The New World Structure:

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Lecture 253/7/2008

• The New World Structure
• The U.S. Reconceives Its Role

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The New Strategic Thinking

• The bipolar struggle of the 20th century is over
• a single surviving model of human progress
• Arc of Instability
• The Islamic threat

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The Arc of Instability
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The New Strategic Thinking

• The bipolar struggle of the 20th century is over
• a single surviving model of human progress
• Arc of Instability

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The Islamic World
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The New Strategic Thinking

• The bipolar struggle of the 20th century is over
• a single surviving model of human progress
• Arc of Instability
• The Islamic threat
• The centrality of the Middle East

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Why the Middle East?

• the heart of the Arc
• crucial resources, mainly oil
• previous nuclear stand-offs in the Arab-Israeli
  conflict
• the US had devoted tremendous time, effort, and
  prestige to managing and settling that conflict
• the first challenge to the so-called new world
  order had come in Iraqs invasion of Kuwait in
  1990

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The New Strategic Thinking

• The bipolar struggle of the 20th century is over
• a single surviving model of human progress
• Arc of Instability
• The Islamic threat
• The centrality of the Middle East
• The danger of rogue states
• The centrality of Iraq
• Internal changes in one state (Iraq will affect
  other states)

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The Practicalities of the New Strategy

• act unilaterally when necessary
• do not negotiate
• seek regime change (what happens inside
  countriesnationbuildingmatters)
• reverse domino theory regime change is
  infectious

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The Practicalities of the New Strategy

• act unilaterally when necessary
• do not negotiate
• seek regime change (what matters inside
  countriesnationbuildingmatters)
• reverse domino theory regime change is
  infectious
• old coalitions no longer relevant the Old Europe
  and the New Europe

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(No Transcript)
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The Practicalities of the New Strategy

• act unilaterally when necessary
• do not negotiate
• seek regime change (what matters inside
  countriesnationbuildingmatters)
• reverse domino theory regime change is
  infectious
• old coalitions no longer relevant the Old Europe
  and the New Europe
• the Arab-Israeli Conflict