New Hampshire Trends, Higher Education and the State Budget

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New Hampshire Trends, Higher Education and the
State Budget
Community Colleges of New Hampshire
Steve Norton Executive Director NH Center for
Public Policy Studies May 19th, 2008
to raise new ideas and improve policy debates
through quality information and analysis on
issues shaping New Hampshires future.
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Macro Trends

• Aging
• People are getting older, fewer children
• Economic Change
• Agriculture -gt Manufacturing -gt ?
• The World is Flat
• Information, Communication, Transportation
• Environmental Change
• Climate, Water, Conservation
• Migration
• Role of Towns in Shaping New Hampshire

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Age Distribution 1970
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Age Distribution 1995
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Age Distribution 2020?
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Health Care (not high income jobs) Accounts for
Much of Projected Job Growth
Source NH Department of Labor Projections
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Mt Washington Valley
The Lakes Region
The North Country
What is NH?
The Seacoast
The Capital Region
The Monadnock Region
The Tech Corridor?
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Geographic Variation What Do Regions Have in
Common?
Source NH Office of State Planning Estimates
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Proportion of Population Over the Age of 65
Dramatically Changing
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Where did the money go?
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What about purchasing power has it increased?
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Feast and Famine 1997-2007 Change in General
Fund Appropriations (in 2007 per capita)
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Changes in General Fund Contributions (Education
Related)
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A Convergence of trends .

• Over the past decade ? a decline, in real terms,
  in states participation in higher education in
  the state.
• Economic recession ? Increases competition for
  state general funds.
• Aging ? Declining number of children graduating
  from high school ? Increased competition for
  college students.
• State budget conversations will impact ongoing
  state support (retirement, education adequacy).
• Independence of community colleges system will
  likely require initial support.

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May lead to tough decisions

• Engage with business community etc in a broader
  conversation about need to invest in higher
  education?
• Recruit and enroll students who would not have
  previously gone to college?
• Increase tuition rates faster than in recent
  years?
• Reduce faculty and programs?

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All of our reportsare available on the
webwww.nhpolicy.org
New Hampshire Center for Public Policy Studies
Board of Directors Donna Sytek, Chair John B.
Andrews John D. Crosier Shelia T. Francoeur Chuck
Morse Todd Selig Stuart Smith James
Tibbetts Brian Walsh Kimon S. Zachos Martin
Gross Staff Steve Norton Dennis Delay Ryan Tappin
to raise new ideas and improve policy debates
through quality information and analysis on
issues shaping New Hampshires future.