Title: Credit Suisse 4th Annual
1Credit Suisse 4th Annual Truck Builders
Conference March 2, 2006
2Forward Looking Statements
- Our remarks that follow, including answers to
your questions and these slides, include
statements that we believe are forward-looking
statements within the meaning of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act. All of our
statements, other than statements of historical
fact, including statements regarding Oshkosh
Trucks future financial position, business
strategy, targets, projected sales, costs,
earnings, capital expenditures and debt levels,
and plans and objectives of management for future
operations, are forward-looking statements. In
addition, forward-looking statements generally
can be identified by the use of words such as
expect, intend, estimates, anticipate,
believe, should, plans, or similar words.
We cannot give any assurance that such
expectations will prove to be correct. Some
factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially from our expectations include the
accuracy of assumptions made with respect to our
expectations for fiscal 2006 and beyond, the
Companys ability to continue the turnaround of
the business of the Geesink Norba Group
sufficiently to support its valuation resulting
in no non-cash impairment charge for Geesink
Norba Group goodwill, the Companys ability to
increase its operating income margins at
McNeilus, the ability of the Company to recover
steel and component cost increases from its
customers, risks associated with a three-phase
enterprise resource planning system
implementation at McNeilus, the expected level of
U.S. Department of Defense procurement of the
Companys products and services, the cyclical
nature of the Companys commercial and fire and
emergency markets, risks related to reductions in
government expenditures, the uncertainty of
government contracts, the challenges of
identifying, completing and integrating
acquisitions, the success of the launch of the
Revolution? drum, and risks associated with
international operations. Additional information
concerning these and other factors is contained
in our filings with the SEC, including our Form
8-K filed February 2, 2006. Except as set
forth in such Form 8-K, we disclaim any
obligation to update such forward-looking
statements.
3Oshkosh Truck Corporation
- Largest global specialty truck and truck body
company - Leading brands in each market
- Successful growth record and strategies to
sustain growth - Driving force in bringing new technologies to
market
4Investment Highlights
Driving Forward
Strong ROIC
Superior Historic Returns
Share Price
ROIC
And, a positive outlook
5Significant Competitive Advantages
- Leading brand positions
- Extensive distribution capabilities
- Flexible and efficient manufacturing
- Proprietary component technologies
- Strong balance sheet
6Market Leadership
Estimated Market Share
Rank
Heavy Defense Trucks 1 100 Medium Marine
Trucks 1 100 Fire Apparatus 1 31 Wreckers
and Carriers 2 25 Airport Products 1 79 Ambu
lances 3 8 Rear-Discharge Concrete
Mixers 1 75 Front-Discharge Concrete
Mixers 1 51 Concrete Batch Plants 1 48 Refuse
Truck Bodies - U.S. 1/2 27
- Europe 1 20
Source Company estimates of its fiscal 2004
U.S. market share only, except for refuse truck
bodies - Europe.
7Core Growth Strategies
- Investing in innovation
- Lead in new product development in all markets
- Embracing lean principles
- Supported by chartered cost reduction teams
- Pursuing strategic acquisitions
- Expand globally
- New platforms and tuck-ins
ROIC .2 11.7 11.5 14.5 18.3 20.5
8Driving Growth Demand
- Growing requirements for remanufacturing/modularit
y - Continuing emphasis on homeland security
- Improving municipal markets
- Continuing strength in concrete placement and
refuse in advance of 2007 engine emissions
standards change
9Impact of Engine Emissions Standards Charge
- Usually a lag of 5 or more years before changes
to engine emission standards affect new defense
truck manufacturing - Generally, limited impact on infrequent fire
apparatus and airport product purchasers - Largest cities most effected
- Emphasis on homeland security spending probably
offsets impact - Carriers, wreckers and ambulances generally more
affected
10Impact of Engine Emissions Standards Charge
- 5 - 10 pre-buy anticipated in fiscal 2006
- Estimated fiscal 2007 impact
- 5 to 10 pre-buy in first quarter
- Downturn thereafter
- Fiscal 2003 post-change downturn of 15 to 20
for vocational markets - Over-the-road downturn estimated at 40
- Expect lower vocational market downturn than
over-the-road downturn - No impact on European refuse business
- Anticipating relatively flat commercial segment
operating income from fiscal 2006 to fiscal 2007
11Driving Growth Company Tactics
Price Up, Cost Down
- Commercial segment turnaround in progress
- European refuse profitable in Q4 2005 expected
to be profitable throughout fiscal 2006 - Anticipate domestic commercial margins to improve
by Q2 of fiscal 2006 - Reduce cost structure through lean
- Chartered cost reduction teams
- Rationalize supply base
12Driving Growth Company Tactics
- Additional new products in the pipeline
- Launching at upcoming trade shows
- New business initiatives
- Expanding defense service capabilities globally
- Opening sales, service, procurement and MA
office in Beijing
13Driving Growth Acquisitions
- M A pipeline improving
- Capitalizing on de-levered balance sheet
- Criteria
- Market leaders with either 1 or 2 market
position - Accretive in first year strong ROIC
- Significant potential synergies
14Fire Emergency
Annual Market 5,500 units (est.)
