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Investor Update

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All financial and other information contained in this presentation has been ... on a global basis, although outright ownership is not possible under Russian Law. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Investor Update


1
Investor Update
2
Scope and limitations
  • All financial and other information contained in
    this presentation has been obtained from and
    prepared on the basis of publicly available data
    or data prepared by the management of the
    Portfolio Companies, Varyag Resources has not
    verified such data for its completeness or
    accuracy Varyag Resources does not make any
    representation or warranty, nor does it assume
    any liability, as regards completeness or
    accuracy of financial or other information which
    has been obtained from such publicly available
    sources, or from the management of the Portfolio
    Companies.
  • The presentation contains projections, estimates
    and descriptions of the Managers plans and
    objectives, such estimates are forward-looking
    statements. Actual future results, including the
    results of the Portfolio Companies, the nature
    and timing of investments and/or divestments made
    by the Company, actual financial returns achieved
    on any such investments could differ materially
    due to, among other things, market factors and
    the actions of the Company as well as other
    factors discussed elsewhere in this
    presentation.
  • The details of certain proposed or actual
    transactions have not been disclosed in cases
    where such disclosure would actually or
    potentially breach any prevailing market
    regulations, including (but without limitation
    to) the Stockholm Stock Exchanges Listing Rules.

3
Investment Case
  • Access to the private equity market in Russia and
    the CIS
  • Capitalizing on the unique knowledge and
    experience of the Investment Manager Team
  • Value added by creating financial transparency
  • Long term Russian economy growth
  • Unique opportunity with an attractive
    risk/reward profile

4
Strategy
  • The combination of low costs and an outstanding
    resource endowment means that Russian resource
    companies have an enormous competitive advantage.
  • The Company is focused on sectors which will
    benefit from stable global and domestic
    incremental demand at reasonable valuations.

5
Strategy
  • Capital raised shall be invested within 18-24
    months
  • A target IRR of 30 p.a. for individual
    investment
  • Primarily equity financed acquisitions
  • Exits within 3-4 years after initial investment
  • Investment Manager Team - local experience

6
Structure
Management agreement 2.5 annual fee 20 carry
over an 8 hurdle rate
7
Investment Advisory Committee
  • The investment advisory committee provides
    invaluable
  • economic, political and market insights. The
    three members
  • are recognised leaders in their respective fields
    and will
  • challenge proposals presented by the Investment
    Manager.
  • Mikhail Zadornov
  • President of VTB24, Minister of Finance (1997 to
    1999), former member of the Board of the Central
    Bank of Russia
  • Sergei Vasiliev
  • Senator representing the St.Petersberg Region,
    member of the Federation Council and Chairman of
    the Committee on the Securities Market.
  • Alexander James Stewart
  • Over 20 years in global and emerging market
    equities with leading financial institutions
    (including RZB and Deutsche Morgan Grenfell).

8
Varyag share
  • IPO 8,868,800 shares at SEK 50 per share (pre
    issue costs).
  • Rights issue 4,434,400 shares at SEK 45 per
    share.
  • Total shares outstanding 13,303,200.

9
Varyag shareholders
  • 2/3 Institutional
  • Swedish 80 International 20
  • 1 200 shareholders
  • CEO 204 000 shares
  • Inv Man 202 700 shares

10
Achievements to date
  • Consolidated 5 large regional forestry companies,
    now have full ownership or majority control over
    1.654 million m3 of annual allowable cut (AAC)
    covering 1 million hectares.
  • Construction and commissioning of Bogouchanski
    LPK sawmill after 14 months of work - output on a
    single shift basis - 100,000 m3 of kiln dried
    sawnwood output.
  • Foundations complete for second sawmill at
    Magistralnaya to start work in 2009.
  • Developed greenfield gravel business,
    commissioning of primary crusher complete and
    secondary crusher to be completed in Q4-08

11
Location of Holdings
12
Summary of holdings
12
13
Forestry - China incremental demand for roundwood
  • Source of incremental demand for sawlogs,
    currently importing some 19 million m3 of
    softwood.
  • 86 of this amount supplied from Russia.
  • Demand for sawnwood is likely to increase given
    increase in export duties.

14
Russian domestic forestry sector
  • The introduction of a prohibitive duty on the
    export of sawlogs to EUR 50 per m3 is designed to
    encourage the addition of sawmilling capacity
    domestically.
  • The new Forest Code is currently being
    implemented, the ability to offer forest leases
    as security on debt should increase our ability
    to leverage the portfolio companies.

15
Forestry macro environment
  • Prices reached a high at the top of the global
    GDP cycle and have come down since then largely
    as a result of the ongoing U.S. housing/sub-prime
    problems.

16
Rusforest relative size
17
Comparison of forestry prices
  • Russian forest land is cheap on a global basis,
    although outright ownership is not possible under
    Russian Law.

18
Rusforest target markets
  • Gradually moving away from North African/Middle
    East market as too much volume being sold into
    those markets and prices coming under pressure.
  • Russia is still a very small market, mainly due
    to a lack of well organised builders merchants,
    however Central Asian markets becoming
    increasingly important.

19
Forestry holdings
20
Rusforest investment programme
  • Successfully implemented the following investment
  • programmes
  • Built a new Hew-Saw R-250 sawmilling line and
    re-built all associated equipment at Bogouchanski
    LPK.
  • Started-up harvesting operations using
    Timber-jack equipment at TSLKK.
  • Expanded kiln drying capacity at PIK-89 by 50 in
    2008.
  • Work on Rusforest-Magistralnaya sawmill
    foundations completed.

21
Rusforest growth plans
  • Investment required to develop two sawmills has
    already been included in the investment cost,
    only some further bank debt is needed.

22
Aggregates external environment
  • Aggregate prices have been growing strongly in
    the recent past, however there are likely to fall
    in light of the construction slowdown.

23
Progress at Russian Gravel Company
  • Funding of some USD 18 million disbursed.
  • Primary crusher installed and working, secondary
    crusher to be completed before year end.
  • Work on railhead completed, final step is to
    receive approval from Russian Railways to use
    weighbridge and connection of lights to main
    signal box - expected to be completed by year-end.

24
Financial targets for Russian Gravel
  • Target output of 1.7 million tonnes of sellable
    aggregate per year, weighted average sales price
    of USD 15.5 per tonne (ex mine and ex VAT), based
    on the following fractions
  • Total operating costs are expected to be some USD
    6 per tonne (cash costs) once the facility
    becomes fully operational.

1m3 is approximately equal to 1.4 tonnes
25
Financials
  • Impairment tests - WACC 18 - no need for
    write-downs
  • Equity to Asset ratio () 99.7
  • Shareholders Equity (SEK) 46.2
  • Share price (SEK) 11.0
  • Price/Equity value () 23.8

26
Coming events
  • Bogouchanski sawmill moving to full capacity.
  • First sales from Russian Gravel Co.
  • IFRS accounting for Russian Gravel Co. and
    Rusforest
  • First exits expected 2010

27
Closing remarks
  • Varyag has achieved meaningful exposure in the
    forestry and gravel sectors.
  • No bank debt at Varyag or the portfolio
    companies.
  • Global slowdown will effect portfolio companies,
    however depreciation of rouble - advantage for
    Rusforest.
  • New investments moving to positive cash flow
    after commissioning of Bogouchanski LPK and
    target start of gravel sales at Russian Gravel Co.
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