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Dividend Payout Policy

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Most managers are reluctant to make changes in dividends that are ... To make the signal credible, the signaling costs have to be ... price (cum-dividend) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Dividend Payout Policy


1
  • Part 10
  • Dividend Payout Policy
  • Organisation
  • Empirical Observations of Dividend Policy
  • MM Proposition on Dividend
  • Agency costs and signaling issues
  • Clienteles effect
  • Stock Repurchase

2
10.1 Empirical Evidence of Dividend Decisions
  • Most companies have a long-term target dividend
    payout ratio.
  • Managers focus more on the change in payout than
    on the absolute level of payout.
  • Dividends are smoothed relative to profits.
  • Most managers are reluctant to make changes in
    dividends that are likely to have to be reversed
    in the near future.

3
10.2 The MM Theorem on Dividend Policy
  • Given the investment plan, without taxes, and
    under a perfectly competitive capital market,
    then a companys dividend policy has no effect on
    shareholders wealth.
  • X cash from operation ?S cash raised from new
    share issues I investment and nD dividends.
  • Since sources and uses of funds must be equal
    X ?S I nD.

4
10.3 MM on Dividend
  • In a perfect capital market, dividend policy has
    no effect on shareholders wealth because any
    cash paid out as dividends can be costlessly
    replaced by issuing additional shares. So
    shareholders have higher dividends but lower
    capital gains.
  • Overall, this wont change the total returns to
    the shareholders.

5
10.4 Dividends and Taxes
  • In the classical tax system, the dividends are
    taxed twice (at both the company level and the
    personal level). In addition, the capital gains
    are taxed at a lower rate at the personal level.
  • Therefore, investors prefer a lower dividend
    payout rate.
  • In the imputation tax system (Australia),
    dividends are taxed only once. If the tax rates
    for the dividend income and capital gains are the
    same, then shareholders should be indifferent to
    the payout policy.

6
10.5 Dividend as a credible signal
  • Share price changes around the dividend
    announcement are positively related to the change
    in dividend.
  • Management can use dividend policy to signal
    information to investors. To make the signal
    credible, the signaling costs have to be
    inversely related to the quality of the firm.
  • Overall, it is more costly for a weaker firm to
    increase dividend payout, since it has to reverse
    its payout ratio when things turn out to be bad.
    The market tends to penalize those firms who
    reverse their payout policy.

7
10.6 Clienteles Effect
  • Investors choose to invest in certain companies
    which meet their particular requirements (for
    income sources or tax status). For example,
    retirees may prefer to have regular dividend
    payments instead of periodorically selling a few
    shares in the market.
  • The existence of investor clienteles suggests
    that companies should follow a stable dividend
    policy.

8
10.7 Stock Repurchase vs. Dividends
  • Share repurchase (buy-back) is a form of cash
    payout policy.
  • Share repurchase is used to distribute cash in
    special occasions. Firm can maintain a stable
    dividend policy with occasional buy backs or
    special dividend payouts.
  • Market response to share repurchase is positive.

9
10.8 Share Repurchase
  • In the ideal (MM) world, share repurchase does
    not affect the total return to shareholders.
  • It involves the tradeoff between dividend income
    and capital gains.
  • However, if capital gains is taxed at a lower
    rate, then shareholders prefer repurchase over
    dividend.

10
10.9 An Example
  • A firm has 1 per share in cash, which it will
    use either to repurchase shares or to pay a cash
    dividend. Share price (cum-dividend) is 20.
  • Other things equal, the share price after a
    repurchase will still be 20.
  • P (20 -1)/(1 1/20) 20.

11
10.10 Leveraged Recapitalisation
  • Share repurchase program is often associated with
    a change in the companys capital structure
    policy.
  • Issuing more debt to buy back shares is called
    leveraged repurchase.
  • Sometimes, leveraged repurchase is used as a
    defense tactic against takeover.
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