Regional Workforce Data and Future Trends

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Regional Workforce Data and Future Trends

• Northwest Minnesota East Grand Forks
• Healthcare Workforce Forum
• October 2004
• Sally Buck, Rural Health Resource Center

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Healthcare Workforce in 2000 Critical Shortages
of Healthcare Workers

• Strong Economic Growth
• Healthcare jobs grew rapidly
• Tight Labor Market
• Low unemployment
• Number of workers (population gt 16 years old
  declined)
• Strong Demand for Workers
• Over 8,000 MN healthcare job openings in 1999
  statewide

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Factors Impacting Healthcare Workforce Since 2000
Unemployment rates rose in the past 3 years and
are now declining.
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Factors Impacting Healthcare Workforce Since 2000
The healthcare industry had above average job
growth.
Source Minnesota Workforce Center
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Factors Impacting Healthcare Workforce Since 2000

• Minnesotas population is growing older.

Source Minnesota Department of Administration
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16 of the regional population is over age 65.
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Factors Impacting Healthcare Workforce Since 2000

• Increasing demand for healthcare services
• Aging baby boomers
• New technology and pharmaceuticals

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Factors Impacting Healthcare Workforce Since 2000
The number of health professions graduates is
rising after a 3 year decline.
Source The Integrated Postsecondary Education
Data System (IPEDS), National Center for
Education Statistics, U.S. Department of
Education
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Factors Impacting Healthcare Workforce Since 2000
Healthcare openings declined in 2003, however
vacancy rates remained high.
Source Minnesota Department of Employment and
Economic Development, Job Vacancy Survey.
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Factors Impacting Healthcare Workforce Since 2000
Openings for practical nurses and home health
aides have increased.
Source Minnesota Department of Employment and
Economic Development, Job Vacancy Survey
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Current Demographics of RegionCounties
Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Kittson, Lake of
the Woods, Mahnomen, Marshall, Norman,
Pennington, Polk, Red Lake, Roseau
Current Population (2000) 164,633 Projected
Population (2010) 174,600 Regional Projected
Growth Rate (2000 to 2010)6 State Projected
Growth Rate (2000 to 2010) 10.8 Regional
Employment 278,626 Current Regional Unemployment
Rate 4.1 Current State Unemployment Rate
4.4 Northwest Healthcare Employment 21,115
(8.5) State Healthcare Employment 8.5 of
total Northwest Healthcare Employment Projection
(2000-2010)17.0 change Source MN Department
of Employment and Economic Development and MN
Department of Administration, 2004.
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Southern Minnesota
12 hospitals and 15 rural health clinics.
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28 nursing homes, 13 home health agencies, and 6
hospices.
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Regional population164,633
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185 HP graduates in 2002.
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1,855 licensed healthcare professionals.
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818 active RNs and 66 graduates.
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696 active LPNs and 92 graduates.
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140 physicians.
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53 dentists.
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121 pharmacists.
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Current Demand for Health Professionals in Region
Source Job Vacancy Survey, Minnesota Department
of Employment and Economic Development, (2004,
2nd Quarter)
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Current Demand for Health Professionals in Region
2004 Job Vacancy Survey
Source Minnesota DEED, Job Vacancy Survey,
Second Quarter 2004
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Current Demand for Health Professionals in Region
2003 Demand Assessment
Source Minnesota Health Workforce Demand
Assessment, 2003
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Future Trends in Healthcare Workforce Regional
Healthcare Job Outlook
Healthcare jobs will grow at a faster rate than
all occupations.
Source Minnesota Workforce Center, DEED
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174,600 total projected population, a 6 increase.
2.7
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Northwest Region Summary

• Currently high vacancy rates for specialty
  physicians, nurse practitioners, clinical
  psychologists,
• High number of healthcare support openings
• Limited health professions education
• Health professions workforce is aging
• Growing gap between supply and demand by 2010

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Community Information Resources Center (CIRC)
www.circ.rupri.org
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National Data Archive

• 1990 2000 Census Income, housing, race,
  education, workforce, labor force
• Poverty Data
• Economic/Employment
• Political congressional, state, voter district
• Education elementary/high school districts
• Health data Medicare/Medicaid points of
  service, HPSA, mental health, and community
  health centers
• Transportation

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Market Area What is the percent of over 65 that
are within 15 miles of Ashley County Medical?
Access additional analytical tools and turn on
What percent of the population within 15 miles
of Ashley Medical is over 65?
Add Census Data Modify Map
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Uses of Minnesota Healthcare Workforce Mapping
Application

• Workforce data visualization
• Support educational planning
• County needs assessments
• Market assessments for new services
• Grant program development
• Facilitate dialogue among healthcare industry,
  education, business, and elected officials

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Minnesota Healthcare Workforce Partnership

• Fourteen Minnesota healthcare and workforce
  agencies, educational institutions, and
  organizations
• Education and regional facilitation
• Advocacy
• Data management and analysis
• Regional partners
• Rural Policy Research Institute, CIRC

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Future Planning with Minnesota Mapping Application

• http//circ.rupri.org/index.asp, then click on
  Minnesota Regional Healthcare Workforce Mapping
• Comprehensive analysis of regional supply and
  demand
• Long term projections
• County/local workforce analysis

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• Progress lies not in enhancing what is, but in
  advancing toward what will be.
• -Kahlil Gibran, A Handful of Sand on the Shore