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The Asset Market, Money and Prices

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Title: The Asset Market, Money and Prices


1
The Asset Market, Money and Prices
  • Part I

2
Overview
  • Functions of Money
  • Monetary Aggregates and Money Supply
  • Portfolio Allocation and Asset Demand
  • Demand for Money
  • Price Level
  • Real Income
  • Interest Rate
  • Money Demand Function
  • Elasticities of Money Demand

3
Asset Markets
  • The asset market is the entire set of markets in
    which people buy and sell real and financial
    assets, for example, gold, houses, stocks, and
    bonds.
  • Money is an asset widely used and accepted as
    payment.

4
The Functions of Money
  • A medium of exchange - money is a device for
    making transactions at less cost in time and
    effort.
  • A unit of account - money is the basic unit for
    measuring economic value.
  • A store of value - money is a way of holding
    wealth.

5
The Money Aggregates
  • The money aggregates are different measures of
    the money stock.
  • M1 consists primarily of currency and balances
    held in chequing accounts.
  • M2 is M1 plus personal saving deposits, including
    those with a fixed term, and nonpersonal notice
    deposits.
  • M2 is M2 plus accounts at non-bank financial
    institutions, e.g. caisses populaires and credit
    unions.

6
  • M3 is M2 plus term deposits held by businesses
    and foreign currency holdings of Canadian
    residents.
  • Weighted money aggregates may be more useful
    measures of money than are the standard
    aggregates.

7
The Money Supply
  • The money supply is the amount of money available
    in an economy.
  • The money supply is partly determined by the
    central bank.
  • Assume that the Bank of Canada sets the money
    supply. In practice it is done indirectly.

8
  • One way to influence the money supply is
    open-market operations open market purchases
    and sales of government bonds to the public.
  • A purchase of government bonds from the public
    increases the money supply. A sale of government
    bonds to the public decreases the money supply.

9
  • Another way to influence the money supply is to
    purchase and sell government bonds directly to
    the government.
  • In effect, when the government finances its
    expenditures by printing money, it induces
    inflation.

10
Portfolio Allocation and the Demand for Assets
  • A portfolio is a set of assets that a holder of
    wealth chooses to own.
  • The portfolio allocation decision is based on
    expected return, risk, and liquidity of an asset.

11
Expected Return
  • The rate of return to an asset is the rate of
    increase in its value per unit of time.
  • The return on a share or stock is the dividend
    paid by the stock plus any increase in the
    stocks price.
  • The expected return is the best guess about the
    return on an asset.
  • Everything else being equal, the higher an
    assets expected return, the more desirable the
    asset is and the more of it holders of wealth
    will want to own.

12
Risk
  • An asset has high risk is there is a significant
    chance that the actual return received will be
    very different from the expected return.
  • Everything else being equal, a more risky asset
    is less desirable for holders of wealth.

13
Liquidity
  • The liquidity of an asset is the ease and
    quickness with which it can be exchanged for
    goods, services, or other assets.
  • Money is a highly liquid asset.
  • Everything else being equal, the more liquid an
    asset is, the more attractive it will be to
    wealth holders.

14
Asset Demands
  • There is a trade-off among the three
    characteristics that make an asset desirable a
    high expected return, low risk, and liquidity.
  • The amount of each particular asset that a holder
    of wealth desires to include in her portfolio is
    called her demand for assets.

15
The Demand for Money
  • The demand for money is the quantity of monetary
    assets that people choose to hold in their
    portfolios.
  • Money is the most liquid asset but pays a low
    return (zero nominal return).
  • The demand for money will depend on the expected
    return, risk and liquidity of money relative to
    other assets.
  • The macroeconomic variables that have the
    greatest effects on money demand are the price
    level, real income, and interest rates.

16
The Price Level
  • The higher the general level of prices, the more
    dollars people need to conduct transactions and,
    thus, the more dollars people will want to hold.
  • Everything else being equal, the nominal demand
    for money is proportional to the price level.

17
Real Income
  • Higher real income means more transactions and a
    greater need for liquidity, therefore, the amount
    of money should increase.
  • The increase in money demand need not be
    proportional to an increase in real income.

18
Interest Rates
  • An increase in the expected return on money, i.e
    interest rate on monetary assets, im, increases
    the demand for money.
  • An increase in the expected return on alternative
    assets, i.e. i, causes holders of wealth to
    switch from money to higher-return alternatives.

19
The Money Demand Function
  • Md is the aggregate demand for money
  • P is the price level
  • Y is real income or output
  • i is the interest rate earned by non-monetary
    assets
  • L is a function relating Md to Y and i

20
The Money Demand Function (continued)
  • r is the expected real interest rate
  • pe is the expected rate of inflation, it is
    assumed to be fixed

21
The Money Demand Function (continued)
  • Money demand depends on the interest rate on
    non-monetary assets, which tends to change more
    often and is a likely reason of a change in the
    money demand.

22
The Money Demand Function
  • Real money demand or demand for real balances is
  • The function L that relates real money demand to
    output and interest rates is called the real
    money demand function.

23
Other Factors AffectingMoney Demand
  • The money demand increases as a result of
  • higher wealth
  • higher riskiness of alternative assets
  • lower liquidity of alternative assets
  • lower efficiency of payment technologies.

24
Elasticities of Money Demand
  • The income elasticity of money demand is the
    percentage change in money demand resulting from
    a 1 increase in real income.
  • The interest elasticity of money demand is the
    percentage change in money demand resulting from
    a 1 increase in the interest rate.
  • The empirical evidence is that the income
    elasticity of money demand is positive but less
    than one.
  • The empirical studies find a small negative value
    (-0.3) for the interest rate elasticity of money
    demand.

25
Velocity and the Quantity Theory of Money
  • Velocity (V) is nominal GDP (P times Y) divided
    by the nominal money stock (M).
  • The quantity theory of money asserts that real
    money demand is proportional to real income (i.e.
    velocity is constant).

26
The Quantity Theory of Money
  • where k is a constant.
  • The real money demand function L(Y,rpe) takes
    the simple form kY.
  • This is a strong assumption that velocity is a
    constant, 1/k, and does not depend on Y and rpe.

27
Asset Market
  • The asset market is in equilibrium when the
    quantity of each asset that holders of wealth
    demand equals the (fixed) available supply of
    assets.
  • We assume that all assets may be grouped into
    money and non-monetary assets.
  • Asset market equilibrium reduces to the condition
    that the quantity of money supplied equals the
    quantity of money demanded.

28
Asset Market Equilibrium
  • The sum of all individual demands equals the
    economys total nominal wealth
  • Md is the aggregate demand for money.
  • NMd is the aggregate demand for non-monetary
    assets.

29
  • Aggregate nominal wealth is
  • M is the fixed nominal supply of money.
  • NM is the fixed nominal supply of non-monetary
    assets.

30
  • Thus, the equilibrium condition is
  • If (Md-M)0, then (NMd-NM)0.
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