WORKSHOP AGIR

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• WORKSHOP AGIR
• HELSINKI
• JUNE 12-13, 2003
• RESULTS FOR BELGIUM WP1 WP2
• J. MESTDAGH M. LAMBRECHT

Federal Planning Bureau Economic Analysis
Forecasts
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WP 1 Biodemographic aspects of ageing

• Paper presented in The Hague, 14-15/2/2003
• Population evolution, structure by age and by
  gender
• Fertility number of births, birth rate
• Mortality, probabilities of death, survivors
• Longevity LE, modal median life duration,
  life endurance record age

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WP 1 Biodemographic aspects of ageing (2)

• Life courses age to leave school, marriage,
  children, retirement and widowhood
• Morbidity health and disability (vision and
  hearing problems, mental health, mobility)
• Healthy and disability free life expectancy

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WP1 Results Belgium

• Additional information gathered since AGIR
  meeting in The Hague, February 14-15
• Number of births by gender 1950 - 2050
• Age at first job

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Fertility

• Number of births by gender, 1948 2000
• Decrease in the number of births (150.000 in 1948
  and 114.800 in 2000)
• More boys than girls

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Fertility (2)

• Number of births by gender, 2000 2050
• ? Varies between 115.000 and 108.000 babies

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Age at first job

• Average age at first job, 1990 2000, men and
  women
• (irrespective whether still doing this job or
  not)
• Increase in age at first job from 20 in 1990 to
  24 in 2000
• (note age at which people leave school increased
  from 19.9 to 21.5 in the same period)

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WP2 Use of health care and nursing by the
elderly

• Paper presented at The Hague, 14-15/2/2003
• Demand for (use of) health care
• Hospital admissions
• Length of hospital stay
• c) Contacts with doctor (average number)
• Demand for (use of) long term care at home and in
  institutions

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WP2 Use of health care and nursing by the
elderly

• Supply of formal health care doctors, nurses,
  hospital beds
• Supply of informal health care
• a) Household composition
• b) Labour market developments
• participation rates, PT employment,
• working hours

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WP2 Results Belgium

• Additional information gathered since AGIR
  meeting in The Hague, February 14-15
• Hospital admissions
• Length of hospital stay
• Contacts with a doctor ( of population)
• Household composition by age group and gender

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Hospital admissions

• Average number of admissions, 2000, by age and
  gender
• Highest at age 0, then decrease, to increase
  again with age
• Women are less frequently admitted except at age
  15-34

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Hospital admissions (2)

• Average number of admissions 1991 2000, by
  gender / age
• Increase between 1991-00 for younger and older
  age groups
• Decrease between 1991-00 between age 1 and 45

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Length of hospital stay

• Average length of hospital stay by age group and
  gender, 2000
• Positive relation with age increases as people
  get older
• Higher for women than for men, especially in
  oldest age group

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Length of hospital stay (2)

• Average length of hospital stay by age group /
  gender, 1991-00
• ? Decrease between 1991-2000, men/women, all age
  groups

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Volume of hospital stay

• Volume of hospital stay, 2000, by gender and age
• U-shaped curve, positive relation with age
• Similar for men and women (except age 15-34)

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Volume of hospital stay (2)

• Volume of hospital stay, MEN, by age , 1991
  2000
• ? Slight decrease between 1991 and 2000, all ages
  except youngest age group

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Volume of hospital stay (3)

• Volume of hospital stay, WOMEN, by age, 1991
  2000
• ? Slight decrease between 1991 and 1998, all ages
  except youngest age group

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Contacts with doctor

• of population having contact with doctor during
  past year, by gender and age, 2001
• Increase with age (avg. of contacts increases
  with age too)
• More women contact their doctor than men do
  (except in youngest age group)

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Household composition

• of MEN in single HH, 1991-2001, by age group
• increases with age
• decreased between 1991 and 2001

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Household composition (2)

• of WOMEN in single HH, 1991-2001, by age group
• increases with age, except in oldest age group
• decreased between 1991 and 2001