THE LESSONS FORM FORETECH

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THE LESSONS FORM FORETECH
Ferenc KOVÁTS Chairman of the Steering
Committee
Sofia, 27 May, 2004 Technology Foresight New
Opportunities for Bulgaria International
Conference
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LESSON1

• EXPERIENCE which acts as a WARNING
• EXAMPLE from which we should LEARN
• 1Collins Cobuild English Dictionary

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Objectives of ForeTech

• To build up capacity and competence on foresight
  through transfer of experience and know-how
• To contribute to the pool of knowledge on
  foresight
• To elaborate recommendations to the European
  Commission

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Capacity and competencefromexperience and
know-how

• Methods
• Scenario building
• Delphi survey
• Type of Foresight
• Holistic or key technologies
• National or regional

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THREE MACRO SCENARIOS
III
fundamental
I
II
no
active
drifting (no strategy)
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AGRO-FOOD SCENARIOS
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POOL OF KNOWLEDGE OF FORESIGHT

• Regional initiatives of DG RTD Unit K2
• FOREN Country Guides for Regional
• Foresight
• eForesee (Cyprus, Estonia, Malta)
• Agri-food-biotech Foresight Thread (Cork,
  Cyprus, Ioannina, Riga (85 questions), Istambul,
  Dublin
• CAP 25, Rural Europe,
• Blueprints - RIS

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25 October 2002, CYPRUSExploring agricultural
policy futures There is no integrated plan as
how to deal with the structural changes that will
occur as a result of compliance with the aquis,
no guiding vision as to what the future could be,
and no strategy as to how to arrive at such a
future, starting with the post compliance
scenario! Expexted outcome of the conference
Alternative strategic vision for agriculture in
the post accession period
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Working Groups of BLUEPRINTS

• AGRIBLUE Agri-food-biotech
• For-RIS innovation within regions
• UPGRADE Reconversion of regional production
  systems in decline
• TECHTRANS Trans-regional cooperation a
  multi-regional response to multi-national firms
• TRANSVISION Bridging regions separated by
  national borders

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HE WHO CAN DOES,HE WHO CANT TEACHES
(G.B.
Shaw)Thanks for your attention!www.foresight.hu
www.ferenc.kovats_at_nkth.gov.hu