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Laudon

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CAPITAL BUDGETING MODELS. PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS. REAL OPTIONS PRICING MODELS ... CAPITAL BUDGET: PAYBACK METHOD: How long will it take to pay ... CAPITAL BUDGET ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Laudon


1
UNDERSTANDING BUSINESS VALUE OF SYSTEMS AND
MANAGING CHANGE
April 8, 2003 Oliver Yao
2
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • EVALUATE MODELS DETERMINING BUSINESS VALUE OF
    INFORMATION SYSTEMS
  • ANALYZE PRINCIPAL CAUSES OF INFORMATION SYSTEM
    FAILURE
  • ANALYZE REQUIREMENTS FOR BUILDING SUCCESSFUL
    SYSTEMS
  • SELECT STRATEGIES TO MANAGE SYSTEM
    IMPLEMENTATION

3
UNDERSTANDING BUSINESS VALUE OF INFO SYSTEMS
  • CAPITAL BUDGETING MODELS
  • PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
  • REAL OPTIONS PRICING MODELS

4
CAPITAL BUDGET
  • PAYBACK METHOD How long will it take to pay back
    the investment?
  • RETURN ON INVESTMENT Does return during useful
    life of an item exceed the cost to borrow money?
  • COST-BENEFIT RATIO Does the ratio of benefit
    versus cost exceed 1?

5
CAPITAL BUDGET
  • PROFITABILITY INDEX What is the ratio of present
    value of cash inflow to initial investment?
  • NET PRESENT VALUE Accounting for cost, earnings
    time value of money what is the investment
    worth?
  • INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
  • Accounting for the time value of
  • money, what is the return rate of an investment?

6
COSTS BENEFITS
  • COSTS
  • HARDWARE
  • SOFTWARE
  • SERVICES
  • PERSONNEL

7
COSTS BENEFITS
  • TANGIBLE BENEFIT
  • INCREASED PRODUCTIVITY
  • LOW OPERATING COSTS
  • REDUCED WORK FORCE
  • LOWER COMPUTER EXPENSES
  • LOWER VENDOR COSTS
  • LOWER CLERICAL/PROFESSIONAL COSTS
  • REDUCED GROWTH OF EXPENSES
  • REDUCED FACILITY COSTS

8
COSTS BENEFITS
  • INTANGIBLE BENEFIT
  • IMPROVED ASSET USE RESOURCE CONTROL PLANNING
  • INCREASED FLEXIBILITY
  • MORE TIMELY INFORMATION
  • INCREASED LEARNING
  • ATTAIN LEGAL REQUIREMENTS
  • ENHANCED EMPLOYEE GOODWILL, JOB SATISFACTION,
    DECISION MAKING, OPERATIONS
  • HIGHER CLIENT SATISFACTION
  • BETTER CORPORATE IMAGE

9
CAPITAL BUDGETING MODELS
  • LIMITATIONS
  • Assume all relevant alternatives have been
    examined cost benefits can be expressed as
  • Ignore intangible benefits

10
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
  • ANALYSIS OF POTENTIAL APPLICATIONS
  • TO DETERMINE RISKS BENEFITS
  • DETERMINE DESIRABLE FEATURES, ACCEPTABLE RISKS OF
    REQUIRED SYSTEM
  • GENERATE PORTFOLIO OF CHARACTERISTICS, RISKS FOR
    EACH ALTERNATIVE
  • SCORING MODEL

11
SCORING MODEL
  • IDENTIFY DESIRABLE FEATURES
  • PROVIDE WEIGHTS FOR EACH (ADD TO 1.00)
  • LOOK AT EACH ALTERNATIVE
  • WHICH FEATURES ARE PRESENT?
  • TO WHAT EXTENT (as an amount)?
  • SCORE THE ALTERNATIVE
  • RANK-ORDER THE ALTERNATIVES
  • SELECT HIGHEST RANKED OPTION

12
REAL OPTIONS PRICING MODELS
  • USEFUL UNDER UNCERTAIN CONDITIONS
  • INCLUDE ESTIMATES FOR MANAGEMENT LEARNING, VALUE
    OF DELAYING DECISION, VOLATILITY OF COSTS
    REVENUES
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