Title: Bank of America BAC Buy Pitch
1Bank of America (BAC)Buy Pitch
- Anthony Vitiello
- November 6, 2006
2Proposal
- Purchase 200 Shares of Bank of America (BAC) for
a little less the 11,000 - Current Price 53.85
- BCIC Cash Position 43,000
3Why should we buy?
- -Strong growth in a negative rate environment
fee income - - Credit Cards in China
- - Has the ability to redefine the areas it
competes in at will, such as online trading - - When rates normalizes, the factors allowed
the - bank to perform now, coupled with more
- profitable rates will lead BAC to outperform
4Rates, Yield Curve
- Banks try to charge greater interest on the money
they loan compared to the interest they pay for
deposits, earning a spread on every loan - Banks purchase money in the short term and loan
money in the long term at rates set by the bond
market - When the bond market yield curve is inverted
(short rates higher then long rates), money costs
more, spreads get smaller, profits decrease - The higher the overall rate, the greater the cost
to borrower, the less the incentive to borrow
5Current Yield Curve
Even though the yield curve is nearly flat, the
slightly higher rates between the 3mo and the
3yr is significant
6Overview
- Bank of America is the second largest bank in the
US by assets with 1.445 trillion - The company is divided into four segments
- Global Consumer Small Business (GCSB)
- Global Corporate Investment Bank (GCIB)
- Global Wealth Investment Management (GWIM)
- Other (Private Equity, Venture Capital, etc.)
7Segment Breakdown
8Financial Data
- In Q3 BAC earned 1.22 a share REVENUE 10.4
bil., INCOME 5.42 bil. - Current Ratios
- Return on assets 1.56 YTD Return excl.
leverage - Return on Equity 17.09 YTD Returns incl.
leverage) - Efficiency Ratio 46.81 YTD Measure of how much
money is lost to expenses below 60 is desirable - P/E Ratio 10.86 (Forward)
- PEG 1.28 (Forward)
9Industry Comparison
10Competitive Advantages of Other
- On August 24, BofA sold its Asian unit to China
Construction Bank for 1.25bil - This deal helped BofA with its relationship with
the Chinese government. - On Tuesday, the bank rolled out a test program
free wire transfers between San Francisco banks
and banks in China shows that BofA is working
hard to get to into China
11Competitive advantages of GCSB
- Following merger with MBNA, Bank of
- America is top credit card issuer
- in the US.
- 175 million ahead
- in cost savings one quarter
- left in the year
- Credit cards issued have a
- interest margin on average of
- 13.38, the highest of all BofA
- products, new size creates
- economies of scale
12Competitive advantages of GCSB contd.
- Issuing Credit Cards in China, a potential market
of over one billion people!! No way to estimate
spending of Chinese 280-480 billion dollars
13Competitive Advantages of GCSB contd.
- The industry leading online bill payment helps
attract new costumers (10 million so far)
14Competitive Advantages of GCSB contd.
- Earlier this year, MasterCard came public and
BofA was entitled to shares in the IPO I-banks
left 40/share on the table - Visa, coming public soon BofA as largest issuer
will receive most shares - Price of IPO not yet know, BofA profit not yet
known not priced into stock
15Competitive Advantages GCIB
- The I-banking and Sales and Trading have room to
grow - Investments in Fixed Income Underwriting
Trading have been proven to work results are up
36 and 6 respectively with daily risk down 40
16Competitive Advantages of GWIM
- When rates go up, banks deposits migrate to high
yield funds elsewhere BofA deposits migrate into
BofA Money Market Mutual Funds, if rates go
higher, this will continue
17New Capital Allocation Strategy
- As of the end of Q2, BofA held 236 billion
dollars in marketable securities - Announced that 100 billion would be sold if
rally in bonds continues, sales will make money - Free up more capital to deploy for loans and
credit cards (higher yielding then securities)
18Balance Sheet Hedging
- As a result of the rally in bonds, BofA has been
able to sell securities and buy purchase options
cheaply to hedge its rate exposure - From here, rates situation can only help, further
inversion wont hurt profits - Wachovia, another one of
- our holdings, is still losing
- money to change in rates
19Disruptive Strategies
- As one of the largest banks in the world, BofA
can initiate a battle on its terms and takeover
an industry in which it is weak - This is evidenced by the recent offer of free
online trading online brokers dropped 15 on
announcement - CFO indicates that such an option is may work
with mortgages, one of few current weaknesses - With housing depressed, now is the time to
improve on area of weakness in mortgages can be
done cheaply
20Chance for Vertical Integration
- If BofA improves in the mortgage origination, it
can make loans to costumers, package the
mortgages for sale and trade them earning a
profit on each step - Reduce the fees bank pays others
21Analyst Opinion
- The average 12 month price target for all
analysts is 57.67, however this estimate fails
to account for the 2.24 in dividends received
each year. - If the estimates are met and dividends factored
in, the return should be upwards of 10/year.
22The CEO Visits BC 11/14/2004
231 Year Performance
245 Year Performance
25Conclusion
- Bank of America should be bought for our
portfolio - Strength in bad times outperformance in good
- New Expansion into Credit Card business
- 1Billion untapped market in China for CC
- Vertical Integration in Mortgages