- Strong consistent performance
- Pierce growth outpaces industry
- Pierce
- 3-year CAGR 2.8
- 10-year CAGR 6.1
- Industry
- 3-year CAGR (1.1)
- 10-year CAGR 1.1
- Investing 18.5 million to expand Pierce
facilities - JerrDan and BAI integration on schedule
- Look for new products at trade shows
2004 Market Share
ALF 8
KME 10
Rosenbauer 8
E-One 22
Other 21
Pierce 31
Source Company estimates of U.S. fire apparatus
sales and market shares
Company estimates based on units
15Defense
- Potential for significant troop levels in Iraq
for next four years - Remanufacturing and armor are long-term
priorities - New facility opened summer of 2005
- Modularity initiative expected to drive new truck
volume - Expanding parts and service opportunities
- Heavy investment in product development
16McNeilus Oshkosh Concrete Placement
Annual Market 7,000 7,500 units (est.)
- 75,000 mixers in operation
- Cement supplies are tight in selected regions
- Stronger nonresidential construction expected to
offset any cooling in residential construction - Pre-buy expected in 2006
Front Discharge 22
Rear Discharge 78
2004 Market Share
Oshkosh/McNeilus 69
Source Company estimates of U.S. unit sales and
market shares
Source Portland Cement Association
17McNeilus Refuse
Annual Market 6,000 6,500 units (est.)
- 114,000 vehicles in operation
- Big Three account for nearly 50 of purchases
- Increasing purchases to reduce operation and
maintenance costs - Municipal demand expected to continue to improve
Multi-Compartment 4
Rear Loaders 47
Side Loaders 23
Front Loaders 26
2004 Market Share
Source Company estimates of U.S. unit sales and
market shares
18European Refuse
Annual Market 5,500 6,000 units (est.)
- Industry volumes down 20 pricing down
5 - 10 - Several unprofitable manufacturers
- Business turnaround based solely on cost
reduction - Executing on outsourcing strategy through 2006
Minis 8
Other 4
Side Loaders 13
Front Loaders 2
Rear Loaders 73
2004 Market Share
Dennis Eagle 9
OMB 9
Ros Roca 7
Farid/Brivio 10
Heil 4
Other 23
Faun 18
Geesink Norba Group 20
Source Company estimates of European unit sales
and market shares
19Driving Force New Technologies
TerraMax
- Completed 132-mile DARPA Grand Challenge desert
race - Most commercially viable technology
- Objective Survivability of our troops
HEMTT A3
- Hybrid-electric drive
- Potential 20 - 40 fuel savings
- Run stealth capability
- Enhanced load handling system
20Driving Force New Technologies
Revolution?
- First and only composite mixer
- 2,000 lb. weight reduction lowers cost per
delivered yard - Front-discharge Revolution? launched in January
2006
21Financial Performance and Targets
- 10 annual organic sales growth, supplemented by
acquisitions - 9 consolidated operating income margin,
eventually 10 - gt15 EPS growth
- gt15 ROIC
Sales (in millions)
Operating Income Margin
ROIC 11.7 11.5 14.5 18.3
20.5
In a recovery
22Excellent Financial Trends
(1) Beginning in fiscal 2002, goodwill and
indefinite-lived assets are no longer amortized
under U.S. GAAP. Fiscal 2001 EPS includes 0.10
in charges, net of tax related to this
amortization. (2) Restated for August 2005
two-for-one stock split.
