes in inward migration

• Projected increase for Monaghan Hub 83k by 2020

• Lack of pace with other Hubs
• Transportation links vital
• Area of concentrated economic activity
  vital
• Physical remoteness and poor
  connectivity must be addressed.

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Ethnic Composition

• Concentration of Irish nationals in Monaghan
  declined from 94.8 to 89.8 from 2002 to 2006
  higher than national average by 2.

• Situation known to be reversing at an increasing
  rate.

• Issuance of PPS numbers nationally down
  significantly in last year to Dec 2008
• Polish down 47,000 or 47
• Romanian, Slovak and Lithuanians also down
  between 40 and 53 in 2008

Asylum Seekers

• Reception and Integration Agency figures for 2008

• Current population in Monaghan 209, capacity
  of 223.

• 0.37 of county population higher than
  national average of 0.17

• Intention of integrating a further 78 in 2009

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Lone Parents Isolated

• Monaghan has over 10 of its population over 65
  living alone compared to 8 of the state
  Situation has remained unchanged in recent years.

• Lone Parent households are a characteristic of
  both urban and more deprived areas of the country
  as a whole

• Almost doubled from 11.7 in 2002 to 22.2 in
  2006 a picture almost matched on a national
  level

Deprivation

• Haase and Pratschke Report

Demographic Profile - Population shifts,
educational attainment and lone parents
Social Class Composition Educational
attainment, social ranking, density
Labour Market Situation Skills base,
standardised unemployment
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• Monaghan Absolute index score 6.7 compared to
  National score of 10.4

• Relative index score of -3.0 compared to
  national average of 2.1

• Both represent a marginally below average level
  of affluence and deprivation - Situation has
  remained unchanged from 1996
• Demonstrating that the long term impact of the
  Celtic Tiger have not been translated into
  increased levels of affluence or standards of
  living.

Travellers

• Total assisted by Local Authority housing has
  increased marginally year on year since 2005,
  from 86 families to 93 in 2007.

• Assisted by the introduction of the facility at
  Gortakeegan

• Population estimated at 110 families in
  Monaghan, having increased from approximately 83
  in 2003.

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Economic Profile

• The national outlook as projected by the ESRI
  (Economic Social Research Institute)

• Dramatic falls in productivity on a national
  level

• Imports showing negative growth for 2008

• Inflation fallen sharply with a period of
  deflation ensuing for various reasons.

• Zero net employment growth for 2008 with no
  formal projections for standardised unemployment

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• Volume of inward investment projected to fall by
  almost 20 in 2009

• Prediction of a further 117,00 job losses in
  2009

• Government deficit expected to reach 47.5 of
  GDP in 2009

• Zero wage growth nationally in 2009.

ESRI - Advice

• A focus on policy changes that will ensure that
  Ireland will be on the best footing possible for
  a subsequent global upturn.

• A need to ensure that public finances do not
  become a constraint on growth and more of an
  emphasis put on quality in terms of public
  expenditure

• A further realisation that wage reduction may
  well be considered preferable as a means of
  maintaining quality service provision across
  Ireland.

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Unemployment

• Figures from Redundancy.ie National
  organisation for the unemployed.

• Recent trends in female unemployment shows a
  convergence with males

• New persons on the live register have eased from
  713 in January to 411 in February for Monaghan
  county.

• Monaghan and Castleblayney towns continue to see
  the largest increases

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Disposable Income

• Average disposable income in Monaghan 18,978
  in 2006, up 26 from 2002.

• National average in 2006 was 20,678 up 21
  from 2002.

• Monaghan county shown to have improved but still
  lagging behind the national average, all be it at
  a lessening rate.

• Key indicators from the CSO indicate that those
  likely to experience consistent poverty in
  Ireland is now increasing contrary to NAPS 2007

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Education

• Percentage of population with 3rd level
  education in Monaghan 22 compared to 31
  nationally.

• This differential of 9 has increased from 8 in
  2002 and 6 in 1996 Slight improvements however
  year on year falls on the national figure.

