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Financial Issues: A Natural Gas Utilitys View

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Natural gas prices: We dampen volatility through storage and hedging, while also ... Two factors drive liquidity requirements: weather and natural gas prices ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Financial Issues: A Natural Gas Utilitys View


1
Financial IssuesA Natural Gas Utilitys View
Laurie Mitchell Sherwood VP, Corporate
Development, and Treasurer Atmos Energy
Corporation
  • AGAs Introduction to the Natural Gas Industry
  • October 10, 2007

2
Atmos Energy Operations
3
Atmos Energy Corporate Structure
Atmos Energy Corporation (Natural Gas Utility
Divisions)
Atmos Energy Holdings, Inc. (Nonutility
Businesses)
Colorado-Kansas
Atmos Energy Marketing
Kentucky/Mid-States
Atmos Pipeline Storage
Louisiana
Mississippi
Other Nonutility
Mid-Tex

West Texas
Texas pipeline and storage operations are legally
a division of Atmos Energy Corporation, but are
included in the Atmos Pipeline Storage segment
for reporting purposes.
4
Financial Strength Our View
  • Key factors
  • Generating stable earnings and cash flow
  • Maintaining ample liquidity
  • Maintaining a strong balance sheet
  • Managing risk associated with non-utility
    operations

5
Stable Earnings and Cash Flow
  • Stress factors
  • Weather
  • Natural gas prices
  • Expenses (especially benefits costs)
  • Declining usage / conservation

6
Stable Earnings and Cash Flow (cont.)
  • How have we responded?
  • Weather We are protected from most of the
    effects of weather through rate designs (weather
    normalized rates and/or higher fixed customer
    charges) that now cover over 90 of our utility
    customer base
  • Natural gas prices We dampen volatility through
    storage and hedging, while also seeking better
    rate designs that allow us to recover higher bad
    debt expense through rates
  • Expenses We keep our pension plan fully funded
    and have redesigned some aspects of our medical
    benefit plan
  • Declining usage We continually seek rate
    designs that allow us to earn our allowed return
    on rate base independent of actual gas usage by
    customers

7
Ample Liquidity
  • Our view of liquidity its like insurance.
  • More is better
  • Get it before you need it
  • Stress factors
  • Two factors drive liquidity requirements
    weather and natural gas prices
  • Both are unpredictable and out of our control
  • Weather normalized rates help, but not quite in
    real time
  • The world looks different after Katrina and Rita
  • In late 2005, natural gas futures spiked into the
    mid-teens
  • What if that winter had been colder than normal
    (or even normal)?

8
Ample Liquidity (continued)
  • How has Atmos responded?
  • Today, we maintain over 900 million in committed
    revolving credit facilities at the parent level
  • Includes a 600 million 5-year facility that
    backstops our CP program and a 300 million
    364-day facility that is renewed annually
  • We added the 300 million facility in November
    2005 as a direct response to unprecedented high
    natural gas prices
  • Our peak short-term debt since then has been
    under 500 million, but the treasurer sleeps more
    soundly
  • Our non-regulated marketing subsidiary maintains
    its own 580 million bank facility
  • We increased this facility from 250 million in
    fall 2005, again due to high natural gas prices
  • Our peak usage has so far been less than half of
    the higher amount, but again we sleep much
    more soundly

9
A Strong Balance Sheet
  • Stress factors
  • Significant growth through acquisitions
  • Atmos has tripled its customer base since 1999
  • Our most recent transaction was also our largest
    the 1.9 billion purchase of TXU Gas in October
    2004
  • Higher capital spending levels in 2005 and 2006
  • Past earnings and cash flow variability, largely
    due to weather

10
A Strong Balance Sheet (continued)
  • How has Atmos responded?
  • We have funded major acquisitions (including TXU
    Gas) with a combination of debt and common
    equity
  • We issued common stock in December 2006 to pay
    down debt and bring our capital structure back to
    within our target range (50-55 debt)
  • Through weather normalized rates in key
    jurisdictions (including Texas) and other
    improved rate designs, we have largely eliminated
    our utility earnings and cash flow variability
    due to weather

11
Non-Utility Operations
  • Atmos Energys non-utility businesses include
    regulated and unregulated intrastate gas
    pipelines, storage fields, and natural gas
    marketing operations
  • Stress factors
  • Although some of these businesses generate stable
    and predictable earnings and cash flow, the
    marketing business in particular can produce
    significant quarter-to-quarter earnings
    volatility due to FAS 133 (mark to market)
    effects
  • Taken as a whole, these businesses by their
    nature have somewhat higher risk than our
    regulated utility business, but they offer
    greater opportunities for earnings growth in
    return

12
Non-Utility Operations (continued)
  • How has Atmos responded?
  • We seek to grow our non-utility lines of business
    in balance with and in ways that are
    complementary to our utility operations
  • We invest in stable, cash-generating assets such
    as intrastate pipelines, storage fields and
    gathering systems
  • We tightly control and monitor risk at our
    natural gas marketing business
  • We maintain ample liquidity for the marketing
    business, and adhere to state regulatory
    restrictions that strictly limit the amount of
    funding provided to our non-regulated
    subsidiaries by the utility parent

13
A Few Final Thoughts
  • Natural gas utilities have to balance the
    financial interests of shareholders with those of
    other key constituencies, such as bondholders,
    rating agencies, state regulatory commissions and
    customers.
  • Growing EPS and mitigating risk are each
    important objectives.
  • Good rate designs are critical to achieving both
    of these goals.
  • Most utility investors want stable, predictable
    earnings not to mention dividends and are
    less interested in capturing upside.
  • Bondholders and rating agencies also like
    predictable earnings, but have little interest in
    upside and none in dividends.
  • State regulators and customers want safe,
    reliable natural gas service at reasonable,
    predictable rates.

14
A Few Final Thoughts (conclusion)
  • Non-utility businesses can add value to the mix,
    but its key to manage their risk, finance them
    prudently and educate your key financial
    constituents about their characteristics.
  • Surprises are hardly ever welcome, especially
    negative ones.
  • To carry on this balancing act, natural gas
    utilities must maintain ample liquidity, a strong
    balance sheet and solid credit ratings.
  • This ensures continued access to capital and an
    ability to withstand unexpected natural gas price
    spikes or other events.
  • It also reassures key constituents such as state
    regulators.
  • Last but not least, it helps treasurers to sleep
    well at night!
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