Strengths - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

About This Presentation
Title:

Strengths

Description:

integrated operations, business management and marketing and trading capabilities ... Absolute goal - strong investment grade. Relative goal - upper band of peer group ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:59
Avg rating:3.0/5.0
Slides: 41
Provided by: BFS0
Category:

less

Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: Strengths


1
Salomon Smith Barney Power Merchant Energy
Conference May 15, 2002
2
Lew Hay
  • Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Moray Dewhurst
Chief Financial Officer
3
Safe Harbor Statement Any statements made
herein about future operating results or other
future events are forward-looking statements
under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual
results may differ substantially from such
forward-looking statements. A discussion of
factors that could cause actual results or events
to vary is contained in FPL Group's 2001 SEC Form
10-K.
3
4
Growing, Top-Tier US Electric Company
  • 21,682 mw
  • Operations in 20 states
  • 4 millioncustomers
  • 11.0 billion market capitalization

5
Three Strong Businesses
FPLEnergy
FPL
FPLFiberNet
105 m27
695 m 8
15 m 80
FPLGROUP
Net income 792 m EPS growth 7
2001 net income and EPS, excluding merger-related
items and effects of FAS 133
6
Three Fundamental Attributes
7
FPL Group
  • Solid, integrated electric company
  • Attractive growth opportunities in all three
    businesses

8
Premier Electric Utility
  • Favorable customer mix
  • Strong customer growth
  • Operational excellence
  • Proven cost management
  • Constructive regulatory environment

Attractive financial returns
9
Attractive Customer Demographics
Customer Mix
  • 4 million customer accounts
  • Consistent strong growth
  • 2.1 in customer accounts
  • 1.1 in usage per customer
  • High percentage of residential small
    commercial customers

4 3
Other
3
32 32 33
37 56
Industrial
Commercial
Residential
Industry Average
Florida Power Light
10
Operational Excellence
2001 WANO Performance IndexAll U.S. Sites
Fossil Plant Availability
Industry Average
Data Source Institute of Nuclear Power
Operators (INPO) U.S. sites
11
Operational Excellence
Cost Management(OM per customer)
Service Reliability(2001 total outage time per
customer minutes)
FPL
12
Constructive Regulatory Environment
  • Rate certainty through end of 2005
  • Incentive-based agreement
  • no ROE limits

13
Revenue-Sharing Thresholds( millions)
  • 2002 2003 2004 2005
  • 2002 est. revenue 3,470
  • 2/3 to customers 3,580 3,680 3,780 3,880
  • 100 to customers 3,740 3,840 3,940 4,040

Retail base rate revenue, as filed in Minimum
Filling Requirements.
14
Constructive Regulatory Environment
  • Rate certainty through end of 2005
  • Incentive-based agreement
  • no ROE limits
  • shareholders benefit from productivity
    improvements
  • Ability to reduce depreciation expense by up to
    125 million per year
  • Limited support for deregulation

15
15
16
Major US Wholesale Generator
  • Presence in 18 states
  • 5,063 mw portfolio
  • Experience in developing, constructing, operating
    and acquiring power plants
  • Strong asset optimization team

Major diversified wholesale electric generator
whichadds value by actively managing and trading
energy commodities in conjunction with our assets
17
Diversified Portfolio
5,063 Net MW in Operation Year-end 2001
Regional Diversity
Fuel Diversity
Gas
46
Northeast
28
Central
Wind
36
28
Mid-Atlantic
Other
20
4
Hydro
West
Oil
7
16
15
18
Diversified Portfolio
11,588 Net MW in Operation Year-end 2004
Regional Diversity
Fuel Diversity
Gas
59
Northeast
Central
26
37
Wind
21
Other
Mid-Atlantic
2
21
Hydro
Nuclear
Oil
West
3
9
7
16
Assumes addition of 1,000 mw of wind. Percentages
may not add to 100 due to rounding.
19
Track Record of Consistent, Strong Earnings
Growth( millions)
Excluding non-recurring items and effects of FAS
133
20
Disciplined Growth Strategy
  • Grow generation portfolio in prudent way
  • aggressive wind development
  • focused fossil development
  • pursuit of MA opportunities
  • Optimize asset value
  • integrated operations, business management and
    marketing and trading capabilities
  • Hedge position via substantial contract coverage
  • Moderate risk by regional and fuel diversity
  • Manage portfolio actively

21
Achievable Growth Strategy
20-30 Average Annual Earnings Growth
Existing Portfolio
Portfolio Build-out
  • Optimization of assets (5,063 mw)
  • 4,000 mw of announced gas-fired plants
  • Close Seabrook by YE 2002
  • 1,000-2,000 mw of wind projects

