Title: Spinning up on 12Planet
1Spinning up on 12Planet Some difficulties with
an office just starting to chat
2WHY?
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4- Schedule of Availability of Experimental NDFD
Elements - Stage 1 (February 2003) - CONUS Max/Min
Temperature - Stage 2 (April 2003) - CONUS Temperature, Dew
Point, Weather, Heat Indices (generated from
Temperature and Dew Point) - Stage 3 (June 2003) - CONUS Sky Cover, PoP, Snow
Amount, Wave Height, Surface Wind
5Accommodating Collaborating Compromi
sing Avoiding Competing
6Conflict Resolution Avoiding - Not addressing
the conflict, or postponing (lose-lose) Accommod
ating- Neglecting own concerns to satisfy
concerns of others (lose-win) Competing -
Power oriented, pursuing own concerns at the
expense of others (win- lose) Compromising
Middle ground settling for half of what you
want (1 1 1.5) Collaborating Two good
ideas, when blended, produce a result
better than the original individual ideas (1
1 3) (win- win)
7Accommodating(lose-win) Collaborating (1
1 3) (win- win) Compromising (1
1 1.5) Avoiding (lose-lose) Competin
g (win- lose)
8QC is necessary, but be sensitive
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13Each WFO has 4 user IDs where XXX is office ID
XXX_short XXX_longXXX_3XXX_4
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19- Some things observed when starting 12 Planet
- Allow at least 3 weeks for collaboration to
become effective - Do not put blocks in but use timing instead.
Remember as you create Grid forecast keep in mind
that the grids are used for - Graphics
- Point and click forecasts
- Animation
- Forecasters are afraid to go to extremes
- HPC discussion in chatroom at 12Z
- View ISC grids from start. Dont wait until the
end to use ISC
20- Look at breakpoints especially when collaborating
POPs and - Cloud Cover. If different, then look in between
for differences. - Concentrate on days 1 to 3. Days 4 through 7
should only be changed - when really necessary.
- Give me a reason to change
- Nudging vs. new forecast
- Geopolitical boundary forecasts not thinking
gradients but absolutes. - Dont do the forecast and leave, stay in the chat
room - Avoid wheeling and dealing
21- Potential problems
- Local models
- Collaborating and changing first 6 hours.
- If you are updating, send a chat message before,
not - after changes
- You are responsible for discrepancies, not just
your forecast - Dont just say Id like to change, give reasoning
but not a novel - or dissertation
- HPC is monitoring, you can chat with them
- If you are running late, say so
- During the shift briefing, include strategy of
grids
22http//www-md.fsl.noaa.gov/IFPS/12p/12Planet.htm