Title: Methodologies for
1- Methodologies for
- District Surveys of health status
P Jha, DK Sikri, R Laxminarayan, S Rao-Seshadri,
D Jamison, GA Alleyne, R Kumar, S Darley, J
Chow, A Kurpad, N Dhingra, R Jotkar, S Jha, R
Poornalingam, A Singh, L Menezes, P Brown, S
Chandra, R Glass, P Laxmi on behalf of the DCP-2
India Study Team www.cghr.org prabhat.jha_at_utoron
to.ca
2- Outline
- Rationale of District Indicators
- Background of District survey
- Consultative Process for District survey
conforming to DISHA - Output of Consultative Process
- DISHA for reducing MMR
- DISHA for reducing U5MR, especially that of
female - DISHA for reducing Premature Adult mortality
(16-59 yrs) - DISHA for Disease specific reform
- DISHA for System wide reform
- Indicators for outcome, service use, household
determinants, financial risk protection, public
responsiveness - Revised Survey Tool envisaging the indicators
conforming to the DISHA - Possible Future course
3- District Level Health Indicators
- Rationale
- For monitoring district wise outcome and coverage
of various health programs by Central/State
Governments. Pre-requisite in the era of
de-centralized planning. - Honble Prime Ministers desire to undertake and
publish District Level Annual Health Indicators
regularly and compare against benchmarks. - ORGI plan to cover all Indian districts (593) in
3 phases in order to restrict effective sample
size to 39000 population or 7200 eligible women
or 7000 households per district. Thus each
district would be covered once in 3 years.
4- Sample Size Criteria
- The sample size would depend upon
- Choice of the decisive indicator
- Birth Rate/Death Rate/Infant Mortality Rate
- Permissible Level of Error
- 5/10/15 percentage relative standard error
- Level of Aggregation
- National/State/District
- Periodicity and Reference Period
- 1/2/3 years
5Sample Size (Population) at varying rates of
Infant Mortality Rates and Birth Rates at 10
percent relative standard error (prse)
Population in 000
6- Periodicity of events Vs
- Population covered
- (Level of error 10 prse of IMR)
Note Sample size estimated for a district with
birth rate of 25 and infant mortality rate of 60.
7Expected District Indicator Outcome
8Expected District Indicator Output
9Expected District Indicator Output
10Expected District Indicator Output
11Expected Health determinant inOutcome Indicator
12Possible Concerns regarding District Health
Indicators
- Experience with SRS health check up reveals
under-reporting of adult deaths by about 13 and
it was marginally higher for female adults. Newer
SRS sample frame of 2001 might resolve this
partly. - Exclusion of death of in-migrated could be
feasible option in view of earlier experience. - Seasonal Out migration of impoverished people
could reduce validity of adult deaths. - Matching of response rate of tobacco use in
Specific Fertility and Mortality Survey (SFMS)
with NFHS revealed that SFMS underreports the
risk factor. - Matching of response rate of alcohol use in
Specific Fertility and Mortality Survey (SFMS)
with NFHS revealed high correlation of the risk
factor (r .0.92)
13Deliverables within 5 years
- GOAL Increase use of effective health services
(by year 3) and show reductions in mortality (by
year 5) - Prioritization and focus of 5-10 districts on
most effective interventions - Increased allocation of state budgets for health
in intervention states - Accelerated reform (focusing on actions against
specific constraints) in intervention states - Training materials and critical mass of DCP-2
implementers in place in various states and
levels - Rigorous evaluation of new interventions measles
plus antigen program maternal mortality
polypill for CVD - Quantity of cost information dramatically
improves - Put in place simple monitoring system with RGI
- Report cards for each Member of Parliament
produced
Notes Logical framework has been developed
with indicators for specific diseases
14Thanks