Art Guzzetti, APTA Vice-President Policy

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Art Guzzetti, APTA Vice-President Policy Petra
Mollet, APTA Vice-President Strategy
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Why?

• Create a long-term vision of public
  transportations role in the fabric of our
  nations surface transportation system over the
  next several decades

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Process

• Visioning Task Force
• Open web dialogue with all APTA members
• 3 online webinars on key issues which will
  shape the future
• Listening sessions on draft vision

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Illustrating the APTA Vision for Public
Transportation in 2050

• A truly energy efficient, multi-modal,
  environmentally sustainable transportation system
  powers America

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Social and Demographic Trends Point to More
Transit

• Population increases

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Metropolitan Regions are Our New Economic Engines
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Transit Will Assume a Much More Prominent Role

• More better choicesevery urban area has a
  top-notch transit system

One System Planned, Managed, Financed,
Interconnected
Tech-savvy generations embrace new ways of travel
Transit is the employer of choice (green workers
others)
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Transits Prominent Role
In 2050 every urban area is served by a high
quality, high capacity regional public
transportation system, and people in all areas
have some level of service
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A National Transportation Policy
20th Century Interstate Roads
21st Century Better choices, priming the pumps
of our economic engines
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New Organizations and Relationships
New regional institutions
A growing private sector role
Transit organizations as mobility managers
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The Increased Prominence of Public Transportation
will Benefit America

• - reduced greenhouse gas emission
• - reduced petroleum use
• - economic growth and global competitors
• - quality of life in our community
• - connect people with their jobs, livelihoods,
  and society overall

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However, in 2009

• Surface transportation system is a mess

America needs a new direction
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The Good News Ridership Growth Outpaces VMT and
Population Growth (1995-2008)
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• With proper investment what could public
  transportation do?

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Slow, Steady Increase in Ridership (5.5
Annually)
By 2050, save more than 48.1 billion gallons of
fuel per yearmore than the amount of gasoline
refined from the oil imported from OPEC
countries By 2050, cut annual carbon emissions
by 449.2 million metric tons, over one-third the
carbon emissions from the gasoline used for
transportation today. Support 4.4 million jobs
annually
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Strong, Rapid Increase in Ridership(10
Annually)

• Save the U.S. 15.2 billion gallons of fuel per
  year by 2020nearly equal the amount we import
  from the Persian Gulf today 
• Cut carbon emissions by 141.9 million metric
  tons per year by 2020, almost 8 percent of total
  carbon emissions from the transportation sector
• Support 7.4 million jobs annually

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What is Required? More Investment, Better
Planning

• Additional investment
• Annual capital and operating investment
• of 142 to 236 billion -1 to 1.6 percent of GDP
• (transportation-related goods and services
  contribute to over 10.5 percent of GDP overall)
• From a combination of federal, state, and local
  public resources, as well as private investment
• Integrate land-use with transportation policies
  and planning

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What is Required? More Investment, Better
Planning

• Using ITS technology to get more out of each
  mode/operate all modes as part of unified system
• Better customer information
• Google Transit
• Price automobile and petroleum use to reflect its
  true costs
• Reallocate road space to encourage mode shift
• Change travel behavior through awareness-raising

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Other countries are investing

• Madrid has grown its public transit ridership by
  70 percent in the last 20 years.
• Spain is spending 1 percent of its GDP on new
  rail infrastructure.
• Shanghai plans to increase public transit trips
  from 21 percent of modal share in 2000 to 35
  percent in 2020.
• France plans to double its high speed rail
  network in the coming decade as part of the
  effort to meet its carbon emission reduction goals