23Strong Leverage and Capital Efficiency Ratios
Fiscal 2005
Fiscal 2004
Fiscal 2003
Days of net working capital 6 12 9 Debt to
capital ratio 9.3 10.7 2.9 Debt to TTM
EBITDA .3x .4x .1x TTM return on
equity 16.5 19.5 21.5 TTM return on invested
capital 14.5 18.3 20.5
24Consolidated First Quarter Results
Dollars in millions, except earnings per share
Comments
First Quarter
2005
2006
Net Sales 790.3 644.9 Growth 22.5
30.8 Operating Income 87.0 67.6
Margin 11.0 10.5 Growth 28.6
44.7 Earnings Per Share 0.72 0.56
Growth 28.6 33.3
- Defense drove results
- Favorable defense adjustments totaling 12.2
million in 2005 (0.10 per share) - Favorable product liability settlements
totaling 4.2 million at Corporate in 2005
(0.04 per share)
25Fire Emergency
Dollars in millions
First Quarter 2006
Fiscal 2005
First Quarter Comments
- Strong fire apparatus sales and improved
pricing benefited earnings - Lower airport product sales
- Expansion-related costs also impacted quarter
- Backlog up 4.1
-
Net Sales 216.4 841.5 Growth 11.5
40.3 Operating Income 20.9 79.6
Margin 9.7 9.5 Growth 13.4 44.9
26Defense
Dollars in millions
First Quarter 2006
First Quarter Comments
Fiscal 2005
- Truck and parts and service sales each up more
than 60 - MTVR adjustment of 8.5 million in
2005 - Recovery of pre-contract costs of 3.7 million
in 2005 - Backlog down 3.0, but bridge supplemental
funding not yet under contract -
Net Sales 363.1 1,061.1 Growth 68.5
37.1 Operating Income 72.6 210.2
Margin 20.0 19.8 Growth 40.5
64.4
27Commercial
Dollars in millions
First Quarter 2006
First Quarter Comments
Fiscal 2005
- Sales impacted by ERP implementation
- European refuse profitable in Q1 2.6
million operating loss in 2005 - Price increases beginning to benefit earnings
- Backlog up 29.1
Net Sales 221.2 1,085.7
Growth (8.4) 19.7 Operating Income 8.3
23.8 Margin 3.8 2.2
Growth 47.6 (31.6)
28Capitalization
Sept. 30, 2005
Dec. 31, 2005
Dollars in Millions
Cash and Cash Equivalents 81.0
127.5 Debt 23.2 24.1 Shareholders
Equity 874.7 818.7 Total
Capitalization 897.9 842.8 Total Debt/Total
Capitalization 2.6 2.9
29Positioned to Sustain Growth in Fiscal 2006
Estimates (1)
Outlook
- Sales 3.3 - 3.4 billion
- growth 11.5 - 15.0
- Operating
- income 316.5 - 329.0 million
- margin 9.6 - 9.7
- growth 18.0 - 23.0
- EPS 2.55 - 2.65
- growth 17.0 - 21.6
- Expect defense and fire and emergency to report
steady growth - Targeting recovery of U.S. margins and a return
to annual profitability in Europe in commercial
segment
(1) Estimates as of February 2, 2006
30Favorable Fiscal 2007 Estimated Outlook
- Expect higher funding for remanufacturing /
modularity in defense - Fire and emergency and homeland security demand
is expected to remain strong - 2007 emission standards expected to impact
commercial demand, but margin enhancement
initiatives should offset much of the impact - Expect cost reduction, new product development
and acquisition initiatives to realize benefits
for 2007
31Driving Forces
- Strong historic returns,
- Successful core strategies, and
- Favorable demand and Company tactics,
- Are expected
to drive Oshkosh
forward full
throttle in 2006
32(No Transcript)