Bank of America BAC Buy Pitch

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Bank of America BAC Buy Pitch

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Purchase 200 Shares of Bank of America (BAC) for a little less the $11,000 ... Bank of America is the second largest bank in the US by assets with $1.445 trillion ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Bank of America BAC Buy Pitch


1
Bank of America (BAC)Buy Pitch
  • Anthony Vitiello
  • November 6, 2006

2
Proposal
  • Purchase 200 Shares of Bank of America (BAC) for
    a little less the 11,000
  • Current Price 53.85
  • BCIC Cash Position 43,000

3
Why should we buy?
  • -Strong growth in a negative rate environment
    fee income
  • - Credit Cards in China
  • - Has the ability to redefine the areas it
    competes in at will, such as online trading
  • - When rates normalizes, the factors allowed
    the
  • bank to perform now, coupled with more
  • profitable rates will lead BAC to outperform

4
Rates, Yield Curve
  • Banks try to charge greater interest on the money
    they loan compared to the interest they pay for
    deposits, earning a spread on every loan
  • Banks purchase money in the short term and loan
    money in the long term at rates set by the bond
    market
  • When the bond market yield curve is inverted
    (short rates higher then long rates), money costs
    more, spreads get smaller, profits decrease
  • The higher the overall rate, the greater the cost
    to borrower, the less the incentive to borrow

5
Current Yield Curve
Even though the yield curve is nearly flat, the
slightly higher rates between the 3mo and the
3yr is significant
6
Overview
  • Bank of America is the second largest bank in the
    US by assets with 1.445 trillion
  • The company is divided into four segments
  • Global Consumer Small Business (GCSB)
  • Global Corporate Investment Bank (GCIB)
  • Global Wealth Investment Management (GWIM)
  • Other (Private Equity, Venture Capital, etc.)

7
Segment Breakdown
8
Financial Data
  • In Q3 BAC earned 1.22 a share REVENUE 10.4
    bil., INCOME 5.42 bil.
  • Current Ratios
  • Return on assets 1.56 YTD Return excl.
    leverage
  • Return on Equity 17.09 YTD Returns incl.
    leverage)
  • Efficiency Ratio 46.81 YTD Measure of how much
    money is lost to expenses below 60 is desirable
  • P/E Ratio 10.86 (Forward)
  • PEG 1.28 (Forward)

9
Industry Comparison
10
Competitive Advantages of Other
  • On August 24, BofA sold its Asian unit to China
    Construction Bank for 1.25bil
  • This deal helped BofA with its relationship with
    the Chinese government.
  • On Tuesday, the bank rolled out a test program
    free wire transfers between San Francisco banks
    and banks in China shows that BofA is working
    hard to get to into China

11
Competitive advantages of GCSB
  • Following merger with MBNA, Bank of
  • America is top credit card issuer
  • in the US.
  • 175 million ahead
  • in cost savings one quarter
  • left in the year
  • Credit cards issued have a
  • interest margin on average of
  • 13.38, the highest of all BofA
  • products, new size creates
  • economies of scale

12
Competitive advantages of GCSB contd.
  • Issuing Credit Cards in China, a potential market
    of over one billion people!! No way to estimate
    spending of Chinese 280-480 billion dollars

13
Competitive Advantages of GCSB contd.
  • The industry leading online bill payment helps
    attract new costumers (10 million so far)

14
Competitive Advantages of GCSB contd.
  • Earlier this year, MasterCard came public and
    BofA was entitled to shares in the IPO I-banks
    left 40/share on the table
  • Visa, coming public soon BofA as largest issuer
    will receive most shares
  • Price of IPO not yet know, BofA profit not yet
    known not priced into stock

15
Competitive Advantages GCIB
  • The I-banking and Sales and Trading have room to
    grow
  • Investments in Fixed Income Underwriting
    Trading have been proven to work results are up
    36 and 6 respectively with daily risk down 40

16
Competitive Advantages of GWIM
  • When rates go up, banks deposits migrate to high
    yield funds elsewhere BofA deposits migrate into
    BofA Money Market Mutual Funds, if rates go
    higher, this will continue

17
New Capital Allocation Strategy
  • As of the end of Q2, BofA held 236 billion
    dollars in marketable securities
  • Announced that 100 billion would be sold if
    rally in bonds continues, sales will make money
  • Free up more capital to deploy for loans and
    credit cards (higher yielding then securities)

18
Balance Sheet Hedging
  • As a result of the rally in bonds, BofA has been
    able to sell securities and buy purchase options
    cheaply to hedge its rate exposure
  • From here, rates situation can only help, further
    inversion wont hurt profits
  • Wachovia, another one of
  • our holdings, is still losing
  • money to change in rates

19
Disruptive Strategies
  • As one of the largest banks in the world, BofA
    can initiate a battle on its terms and takeover
    an industry in which it is weak
  • This is evidenced by the recent offer of free
    online trading online brokers dropped 15 on
    announcement
  • CFO indicates that such an option is may work
    with mortgages, one of few current weaknesses
  • With housing depressed, now is the time to
    improve on area of weakness in mortgages can be
    done cheaply

20
Chance for Vertical Integration
  • If BofA improves in the mortgage origination, it
    can make loans to costumers, package the
    mortgages for sale and trade them earning a
    profit on each step
  • Reduce the fees bank pays others

21
Analyst Opinion
  • The average 12 month price target for all
    analysts is 57.67, however this estimate fails
    to account for the 2.24 in dividends received
    each year.
  • If the estimates are met and dividends factored
    in, the return should be upwards of 10/year.

22
The CEO Visits BC 11/14/2004
23
1 Year Performance
24
5 Year Performance
25
Conclusion
  • Bank of America should be bought for our
    portfolio
  • Strength in bad times outperformance in good
  • New Expansion into Credit Card business
  • 1Billion untapped market in China for CC
  • Vertical Integration in Mortgages
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