Assumes prices roughly equivalent to current
market forwards
22
Achievable Growth Strategy
20-30 Average Annual Earnings Growth
Additional Upside Potential
Existing Portfolio
Portfolio Build-out
Additional Greenfield Development
Acquisitions
  • Ranging from single plants to IPPs
  • Multiple fuels
  • gas
  • nuclear
  • wind
  • coal
  • hydro
  • Optimization of assets (5,063 mw)
  • 4,000 mw of announced gas-fired plants
  • Close Seabrook by YE 2002
  • 1,000-2,000 mw of wind projects
  • Focused on high contract coverage projects
  • Gas
  • Wind

Assumes prices roughly equivalent to current
market forwards
23
Wind Energy Capitalizing on our Strength
  • Nearly 1,500 net mw in operation
  • Wind is profitable
  • We have a leading position
  • We can build projects faster and cheaper
  • We can operate with higher availability
  • 1,000 - 2,000 mw of new wind projects by
    year-end 2003

24
Seabrook Acquisition
  • Attractive price
  • Plays to our strengths
  • superior operating skills
  • northeast trading expertise
  • Immediately accretive
  • 1 - 4 cents in 2003
  • 10 - 12 cents avg. 03-06
  • accelerating thereafter
  • Attractive financial returns
  • strong cash flow
  • substantial NPV
  • 18 - 20 ROE

Based on current forward price curves
25
Well-Hedged Position
2002 80 2003 50
Merchant mw
Committed mw
26
FPL FiberNet
  • Profitable niche business
  • despite poor telecom market
  • Great example of leveraging FPL skills

27
Three Fundamental Attributes
28
Financial StrengthEPS Growth
7.1 average annual EPS growth rate
Excluding nonrecurring items and effects of FAS
133
29
Financial Strength
  • Strong balance sheet
  • Strong credit ratings
  • A FPL Group
  • Strong cash flow
  • 1.4 billion 2001 operating cash flow

30
Financial DisciplinePrudent Dividend Policy
  • Healthy 3.7
    yield
  • 48 payoutratio allowsfor growth

Earnings per share Dividends per share
31
Financial DisciplineWell-Hedged Position
Capacity contracted
EPS Contribution 2001
  • FPL 100
  • FPL Energy 50 - 83
  • Total FPL Group 94 - 98
  • (weighted average)

Florida Power Light
FPL Energy
32
Marketing Trading Serves Two Fundamental
Purposes
Marketing Trading
Risk Reduction
Asset Optimization
Risk Control
33
ERCOT Spark Spreads( per mwh)
  • Current Forward Contract under
  • Spark Spread Spark Spread Contract
  • 2002 9.58 14.31 79
  • 2003 7.48 15.92 48

34
Enhancing Profitability in ERCOT
14.75 - 17.00
1.00
0.25
0.50 - 1.50
7.00 - 8.00
6.00 - 7.00
35
Projected Capital Sources Uses2002 - 2005(
billion)
8.2 - 10.2
7.9 - 9.9
Incremental debt capacity
1.4 - 1.9
Additional wind
1.0 - 2.0
Seabrook
0.8
Equity issuance
1.3 - 2.0
FPL Energy commitments
1.6
Operating cash flow less dividends
5.5 - 6.3
FPL commitments
4.5 - 5.5
Sources
Uses
36
Strong Rating Valuable, but not a Fixed Target
Long-term goal A or equivalent subject to
fluctuating agency standards
CreditRating InvestmentGrade
  • Absolute goal - strong investment grade
  • Relative goal - upper band of peer group

37
Earnings Guidance for 2002
  • FPL approximately flat with 2001
  • assuming normal weather
  • FPL Energy up 15 - 20
  • reflects modest capacity growth and delay in
    PTCs
  • reflects poor hydro conditions in 1st quarter
  • assumes no major changes in market prices
  • FPL Group EPS 4.78 - 4.82

38
Earnings Guidance for 2003 and Beyond
  • Expect FPL to return to strong underlying
    fundamentals
  • 4-5 average annual earnings growth
  • Continue to target average annual growth of 20 -
    30 at FPL Energy

FPL Group Average EPS Growth 6 - 8
39
Relative Low Risk, High Return
FPL Group represents one of best combinations of
risk, return and earnings growth among major
electric companies
High
FPL Group
Earnings Growth/Return
Low
High
Risk
40
(No Transcript)
Write a Comment
User Comments (0)
About PowerShow.com