• Border Regional Authority Regional
  Competitiveness 2009 states the following -

• In terms of early school leavers The Border
  region shows the 2nd highest level in Ireland,
  posing a particular problem as unemployment rises
  and the economy contracts.

• The CSO Quality of Life Survey 2008 states the
  following -

• The Border had the highest level of persons with
  only primary or no formal education (24.1)
  compared to the national average of 18.

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• The Department of Education

• Dublin will always have an infrastructural
  advantage.

• Louth showing a much higher rate of uptake of
  Monaghan young people

• Should be viewed as the opportunity for Monaghan
  going forward

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Industry Analysis Monaghan 2002/2006

• Should be viewed as an indicator of trends - In
  light of current economic climate

• Agriculture has declined by 3 in Monaghan, but
  to a lesser extent nationally.

• The boom that carried the construction trade
  expected to have fallen back to figures seen in
  2002 as a result of the house market crash.

• Further evidence of the decline in the
  manufacturing sector but can also be seen
  across the Border and nationally.

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• Transport has seen marginal increases in terms
  of employment possible links with rural
  transport improvements.

• Levels within Public administration have
  marginally decreased as have those employed in
  the professional services sector in Monaghan.

• Other section likely to include the large
  remainder of the services industry which accounts
  for a large proportion of employment.

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Agriculture National Farm Survey 2007

• National Family Farm Income (FFI) increased from
  16,680 per farm in 2006 to 19,687 in 2007 an
  increase of 18

• Following a decline of 26 in 2006 and an
  increase of 44 in 2005 show the volatility in
  farm incomes following decoupling of
• direct payments in 2005

• The Border region however falls below the
  average 11,463

• Lowest level of subsidies of all regions

• Need for extra support to avoid extremes of
  welfare

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Kompas Business Directory Monaghan County

• Service and Retail sectors combined account for
  627 businesses in the county or 46.

• Construction and Manufacturing make up 153
  employers.

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County Enterprise Board List of Clients by
Sector

• Retail and services not traditionally targeted
  by government or enterprise, as opposed to
  primary industry where there is a tangible end
  product Need for this not to be overlooked in
  Monaghan

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• Proportion of net output paid to workers -
• Louth 8.5
• Monaghan 35.9
• Cavan 40.5

• This would indicate that Louth has in comparison
  to Monaghan a higher industrial based where
  goods manufactured have a much higher value added
  component e.g. computer parts etc

• Hence the flip side tells us that per unit sold
  in Monaghan, margins are a lot tighter, as the
  value added component is significantly lower per
  unit of production e.g., Mushrooms, furniture.

• The levels of profitability are affected more so
  as a result of a downturn in the economy, leading
  to job losses.

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Largest individual employers Monaghan

• Rye Valley Foods - 600

• Kerry Foods - 400

• Century Homes - 350

• Four Seasons Hotel Group - 300

• Monaghan Mushrooms - 250

• Dunnes Stores - 180

• Silver Hill Foods - 170

• Of the top 20 largest employers in the county
  (Dec 2008) 49 of employment came from Food
  suppliers.

• 20 of employment from the top 20 largest
  employers came from wood or timber related forms
  of business.

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All Sectors in Monaghan Total Employment

• Highlights the dependence on manufacturers and
  food suppliers in the county.

• Service and retail sectors also features as next
  highest employers overall. Need for these
  groups to support each other.

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Connectivity National Broadband Scheme

• Armagh - Monaghan link As part of the Armagh
  Monaghan Digital Corridor a 1Gb fibre link has
  been constructed between Armagh and Monaghan with
  backhaul provided through Belfast to the rest of
  the UK and to Dublin.

• Linking business centres ATek and MTek

• MTek should be further promoted as excellent
  business start up or base for existing high tech
  companies.

Kelvin Project

• Direct telecommunications link to North America,
  Belfast, Dublin and mainland UK

• Major emphasis should be put on attracting
  foreign investment through this venture.

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This is a journey not a destination..
Thank you for listening