United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

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UNFCCC press conference, Bonn, 17 November 2008
UNFCCC data 2008 highlights
by Sergey KONONOV (UNFCCC secretariat)
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change
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Background now 2 sets of data
Convention data ( emissions data)
KP data (new in 2008) ( accounting data)

• For 41 Annex I Parties (industrialized
  countries)
• Reported data for 19902006
• GHG emissions/removals
• with/without sinks (LULUCF)
• Published as FCCC/SBI/2008/12 (GHG data report)

• For Annex B Parties (39)
• Annex B Annex I US Turkey
• Data from initial review under KP
• KP base year level gt assigned amounts (AA) for
  20082012
• eligibility to trade under KP
• various accounting parameters
• Published as FCCC/KP/CMP/2008/9 (Compilation
  and accounting report or CA report)

compliance with KP (after 2012)
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Highlights (1) Convention data

• Data by Annex I groups
• Annex I all (41 Parties)
• Annex I EITs (14)
• Annex I non-EITs (26)

• Trends of interest
• Long-term trend for Convention period (19902006)
  gt
• Short-term trend for recent years (20002006) gt

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Convention data / long-term changes 19902006

• Observations
• Overall, Annex I emissions below base year (5)
• Most of the long-term decrease comes from EITs
  (see in Mt CO2-eq)

Note the data above are for GHG emissions
without LULUCF most trends for net emissions
including LULUCF are similar although not
necessarily equivalent (see UNFCCC reports with
detailed data)
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Convention data / short-term changes 20002006

• Observations
• Distinct increases in 20002006
• AI total 2.3 AI non-EITs 1.0 AI EITs
  7.4
• Same trend as noted last year, but
• The increase from 2000 is lower than in last
  years report
• 2007 report AI total 2.6 AI non-EITs
  1.9 AI EITs 5.8
• decrease (0.1 for AI total) occurred in
  20052006 (non-EITs 1, EITs 3)

Note the data above are for GHG emissions
without LULUCF most trends for net emissions
including LULUCF are similar although not
necessarily equivalent (see UNFCCC reports with
detailed data)
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Background now 2 sets of data
Convention data ( emissions data)
KP data (new in 2008) ( accounting data)

• Reported data for 19902006
• GHG emissions/removals
• with/without sinks (LULUCF)
• For 41 Annex I Parties (industrialized
  countries)
• Published as FCCC/SBI/2008/12 (GHG data report)

• Data from initial review under KP
• KP base year level gt assigned amounts (AA) for
  20082012
• eligibility to trade under KP
• various accounting parameters
• For Annex B Parties (39)
• Annex B Annex I US Turkey
• Published as FCCC/KP/CMP/2008/9 (Compilation
  and accounting report or CA report)

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Highlights (2) accounting data from initial
review under KP

• Data reported by Partiesgt reviewed by experts gt
  finalized in 20072008
• Assigned amount for 20082012 (fixed emissions
  quota for 5 years)
• Main accounting parameters (mostly LULUCF)
• Review completed for 36 of 39 Annex B Parties
• pending for Australia, Belarus, Croatia
• Accounting values are now in ITL and registries
  full trading enabled
• 33 registries CDM registry are currently live
  with ITL (only 3 registries CDM were
  operational in 2007)
• Kyoto Protocol trading through ITL is ongoing
• Extensive reporting from Parties on the status of
  trading are due in 2009
• Number of transactions on steep increase after
  CITL-gtITL link in October
• at CITL-ITL linking, 26 EU registries were
  connected to the ITL
• Comparisons with official KP baseline (without
  trading) now possible

Note 1 ITL UNFCCCs International Transaction
Log Note 2 Assigned amount for 20082012 is
determined from a) base year level, and b) Kyoto
Protocol target Note 3 Base year (BY) definition
under KP slightly differs from the Convention
(F-gases, deforestation, KP coverage)
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Changes for individual Parties
not yet on target
on target now (2006)
full data not yet available
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Observations (1) NOT a compliance assessment
(too simple, too early)! (2) diverse trends
for Parties gt potential for mechanisms
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GHG emissions in 2006 compared to KP base year
(36 Parties)
in billion tonnes
1.8
in
-16.7

• Observations
• Overall, Annex B emissions well below base year
  (17)
• the overall KP 5 target achievable for Annex B
  group
• decreases in EITs essential slightly above base
  year for non-EITs
• Further monitoring important (see the 20002006
  trend)

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Summary

• 2008 update for all Annex I Convention Parties
  together
• emissions are currently (2006) below 1990 level
  (5)
• increase from 2000 requires attention
• 2008 official accounting data under KP
  available/used in trade
• data finalized through the initial review process
• data for most Parties are in ITL and registries
• full KP trading enabled 33 registries CDM
  registry live with ITL
• Comparisons of emissions and KP base year now
  possible
• with current data (17), the 5 KP target looks
  achievable
• trends in individual Parties differ potential
  for mechanisms indicated
• Note of caution
• this comparison of emission trends is NOT a
  compliance assessment (2006 data, not 20082012
  no impact of mechanisms and LULUCF)

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References

• FCCC/SBI/2008/12 (GHG data report) published
• UNFCCC document with 19902006 data on GHG
  emissions/removals from Annex I Parties
• FCCC/KP/CMP/2008/9 (CA report) published
• UNFCCC document with the 1st compilation and
  accounting report for Annex I Parties (with
  assigned amounts, eligibility and other results
  from the initial review under Kyoto Protocol)
• FCCC/KP/CMP/2008/7 (ITL report) to be
  published
• UNFCCC document with the report of the ITL
  administrator
• UNFCCC GHG data interface online
• unfccc.int/ghg_data/items/3800.php main page
• unfccc.int/ghg_data/ghg_data_unfccc/items/4146.php
  Convention data
• http//unfccc.int/ghg_data/kp_data_unfccc/items/43
  57.php KP data
• UNFCCC web page on registry systems and the ITL
• http//unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/registry_systems/
  items/2723.php